Oscars checklist 2019: The actual nominees (52 movies!)

Now that we know all the nominations, it’s time to put together the list of all movies. Instead of just sorting by number of nominations, I like to group them by their “highest” nominated category. This helps me prioritize as I’m trying to complete the Oscars Death Race (watching all movies in all categories!) each year.

If it’s helpful, I’ve also made a Letterboxd list of these movies:


The big list

Highest Nominated Category # Movie Nominations
Picture 1. Roma 10 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actress, Foreign Language Film, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Production Design, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
Picture 2. The Favourite 10 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Costume Design, Production Design)
Picture 3. A Star Is Born 8 (Picture, Actress, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Song, Sound Mixing)
Picture 4. Vice 8 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Makeup & Hairstyling)
Picture 5. Black Panther 7 (Picture, Costume Design, Production Design, Song, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
Picture 6. BlacKkKlansman 6 (Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing, Score)
Picture 7. Bohemian Rhapsody 5 (Picture, Actor, Film Editing, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
Picture 8. Green Book 5 (Picture, Actor, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Film Editing)
Directing 9. Cold War 3 (Director, Foreign Language Film, Cinematography)
Acting 10. Can You Ever Forgive Me? 3 (Actress, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay)
Acting 11. If Beale Street Could Talk 3 (Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Score)
Acting 12. At Eternity’s Gate 1 (Actor)
Acting 13. The Wife 1 (Actress)
Screenplay 14. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 3 (Adapted Screenplay, Costume Design, Song)
Screenplay 15. First Reformed 1 (Original Screenplay)
Foreign Language 16. Never Look Away 2 (Foreign Language Film, Cinematography)
Foreign Language 17. Capernaum 1 (Foreign Language Film)
Foreign Language 18. Shoplifters 1 (Foreign Language Film)
Animated 19. Isle of Dogs 2 (Animated Feature, Score)
Animated 20. Incredibles 2 1 (Animated Feature)
Animated 21. Mirai 1 (Animated Feature)
Animated 22. Ralph Breaks the Internet 1 (Animated Feature)
Animated 23. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 1 (Animated Feature)
Documentary 24. RBG 2 (Documentary Feature, Song)
Documentary 25. Free Solo 1 (Documentary Feature)
Documentary 26. Hale County This Morning, This Evening 1 (Documentary Feature)
Documentary 27. Minding the Gap 1 (Documentary Feature)
Documentary 28. Of Fathers and Sons 1 (Documentary Feature)
Technical 29. First Man 4 (Production Design, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects)
Technical 30. Mary Poppins Returns 4 (Costume Design, Production Design, Song, Score)
Technical 31. Mary Queen of Scots 2 (Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling)
Technical 32. A Quiet Place 1 (Sound Editing)
Technical 33. Avengers: Infinity War 1 (Visual Effects)
Technical 34. Border 1 (Makeup & Hairstyling)
Technical 35. Christopher Robin 1 (Visual Effects)
Technical 36. Ready Player One 1 (Visual Effects)
Technical 37. Solo: A Star Wars Story 1 (Visual Effects)
Shorts 38. Detainment 1 (Live Action Short)
Shorts 39. Fauve 1 (Live Action Short)
Shorts 40. Marguerite 1 (Live Action Short)
Shorts 41. Mother 1 (Live Action Short)
Shorts 42. Skin 1 (Live Action Short)
Shorts 43. Animal Behaviour 1 (Animated Short)
Shorts 44. Bao 1 (Animated Short)
Shorts 45. Late Afternoon 1 (Animated Short)
Shorts 46. One Small Step 1 (Animated Short)
Shorts 47. Weekends 1 (Animated Short)
Shorts 48. A Night at the Garden 1 (Documentary Short)
Shorts 49. Black Sheep 1 (Documentary Short)
Shorts 50. End Game 1 (Documentary Short)
Shorts 51. Lifeboat 1 (Documentary Short)
Shorts 52. Period. End of Sentence. 1 (Documentary Short)
Read more ▸

Oscars checklist 2019: The snubs and surprises

The actual Oscar nominations were announced earlier this week. It’s always interesting to see which movies were snubbed and which ones received surprise nominations, so I’ve annotated the predictions data from my previous post with this information.

All movies that actually received nominations are now in bold. In eight (!) categories this year, there were movies or people nominated that no one originally predicted - those are indicated below each category.

Remember, this data was originally compiled a month before the nominations were announced - a lot can change in that time!


Shortcuts


Best Picture

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born 30 21 13/2 13.33
2 Roma 30 3 15/2 11.76
3 Green Book 30 5 15/2 11.76
4 The Favourite 29 0 17/2 10.53
5 Black Panther 27 1 10/1 9.09
6 If Beale Street Could Talk 28 0 21/2 8.70
7 BlacKkKlansman 26 0 11/1 8.33
8 Vice 27 0 23/2 8.00
9 First Man 21 0 18/1 5.26
10 Mary Poppins Returns 17 0 22/1 4.35
11 Can You Ever Forgive Me? 7 0 52/1 1.89
12 First Reformed 4 0 75/1 1.32
13 A Quiet Place 4 0 92/1 1.08
14 Crazy Rich Asians 4 0 95/1 1.04
15 Widows 3 0 100/1 0.99
16 Eighth Grade 4 0 100/1 0.99
17 Bohemian Rhapsody 3 0 100/1 0.99
18 The Rider 2 0 100/1 0.99
19 Beautiful Boy 1 0 100/1 0.99
20 Leave No Trace 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Director

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Roma (Alfonso Cuaron) 30 27 16/5 23.81
2 A Star Is Born (Bradley Cooper) 28 2 9/2 18.18
3 BlacKkKlansman (Spike Lee) 23 1 6/1 14.29
4 The Favourite (Yorgos Lanthimos) 21 0 13/2 13.33
5 If Beale Street Could Talk (Barry Jenkins) 16 0 9/1 10.00
6 Green Book (Peter Farrelly) 9 0 16/1 5.88
7 First Man (Damien Chazelle) 8 0 20/1 4.76
8 Black Panther (Ryan Coogler) 5 0 30/1 3.23
9 Vice (Adam McKay) 5 0 33/1 2.94
10 Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Marielle Heller) 2 0 80/1 1.23
11 Leave No Trace (Debra Granik) 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 You Were Never Really Here (Lynne Ramsay) 1 0 100/1 0.99
13 First Reformed (Paul Schrader) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Not predicted, but nominated: Cold War (Pawel Pawlikowski).

Best Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born (Lady Gaga) 28 16 19/5 20.83
2 The Favourite (Olivia Colman) 30 6 39/10 20.41
3 The Wife (Glenn Close) 28 6 9/2 18.18
4 Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Melissa McCarthy) 27 2 5/1 16.67
5 Roma (Yalitza Aparicio) 17 0 17/2 10.53
6 Mary Poppins Returns (Emily Blunt) 10 0 15/1 6.25
7 Widows (Viola Davis) 4 0 40/1 2.44
8 Hereditary (Toni Collette) 2 0 80/1 1.23
9 Mary Queen of Scots (Saoirse Ronan) 1 0 100/1 0.99
10 Wildlife (Carey Mulligan) 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 Ben Is Back (Julia Roberts) 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 Cold War (Joanna Kulig) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born (Bradley Cooper) 28 15 19/5 20.83
2 Vice (Christian Bale) 29 7 4/1 20.00
3 Green Book (Viggo Mortensen) 29 5 4/1 20.00
4 Bohemian Rhapsody (Rami Malek) 27 2 5/1 16.67
5 First Reformed (Ethan Hawke) 21 1 13/2 13.33
6 BlacKkKlansman (John David Washington) 8 0 20/1 4.76
7 At Eternity’s Gate (Willem Dafoe) 5 0 33/1 2.94
8 First Man (Ryan Gosling) 2 0 78/1 1.27
9 The Old Man and the Gun (Robert Redford) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Supporting Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 If Beale Street Could Talk (Regina King) 29 21 7/2 22.22
2 Vice (Amy Adams) 26 7 9/2 18.18
3 The Favourite (Rachel Weisz) 27 0 5/1 16.67
4 The Favourite (Emma Stone) 26 1 5/1 16.67
5 First Man (Claire Foy) 19 0 15/2 11.76
6 Boy Erased (Nicole Kidman) 6 0 28/1 3.45
7 Crazy Rich Asians (Michelle Yeoh) 5 1 30/1 3.23
8 Roma (Marina de Tavira) 3 0 54/1 1.82
9 Mary Queen of Scots (Margot Robbie) 2 0 80/1 1.23
10 Widows (Elizabeth Debicki) 2 0 80/1 1.23
11 A Quiet Place (Emily Blunt) 2 0 82/1 1.20
12 Leave No Trace (Thomasin McKenzie) 1 0 100/1 0.99
13 Green Book (Linda Cardellini) 1 0 100/1 0.99
14 What They Had (Blythe Danner) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Supporting Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Green Book (Mahershala Ali) 30 16 7/2 22.22
2 Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Richard E. Grant) 30 5 4/1 20.00
3 A Star Is Born (Sam Elliott) 27 3 9/2 18.18
4 Beautiful Boy (Timothee Chalamet) 23 4 11/2 15.38
5 BlacKkKlansman (Adam Driver) 16 1 9/1 10.00
6 Vice (Sam Rockwell) 9 0 18/1 5.26
7 Black Panther (Michael B. Jordan) 7 1 22/1 4.35
8 Widows (Daniel Kaluuya) 3 0 54/1 1.82
9 Vice (Steve Carell) 2 0 80/1 1.23
10 The Hate U Give (Russell Hornsby) 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 If Beale Street Could Talk (Brian Tyree Henry) 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 The Wife (Jonathan Pryce) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Original Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 The Favourite 29 15 37/10 21.28
2 Roma 29 8 4/1 20.00
3 Green Book 26 4 5/1 16.67
4 First Reformed 23 2 6/1 14.29
5 Vice 20 0 7/1 12.50
6 Eighth Grade 15 1 19/2 9.52
7 A Quiet Place 4 0 40/1 2.44
8 Sorry to Bother You 1 0 100/1 0.99
9 Capernaum 1 0 100/1 0.99
10 Private Life 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Adapted Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 BlacKkKlansman 27 20 19/5 20.83
2 If Beale Street Could Talk 29 5 4/1 20.00
3 A Star Is Born 28 2 9/2 18.18
4 Can You Ever Forgive Me? 28 1 9/2 18.18
5 First Man 10 0 15/1 6.25
6 Leave No Trace 7 0 22/1 4.35
7 Black Panther 6 0 25/1 3.85
8 Widows 4 0 40/1 2.44
9 The Death of Stalin 4 0 40/1 2.44
10 Beautiful Boy 3 2 44/1 2.22
11 Crazy Rich Asians 3 0 54/1 1.82
12 Wildlife 1 0 100/1 0.99

Not predicted, but nominated: The Ballad of Buster Scruggs.

Best Cinematography

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Roma 29 27 16/5 23.81
2 The Favourite 26 1 5/1 16.67
3 First Man 25 1 5/1 16.67
4 If Beale Street Could Talk 22 0 6/1 14.29
5 A Star Is Born 18 0 15/2 11.76
6 Black Panther 12 0 12/1 7.69
7 Cold War 7 0 20/1 4.76
8 The Rider 2 0 80/1 1.23
9 Green Book 1 0 100/1 0.99
10 Mary Poppins Returns 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 Widows 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 A Private War 1 0 100/1 0.99

Not predicted, but nominated: Never Look Away.

Best Film Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Roma 26 11 19/5 20.83
2 First Man 22 12 9/2 18.18
3 A Star Is Born 21 2 11/2 15.38
4 The Favourite 21 0 6/1 14.29
5 Vice 13 0 21/2 8.70
6 Widows 12 1 11/1 8.33
7 Black Panther 9 2 14/1 6.67
8 Green Book 3 0 44/1 2.22
9 22 July 3 0 48/1 2.04
10 BlacKkKlansman 2 0 70/1 1.41
11 Destroyer 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 A Quiet Place 1 0 100/1 0.99
13 If Beale Street Could Talk 1 0 100/1 0.99
14 Mary Poppins Returns 1 0 100/1 0.99

Not predicted, but nominated: Bohemian Rhapsody.

Best Costume Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 The Favourite 28 17 17/5 22.73
2 Black Panther 28 9 37/10 21.28
3 Mary Poppins Returns 27 1 9/2 18.18
4 Mary Queen of Scots 26 1 9/2 18.18
5 Colette 7 0 20/1 4.76
6 Crazy Rich Asians 7 0 20/1 4.76
7 Fantastic Beasts 2 6 0 25/1 3.85
8 A Star Is Born 4 0 37/1 2.63
9 Bohemian Rhapsody 3 0 50/1 1.96
10 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 Suspiria 1 0 100/1 0.99

Not predicted, but nominated: The Ballad of Buster Scruggs.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Vice 9 8 31/20 39.22
2 Black Panther 6 2 4/1 20.00
3 Border 4 0 17/2 10.53
4 Suspiria 3 0 11/1 8.33
5 Stan and Ollie 3 0 11/1 8.33
6 Mary Queen of Scots 3 0 23/2 8.00
7 Bohemian Rhapsody 2 0 18/1 5.26

Best Production Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Black Panther 28 15 17/5 22.73
2 The Favourite 27 11 37/10 21.28
3 First Man 24 1 5/1 16.67
4 Mary Poppins Returns 21 0 6/1 14.29
5 A Star Is Born 12 0 23/2 8.00
6 Roma 10 1 13/1 7.14
7 Crazy Rich Asians 6 0 25/1 3.85
8 Mary Queen of Scots 3 0 48/1 2.04
9 Isle of Dogs 2 0 72/1 1.37
10 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 Fantastic Beasts 2 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 Green Book 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Song

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born (Shallow) 12 12 16/5 23.81
2 Black Panther (All the Stars) 11 0 9/2 18.18
3 RBG (I’ll Fight) 10 0 11/2 15.38
4 Mary Poppins Returns (The Place Where Lost Things Go) 9 0 6/1 14.29
5 Dumplin’ (Girl in the Movies) 7 0 17/2 10.53
6 Mary Poppins Returns (Trip a Little Light Fantastic) 4 0 14/1 6.67
7 Boy Erased (Revelation) 4 0 16/1 5.88
8 Ballad of Buster Scruggs (When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings) 2 0 33/1 2.94
9 Quincy (Keep Reachin’) 1 0 66/1 1.49

Best Score

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 First Man 12 5 18/5 21.74
2 If Beale Street Could Talk 12 4 19/5 20.83
3 Black Panther 10 1 5/1 16.67
4 Mary Poppins Returns 9 1 6/1 14.29
5 Isle of Dogs 8 0 7/1 12.50
6 BlacKkKlansman 4 0 16/1 5.88
7 A Quiet Place 3 0 22/1 4.35
8 Vice 2 1 28/1 3.45

Best Sound Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 First Man 26 16 37/10 21.28
2 Black Panther 27 3 39/10 20.41
3 A Quiet Place 26 4 4/1 20.00
4 A Star Is Born 25 1 9/2 18.18
5 Roma 21 3 11/2 15.38
6 Mission Impossible: Fallout 6 0 25/1 3.85
7 Incredibles 2 2 0 72/1 1.37
8 Bohemian Rhapsody 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Sound Mixing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born 27 8 19/5 20.83
2 First Man 25 12 4/1 20.00
3 Black Panther 25 3 9/2 18.18
4 A Quiet Place 20 2 6/1 14.29
5 Mary Poppins Returns 16 0 8/1 11.11
6 Bohemian Rhapsody 12 0 11/1 8.33
7 Roma 8 2 16/1 5.88
8 The Favourite 1 0 100/1 0.99
9 Mission Impossible: Fallout 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Visual Effects

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Black Panther 11 10 16/5 23.81
2 Ready Player One 11 0 4/1 20.00
3 First Man 10 0 9/2 18.18
4 Avengers: Infinity War 8 1 6/1 14.29
5 Mary Poppins Returns 7 0 15/2 11.76
6 Welcome to Marwen 6 0 9/1 10.00
7 Ant-Man and the Wasp 1 0 58/1 1.69
8 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 1 0 60/1 1.64

Not predicted, but nominated: Solo: A Star Wars Story and Christopher Robin.

Best Animated Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Isle of Dogs 28 3 4/1 20.00
2 Incredibles 2 26 11 4/1 20.00
3 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 24 13 9/2 18.18
4 Ralph Breaks the Internet 27 0 9/2 18.18
5 Mirai 24 0 11/2 15.38
6 Smallfoot 5 1 28/1 3.45
7 Early Man 3 0 48/1 2.04
8 Tito and the Birds 2 0 78/1 1.27
9 The Grinch 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Documentary Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Won’t You Be My Neighbor? 11 5 71/20 21.98
2 Free Solo 10 2 9/2 18.18
3 RBG 9 4 5/1 16.67
4 Three Identical Strangers 8 0 6/1 14.29
5 Minding the Gap 7 0 15/2 11.76
6 Hale County This Morning, This Evening 3 0 20/1 4.76
7 Dark Money 2 0 30/1 3.23
8 Shirkers 2 0 30/1 3.23
9 Crime + Punishment 1 0 58/1 1.69
10 Of Fathers and Sons 1 0 60/1 1.64
11 The Silence of Others 1 0 60/1 1.64

Best Foreign Language Film

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Roma 10 10 18/5 21.74
2 Cold War 11 1 39/10 20.41
3 Capernaum 11 0 9/2 18.18
4 Shoplifters 10 0 5/1 16.67
5 Never Look Away 6 0 9/1 10.00
6 Burning 4 0 14/1 6.67
7 The Guilty 2 0 28/1 3.45
8 Birds of Passage 1 0 60/1 1.64

Best Animated Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Bao 8 6 39/10 20.41
2 Animal Behaviour 8 0 5/1 16.67
3 Lost and Found 8 0 5/1 16.67
4 Bilby 7 1 11/2 15.38
5 Weekends 7 0 6/1 14.29
6 Bird Karma 3 1 14/1 6.67
7 Age of Sail 2 0 25/1 3.85
8 Pepe le Morse 1 1 37/1 2.63
9 One Small Step 1 0 46/1 2.13

Not predicted, but nominated: Late Afternoon.

Best Documentary Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Black Sheep 9 6 69/20 22.47
2 Zion 8 1 9/2 18.18
3 End Game 8 0 5/1 16.67
4 Women of the Gulag 8 0 5/1 16.67
5 Period. End of Sentence. 7 0 6/1 14.29
6 63 Boycott 2 1 20/1 4.76
7 A Night at the Garden 2 1 20/1 4.76
8 Los Comandos 1 0 48/1 2.04

Not predicted, but nominated: Lifeboat.

Best Live Action Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Marguerite 9 1 19/5 20.83
2 Caroline 8 6 4/1 20.00
3 Icare 7 1 11/2 15.38
4 Skin 7 0 6/1 14.29
5 Detainment 7 0 6/1 14.29
6 Fauve 3 0 15/1 6.25
7 May Day 2 0 22/1 4.35
8 Chuchotage 1 1 37/1 2.63
9 Mother 1 0 48/1 2.04
Read more ▸

Oscars checklist 2019: The possible nominees

As I have for the past 2 years, I made a list of the movies that might be nominated at the Oscars this year so I could try to watch as many of them in theaters as possible (thank you, MoviePass and AMC A-List!).

Like 2017 and 2018, I used odds data from Gold Derby to determine the movies that have a realistic chance of being nomninated in each category. Then I made a big list of all overall movies, sorted by most likely to be nominated to least.

Thanks to last year’s list giving me a jumpstart, I fully completed the Oscars Death Race - watching every movie nominated in every category - for the first time! So maybe the list below will be helpful for anyone else who would like to do the same.


Shortcuts


Sort by category

Here’s Gold Derby’s data for all 24 Oscar categories. I downloaded the data on Dec 23 and calculated the “points” for each category using a simple implied probability conversion from fractional odds to decimal points.

Like the past 2 years, I omitted every movie with 0 experts predicting a nomination or win, so only movies that someone thinks might actually be nominated are included.

Columns:

  • NOM = The number of experts who believe a film will be nominated for that award.
  • WIN = The number of experts who believe a film will win that award.
  • ODDS = GoldDerby’s calculated odds of a movie winning that award.
  • PTS = Implied probability (It’s just (Denominator) / (Numerator + Denominator). For example, a title with 4/1 odds is calculated as (1) / (4 + 1) = (1 / 5) = 20%. In other words, the percentage chance of a movie winning that category.)

Here we go!

Best Picture

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born 30 21 13/2 13.33
2 Roma 30 3 15/2 11.76
3 Green Book 30 5 15/2 11.76
4 The Favourite 29 0 17/2 10.53
5 Black Panther 27 1 10/1 9.09
6 If Beale Street Could Talk 28 0 21/2 8.70
7 BlacKkKlansman 26 0 11/1 8.33
8 Vice 27 0 23/2 8.00
9 First Man 21 0 18/1 5.26
10 Mary Poppins Returns 17 0 22/1 4.35
11 Can You Ever Forgive Me? 7 0 52/1 1.89
12 First Reformed 4 0 75/1 1.32
13 A Quiet Place 4 0 92/1 1.08
14 Crazy Rich Asians 4 0 95/1 1.04
15 Widows 3 0 100/1 0.99
16 Eighth Grade 4 0 100/1 0.99
17 Bohemian Rhapsody 3 0 100/1 0.99
18 The Rider 2 0 100/1 0.99
19 Beautiful Boy 1 0 100/1 0.99
20 Leave No Trace 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Director

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Roma (Alfonso Cuaron) 30 27 16/5 23.81
2 A Star Is Born (Bradley Cooper) 28 2 9/2 18.18
3 BlacKkKlansman (Spike Lee) 23 1 6/1 14.29
4 The Favourite (Yorgos Lanthimos) 21 0 13/2 13.33
5 If Beale Street Could Talk (Barry Jenkins) 16 0 9/1 10.00
6 Green Book (Peter Farrelly) 9 0 16/1 5.88
7 First Man (Damien Chazelle) 8 0 20/1 4.76
8 Black Panther (Ryan Coogler) 5 0 30/1 3.23
9 Vice (Adam McKay) 5 0 33/1 2.94
10 Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Marielle Heller) 2 0 80/1 1.23
11 Leave No Trace (Debra Granik) 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 You Were Never Really Here (Lynne Ramsay) 1 0 100/1 0.99
13 First Reformed (Paul Schrader) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born (Lady Gaga) 28 16 19/5 20.83
2 The Favourite (Olivia Colman) 30 6 39/10 20.41
3 The Wife (Glenn Close) 28 6 9/2 18.18
4 Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Melissa McCarthy) 27 2 5/1 16.67
5 Roma (Yalitza Aparicio) 17 0 17/2 10.53
6 Mary Poppins Returns (Emily Blunt) 10 0 15/1 6.25
7 Widows (Viola Davis) 4 0 40/1 2.44
8 Hereditary (Toni Collette) 2 0 80/1 1.23
9 Mary Queen of Scots (Saoirse Ronan) 1 0 100/1 0.99
10 Wildlife (Carey Mulligan) 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 Ben Is Back (Julia Roberts) 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 Cold War (Joanna Kulig) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born (Bradley Cooper) 28 15 19/5 20.83
2 Vice (Christian Bale) 29 7 4/1 20.00
3 Green Book (Viggo Mortensen) 29 5 4/1 20.00
4 Bohemian Rhapsody (Rami Malek) 27 2 5/1 16.67
5 First Reformed (Ethan Hawke) 21 1 13/2 13.33
6 BlacKkKlansman (John David Washington) 8 0 20/1 4.76
7 At Eternity’s Gate (Willem Dafoe) 5 0 33/1 2.94
8 First Man (Ryan Gosling) 2 0 78/1 1.27
9 The Old Man and the Gun (Robert Redford) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Supporting Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 If Beale Street Could Talk (Regina King) 29 21 7/2 22.22
2 Vice (Amy Adams) 26 7 9/2 18.18
3 The Favourite (Rachel Weisz) 27 0 5/1 16.67
4 The Favourite (Emma Stone) 26 1 5/1 16.67
5 First Man (Claire Foy) 19 0 15/2 11.76
6 Boy Erased (Nicole Kidman) 6 0 28/1 3.45
7 Crazy Rich Asians (Michelle Yeoh) 5 1 30/1 3.23
8 Roma (Marina de Tavira) 3 0 54/1 1.82
9 Mary Queen of Scots (Margot Robbie) 2 0 80/1 1.23
10 Widows (Elizabeth Debicki) 2 0 80/1 1.23
11 A Quiet Place (Emily Blunt) 2 0 82/1 1.20
12 Leave No Trace (Thomasin McKenzie) 1 0 100/1 0.99
13 Green Book (Linda Cardellini) 1 0 100/1 0.99
14 What They Had (Blythe Danner) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Supporting Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Green Book (Mahershala Ali) 30 16 7/2 22.22
2 Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Richard E. Grant) 30 5 4/1 20.00
3 A Star Is Born (Sam Elliott) 27 3 9/2 18.18
4 Beautiful Boy (Timothee Chalamet) 23 4 11/2 15.38
5 BlacKkKlansman (Adam Driver) 16 1 9/1 10.00
6 Vice (Sam Rockwell) 9 0 18/1 5.26
7 Black Panther (Michael B. Jordan) 7 1 22/1 4.35
8 Widows (Daniel Kaluuya) 3 0 54/1 1.82
9 Vice (Steve Carell) 2 0 80/1 1.23
10 The Hate U Give (Russell Hornsby) 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 If Beale Street Could Talk (Brian Tyree Henry) 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 The Wife (Jonathan Pryce) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Original Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 The Favourite 29 15 37/10 21.28
2 Roma 29 8 4/1 20.00
3 Green Book 26 4 5/1 16.67
4 First Reformed 23 2 6/1 14.29
5 Vice 20 0 7/1 12.50
6 Eighth Grade 15 1 19/2 9.52
7 A Quiet Place 4 0 40/1 2.44
8 Sorry to Bother You 1 0 100/1 0.99
9 Capernaum 1 0 100/1 0.99
10 Private Life 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Adapted Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 BlacKkKlansman 27 20 19/5 20.83
2 If Beale Street Could Talk 29 5 4/1 20.00
3 A Star Is Born 28 2 9/2 18.18
4 Can You Ever Forgive Me? 28 1 9/2 18.18
5 First Man 10 0 15/1 6.25
6 Leave No Trace 7 0 22/1 4.35
7 Black Panther 6 0 25/1 3.85
8 Widows 4 0 40/1 2.44
9 The Death of Stalin 4 0 40/1 2.44
10 Beautiful Boy 3 2 44/1 2.22
11 Crazy Rich Asians 3 0 54/1 1.82
12 Wildlife 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Cinematography

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Roma 29 27 16/5 23.81
2 The Favourite 26 1 5/1 16.67
3 First Man 25 1 5/1 16.67
4 If Beale Street Could Talk 22 0 6/1 14.29
5 A Star Is Born 18 0 15/2 11.76
6 Black Panther 12 0 12/1 7.69
7 Cold War 7 0 20/1 4.76
8 The Rider 2 0 80/1 1.23
9 Green Book 1 0 100/1 0.99
10 Mary Poppins Returns 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 Widows 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 A Private War 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Film Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Roma 26 11 19/5 20.83
2 First Man 22 12 9/2 18.18
3 A Star Is Born 21 2 11/2 15.38
4 The Favourite 21 0 6/1 14.29
5 Vice 13 0 21/2 8.70
6 Widows 12 1 11/1 8.33
7 Black Panther 9 2 14/1 6.67
8 Green Book 3 0 44/1 2.22
9 22 July 3 0 48/1 2.04
10 BlacKkKlansman 2 0 70/1 1.41
11 Destroyer 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 A Quiet Place 1 0 100/1 0.99
13 If Beale Street Could Talk 1 0 100/1 0.99
14 Mary Poppins Returns 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Costume Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 The Favourite 28 17 17/5 22.73
2 Black Panther 28 9 37/10 21.28
3 Mary Poppins Returns 27 1 9/2 18.18
4 Mary Queen of Scots 26 1 9/2 18.18
5 Colette 7 0 20/1 4.76
6 Crazy Rich Asians 7 0 20/1 4.76
7 Fantastic Beasts 2 6 0 25/1 3.85
8 A Star Is Born 4 0 37/1 2.63
9 Bohemian Rhapsody 3 0 50/1 1.96
10 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 Suspiria 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Vice 9 8 31/20 39.22
2 Black Panther 6 2 4/1 20.00
3 Border 4 0 17/2 10.53
4 Suspiria 3 0 11/1 8.33
5 Stan and Ollie 3 0 11/1 8.33
6 Mary Queen of Scots 3 0 23/2 8.00
7 Bohemian Rhapsody 2 0 18/1 5.26

Best Production Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Black Panther 28 15 17/5 22.73
2 The Favourite 27 11 37/10 21.28
3 First Man 24 1 5/1 16.67
4 Mary Poppins Returns 21 0 6/1 14.29
5 A Star Is Born 12 0 23/2 8.00
6 Roma 10 1 13/1 7.14
7 Crazy Rich Asians 6 0 25/1 3.85
8 Mary Queen of Scots 3 0 48/1 2.04
9 Isle of Dogs 2 0 72/1 1.37
10 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms 1 0 100/1 0.99
11 Fantastic Beasts 2 1 0 100/1 0.99
12 Green Book 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Song

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 A Star Is Born (Shallow) 12 12 16/5 23.81
2 Black Panther (All the Stars) 11 0 9/2 18.18
3 RBG (I’ll Fight) 10 0 11/2 15.38
4 Mary Poppins Returns (The Place Where Lost Things Go) 9 0 6/1 14.29
5 Dumplin’ (Girl in the Movies) 7 0 17/2 10.53
6 Mary Poppins Returns (Trip a Little Light Fantastic) 4 0 14/1 6.67
7 Boy Erased (Revelation) 4 0 16/1 5.88
8 Ballad of Buster Scruggs (When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings) 2 0 33/1 2.94
9 Quincy (Keep Reachin’) 1 0 66/1 1.49

Best Score

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 First Man 12 5 18/5 21.74
2 If Beale Street Could Talk 12 4 19/5 20.83
3 Black Panther 10 1 5/1 16.67
4 Mary Poppins Returns 9 1 6/1 14.29
5 Isle of Dogs 8 0 7/1 12.50
6 BlacKkKlansman 4 0 16/1 5.88
7 A Quiet Place 3 0 22/1 4.35
8 Vice 2 1 28/1 3.45

Best Sound Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 First Man 26 16 37/10 21.28
2 Black Panther 27 3 39/10 20.41
3 A Quiet Place 26 4 4/1 20.00
4 A Star Is Born 25 1 9/2 18.18
5 Roma 21 3 11/2 15.38
6 Mission Impossible: Fallout 6 0 25/1 3.85
7 Incredibles 2 2 0 72/1 1.37
8 Bohemian Rhapsody 1 0 100/1 0.99
1 A Star Is Born 27 8 19/5 20.83

Best Sound Mixing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
2 First Man 25 12 4/1 20.00
3 Black Panther 25 3 9/2 18.18
4 A Quiet Place 20 2 6/1 14.29
5 Mary Poppins Returns 16 0 8/1 11.11
6 Bohemian Rhapsody 12 0 11/1 8.33
7 Roma 8 2 16/1 5.88
8 The Favourite 1 0 100/1 0.99
9 Mission Impossible: Fallout 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Visual Effects

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Black Panther 11 10 16/5 23.81
2 Ready Player One 11 0 4/1 20.00
3 First Man 10 0 9/2 18.18
4 Avengers: Infinity War 8 1 6/1 14.29
5 Mary Poppins Returns 7 0 15/2 11.76
6 Welcome to Marwen 6 0 9/1 10.00
7 Ant-Man and the Wasp 1 0 58/1 1.69
8 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 1 0 60/1 1.64

Best Animated Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Isle of Dogs 28 3 4/1 20.00
2 Incredibles 2 26 11 4/1 20.00
3 Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 24 13 9/2 18.18
4 Ralph Breaks the Internet 27 0 9/2 18.18
5 Mirai 24 0 11/2 15.38
6 Smallfoot 5 1 28/1 3.45
7 Early Man 3 0 48/1 2.04
8 Tito and the Birds 2 0 78/1 1.27
9 The Grinch 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Documentary Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Won’t You Be My Neighbor? 11 5 71/20 21.98
2 Free Solo 10 2 9/2 18.18
3 RBG 9 4 5/1 16.67
4 Three Identical Strangers 8 0 6/1 14.29
5 Minding the Gap 7 0 15/2 11.76
6 Hale County This Morning, This Evening 3 0 20/1 4.76
7 Dark Money 2 0 30/1 3.23
8 Shirkers 2 0 30/1 3.23
9 Crime + Punishment 1 0 58/1 1.69
10 Of Fathers and Sons 1 0 60/1 1.64
11 The Silence of Others 1 0 60/1 1.64

Best Foreign Language Film

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Roma 10 10 18/5 21.74
2 Cold War 11 1 39/10 20.41
3 Capernaum 11 0 9/2 18.18
4 Shoplifters 10 0 5/1 16.67
5 Never Look Away 6 0 9/1 10.00
6 Burning 4 0 14/1 6.67
7 The Guilty 2 0 28/1 3.45
8 Birds of Passage 1 0 60/1 1.64

Best Animated Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Bao 8 6 39/10 20.41
2 Animal Behaviour 8 0 5/1 16.67
3 Lost and Found 8 0 5/1 16.67
4 Bilby 7 1 11/2 15.38
5 Weekends 7 0 6/1 14.29
6 Bird Karma 3 1 14/1 6.67
7 Age of Sail 2 0 25/1 3.85
8 Pepe le Morse 1 1 37/1 2.63
9 One Small Step 1 0 46/1 2.13

Best Documentary Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Black Sheep 9 6 69/20 22.47
2 Zion 8 1 9/2 18.18
3 End Game 8 0 5/1 16.67
4 Women of the Gulag 8 0 5/1 16.67
5 Period. End of Sentence. 7 0 6/1 14.29
6 63 Boycott 2 1 20/1 4.76
7 A Night at the Garden 2 1 20/1 4.76
8 Los Comandos 1 0 48/1 2.04

Best Live Action Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Marguerite 9 1 19/5 20.83
2 Caroline 8 6 4/1 20.00
3 Icare 7 1 11/2 15.38
4 Skin 7 0 6/1 14.29
5 Detainment 7 0 6/1 14.29
6 Fauve 3 0 15/1 6.25
7 May Day 2 0 22/1 4.35
8 Chuchotage 1 1 37/1 2.63
9 Mother 1 0 48/1 2.04

Final List

In past years, I composed the final list of only English feature-length films (no foreign films, no documentaries, no shorts). But this year, some of the foreign films are up in other categories (Roma, Cold War) and many of the documentaries actually played in mainstream theaters nationwide (RBG, Free Solo, Won’t You Be My Neighbor, etc). So for this year’s list, I’ve included all movies except short films.

Altogether, that makes 79 unique movies that may be nominated for an Oscar. A Star is Born is in the lead, but it’s not that far ahead of many other very good movies.

(I know they’re longshots, but I’ll be rooting for Leave No Trace, Eighth Grade, Beautiful Boy, and A Private War!)

Num Movie Points Possible Categories
1. A Star Is Born 210.15 13 (Picture, Director, Actress, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Costume Design, Production Design, Song, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
2. Black Panther 196.12 14 (Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Costume Design, Makeup and Hairstyling, Production Design, Song, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects)
3. The Favourite 174.82 11 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Costume Design, Production Design, Sound Mixing)
4. Roma 162.71 11 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Production Design, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Foreign Language Film)
5. First Man 162.02 12 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Production Design, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects)
6. Vice 119.48 10 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Makeup and Hairstyling, Score)
7. Mary Poppins Returns 103.16 11 (Picture, Actress, Cinematography, Film Editing, Costume Design, Production Design, Song, Song, Score, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects)
8. If Beale Street Could Talk 98.02 8 (Picture, Director, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Score)
9. Green Book 81.73 9 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Production Design)
10. BlacKkKlansman 65.51 7 (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing, Score)
11. Can You Ever Forgive Me? 57.97 5 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay)
12. A Quiet Place 44.34 7 (Picture, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
13. Bohemian Rhapsody 34.20 6 (Picture, Actor, Costume Design, Makeup and Hairstyling, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
14. Isle of Dogs 33.87 3 (Production Design, Score, Animated Feature)
15. RBG 32.05 2 (Song, Documentary Feature)
16. Mary Queen of Scots 30.45 5 (Actress, Supporting Actress, Costume Design, Makeup and Hairstyling, Production Design)
17. First Reformed 29.92 4 (Picture, Director, Actor, Original Screenplay)
18. Cold War 26.16 3 (Actress, Cinematography, Foreign Language Film)
19. Won’t You Be My Neighbor? 21.98 1 (Documentary Feature)
20. Incredibles 2 21.37 2 (Sound Editing, Animated Feature)
21. Ready Player One 20.00 1 (Visual Effects)
22. The Wife 19.17 2 (Actress, Supporting Actor)
23. Capernaum 19.17 2 (Original Screenplay, Foreign Language Film)
24. Beautiful Boy 18.60 3 (Picture, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay)
25. Widows 18.24 7 (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing)
26. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 18.18 1 (Animated Feature)
27. Ralph Breaks the Internet 18.18 1 (Animated Feature)
28. Free Solo 18.18 1 (Documentary Feature)
29. Shoplifters 16.67 1 (Foreign Language Film)
30. Mirai 15.38 1 (Animated Feature)
31. Crazy Rich Asians 14.69 5 (Picture, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Costume Design, Production Design)
32. Avengers: Infinity War 14.29 1 (Visual Effects)
33. Three Identical Strangers 14.29 1 (Documentary Feature)
34. Minding the Gap 11.76 1 (Documentary Feature)
35. Border 10.53 1 (Makeup and Hairstyling)
36. Dumplin’ 10.53 1 (Song)
37. Eighth Grade 10.51 2 (Picture, Original Screenplay)
38. Welcome to Marwen 10.00 1 (Visual Effects)
39. Never Look Away 10.00 1 (Foreign Language Film)
40. Boy Erased 9.33 2 (Supporting Actress, Song)
41. Suspiria 9.32 2 (Costume Design, Makeup and Hairstyling)
42. Stan and Ollie 8.33 1 (Makeup and Hairstyling)
43. Leave No Trace 7.32 4 (Picture, Director, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay)
44. Burning 6.67 1 (Foreign Language Film)
45. Fantastic Beasts 2 4.84 2 (Costume Design, Production Design)
46. Mission Impossible: Fallout 4.84 2 (Sound Editing, Sound Mixing)
47. Colette 4.76 1 (Costume Design)
48. Hale County This Morning, This Evening 4.76 1 (Documentary Feature)
49. Smallfoot 3.45 1 (Animated Feature)
50. The Guilty 3.45 1 (Foreign Language Film)
51. Dark Money 3.23 1 (Documentary Feature)
52. Shirkers 3.23 1 (Documentary Feature)
53. At Eternity’s Gate 2.94 1 (Actor)
54. Ballad of Buster Scruggs 2.94 1 (Song)
55. The Death of Stalin 2.44 1 (Adapted Screenplay)
56. The Rider 2.22 2 (Picture, Cinematography)
57. 22 July 2.04 1 (Film Editing)
58. Early Man 2.04 1 (Animated Feature)
59. Wildlife 1.98 2 (Actress, Adapted Screenplay)
60. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms 1.98 2 (Costume Design, Production Design)
61. Ant-Man and the Wasp 1.69 1 (Visual Effects)
62. Crime + Punishment 1.69 1 (Documentary Feature)
63. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 1.64 1 (Visual Effects)
64. Of Fathers and Sons 1.64 1 (Documentary Feature)
65. The Silence of Others 1.64 1 (Documentary Feature)
66. Birds of Passage 1.64 1 (Foreign Language Film)
67. Quincy 1.49 1 (Song)
68. Tito and the Birds 1.27 1 (Animated Feature)
69. Hereditary 1.23 1 (Actress)
70. You Were Never Really Here 0.99 1 (Director)
71. Ben Is Back 0.99 1 (Actress)
72. The Old Man and the Gun 0.99 1 (Actor)
73. What They Had 0.99 1 (Supporting Actress)
74. The Hate U Give 0.99 1 (Supporting Actor)
75. Sorry to Bother You 0.99 1 (Original Screenplay)
76. Private Life 0.99 1 (Original Screenplay)
77. A Private War 0.99 1 (Cinematography)
78. Destroyer 0.99 1 (Film Editing)
79. The Grinch 0.99 1 (Animated Feature)
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Oscars checklist 2018, take three: all 59 nominated movies, grouped by highest category

For anyone else attempting the Oscars Death Race (watching every movie nominated in every category!), I’ve again made a list of all movies and grouped them by their highest category. This way, it’s a little easier to see which “major” movies you have yet to watch and which other movies you still need to see.1


“Major” categories

9 movies nominated in Best Picture (with 55 total nominations between them!):

  • [13] The Shape of Water
  • [8] Dunkirk
  • [7] Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • [6] Phantom Thread
  • [6] Darkest Hour
  • [5] Lady Bird
  • [4] Get Out
  • [4] Call Me By Your Name
  • [2] The Post

5 more movies nominated in Best Actor/Actress:

  • [4] Mudbound (Best Supporting Actress / Mary J. Blige)
  • [3] I, Tonya (Best Actress / Margot Robbie and Best Supporting Actress / Allison Janney)
  • [1] Roman J. Israel Esq. (Best Best Actor / Denzel Washington)
  • [1] All the Money in the World (Best Supporting Actor / Christopher Plummer)
  • [1] The Florida Project (Best Supporting Actor / Willem Dafoe)

4 more movies nominated in Best Original/Adapted Screenplay:

  • [1] Logan
  • [1] Molly’s Game
  • [1] The Disaster Artist
  • [1] The Big Sick

1 more movie nominated in Best Cinematography:

  • [5] Blade Runner 2049

“Minor” categories

5 more movies nominated in Best Animated Film:

  • [2] Coco
  • [1] Ferdinand
  • [1] Loving Vincent
  • [1] The Boss Baby
  • [1] The Breadwinner

5 more movies nominated in Best Foreign Film:

  • [1] A Fantastic Woman
  • [1] Loveless
  • [1] Of Body and Soul
  • [1] The Insult
  • [1] The Square

5 more movies nominated in Best Documentary:

  • [1] Abacus
  • [1] Faces Places
  • [1] Icarus
  • [1] Last Men in Aleppo
  • [1] Strong Island

Technical categories

10 more movies nominated in technical categories (Best Score / Song / Sound Editing / Sound Mixing / Production Design / Makeup & Hairstyling / Costume Design / Film Editing / Visual Effects):

  • [4] Star Wars: The Last Jedi
  • [3] Baby Driver
  • [2] Beauty and the Beast
  • [2] Victoria and Abdul
  • [1] Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
  • [1] Kong: Skull Island
  • [1] Marshall
  • [1] The Greatest Showman
  • [1] War for the Planet of the Apes
  • [1] Wonder

Short film categories

5 more movies nominated in Best Live Action Short Film:

  • [1] DeKalb Elementary
  • [1] My Nephew Emmett
  • [1] The Eleven O’Clock
  • [1] The Silent Child
  • [1] Watu Wote/All of Us

5 more movies nominated in Best Animated Short Film:

  • [1] Dear Basketball
  • [1] Garden Party
  • [1] Lou
  • [1] Negative Space
  • [1] Revolting Rhymes

5 more movies nominated in Best Documentary - Short Subject:

  • [1] Edith+Eddie
  • [1] Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405
  • [1] Heroin(e)
  • [1] Knife Skills
  • [1] Traffic Stop

By the numbers

There are 24 Oscar categories, with 5 nominees in almost every category (Best Picture has 9 nominees again this year, Makeup & Hairstyling has only 3 nominees per usual).

That means 122 total nominations. Altogether, there are 44 feature-length films and 15 short films nominated (3 fewer than last year!).

If you group everything by their highest-nominated category, you’re looking at…

  • 19 “major” category nominees
  • 15 “minor” category nominees
  • 10 technical category nominees
  • 15 short category nominees

So if you want to watch…

  • All the Best Picture nominees: 9 movies.
  • All the BP + major nominees: 19 movies.
  • All the BP + major + minor nominees: 34 movies.
  • All the BP + major + minor + technical nominees (AKA no shorts): 44 movies.

And if you wanted to watch everything…59 movies!

  1. Of the 34 feature-length English films nominated (AKA everything but the docs/shorts/foreign categories), I’ve managed to watch all but 3 so far: Mudbound (a Netflix original, but I’m hoping they re-release it in theaters now), The Breadwinner (foreign animated movie that I apparently missed in November), and…The Boss Baby (really?!). ↩︎

Read more ▸

Oscars checklist 2018, take two: The snubs and surprises

Now that the Oscar nominations were officially announced today, I think it’s fun to look back at the predicted nominees and see which expected films made the cut. And more interestingly, which movies got snubbed or jumped in the rankings!

Last year, I downloaded the predictions from Gold Derby in November, two months before the nominations were announced - so it wasn’t surprising that some categories were wildly off. But this time, even the best experts’ predictions a few days ago had some surprising omissions. Some movies that no one thought would get nominated made it!

Here’s the same list of predictions as before, but with actual nominees bolded or listed below…


Best Picture

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 31 7 13/2 13.33
2. Lady Bird 31 5 13/2 13.33
3. The Shape of Water 30 6 7/1 12.50
4. Get Out 31 5 8/1 11.11
5. Dunkirk 31 3 8/1 11.11
6. The Post 31 4 8/1 11.11
7. Call Me By Your Name 30 1 10/1 9.09
8. The Florida Project 20 0 22/1 4.35
9. Darkest Hour 17 0 25/1 3.85
10. The Big Sick 19 0 28/1 3.45
11. I, Tonya 14 0 33/1 2.94
12. Mudbound 10 0 50/1 1.96
13. Phantom Thread 5 0 100/1 0.99
14. Wonder Woman 4 0 100/1 0.99
15. Molly’s Game 2 0 100/1 0.99

Best Director

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. The Shape of Water (Guillermo Del Toro) 31 20 21/10 32.26
2. Dunkirk (Christopher Nolan) 31 8 10/3 23.08
3. Lady Bird (Greta Gerwig) 30 2 5/1 16.67
4. Get Out (Jordan Peele) 25 0 17/2 10.53
5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Martin McDonagh) 20 0 11/1 8.33
6. The Post (Steven Spielberg) 12 0 14/1 6.67
7. Call Me By Your Name (Luca Guadagnino) 5 1 33/1 2.94
8. Darkest Hour (Joe Wright) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Nominated but not predicted: Phantom Thread (Paul Thomas Anderson).

Best Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Frances McDormand) 31 23 15/8 34.78
2. Lady Bird (Saoirse Ronan) 30 5 7/2 22.22
3. The Shape of Water (Sally Hawkins) 31 3 4/1 20.00
4. The Post (Meryl Streep) 28 0 15/2 11.76
5. I, Tonya (Margot Robbie) 26 0 9/1 10.00
6. Molly’s Game (Jessica Chastain) 5 0 66/1 1.49
7. Battle of the Sexes (Emma Stone) 1 0 100/1 0.99
8. All the Money in the World (Michelle Williams) 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Wonder Wheel (Kate Winslet) 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool (Annette Bening) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Darkest Hour (Gary Oldman) 31 27 17/10 37.04
2. Call Me By Your Name (Timothee Chalamet) 31 4 7/2 22.22
3. Phantom Thread (Daniel Day-Lewis) 28 0 11/2 15.38
4. Get Out (Daniel Kaluuya) 25 0 17/2 10.53
5. The Disaster Artist (James Franco) 23 0 10/1 9.09
6. The Post (Tom Hanks) 13 0 18/1 5.26
7. Stronger (Jake Gyllenhaal) 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Split (James McAvoy) 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Roman J. Israel, Esq. (Denzel Washington) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Supporting Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. I, Tonya (Allison Janney) 30 17 12/5 29.41
2. Lady Bird (Laurie Metcalf) 31 13 5/2 28.57
3. The Big Sick (Holly Hunter) 27 0 13/2 13.33
4. Mudbound (Mary J. Blige) 25 1 8/1 11.11
5. The Shape of Water (Octavia Spencer) 19 0 12/1 7.69
6. Downsizing (Hong Chau) 8 0 28/1 3.45
7. Phantom Thread (Lesley Manville) 8 0 33/1 2.94
8. Girls Trip (Tiffany Haddish) 4 0 66/1 1.49
9. Darkest Hour (Kristin Scott Thomas) 2 0 100/1 0.99
10. Novitiate (Melissa Leo) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Supporting Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Sam Rockwell) 31 20 21/10 32.26
2. The Florida Project (Willem Dafoe) 31 10 14/5 26.32
3. The Shape of Water (Richard Jenkins) 26 0 7/1 12.50
4. Call Me By Your Name (Armie Hammer) 21 0 10/1 9.09
5. Call Me By Your Name (Michael Stuhlbarg) 14 1 12/1 7.69
6. All the Money in the World (Christopher Plummer) 18 0 14/1 6.67
7. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Woody Harrelson) 10 0 28/1 3.45
8. Mudbound (Jason Mitchell) 3 0 80/1 1.23
9. The Big Sick (Ray Romano) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Adapted Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Call Me By Your Name 30 28 3/2 40.00
2. Mudbound 29 1 9/2 18.18
3. Molly’s Game 28 0 5/1 16.67
4. The Disaster Artist 28 0 11/2 15.38
5. Wonder 12 0 22/1 4.35
6. Logan 7 0 40/1 2.44
7. The Beguiled 6 0 40/1 2.44
8. Victoria and Abdul 3 0 80/1 1.23
9. All the Money in the World 3 0 100/1 0.99
10. Blade Runner 2049 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. Wonderstruck 1 0 100/1 0.99
12. Wonder Woman 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Original Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Get Out 29 14 5/2 28.57
2. Lady Bird 29 9 3/1 25.00
3. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 28 6 7/2 22.22
4. The Shape of Water 25 0 8/1 11.11
5. The Big Sick 20 0 11/1 8.33
6. The Post 14 0 16/1 5.88
7. I, Tonya 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Darkest Hour 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Dunkirk 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. Phantom Thread 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Cinematography

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Blade Runner 2049 29 19 19/10 34.48
2. Dunkirk 29 8 11/4 26.67
3. The Shape of Water 29 1 9/2 18.18
4. Call Me By Your Name 22 0 10/1 9.09
5. Darkest Hour 15 0 14/1 6.67
6. Mudbound 14 0 18/1 5.26
7. Wonder Wheel 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 2 0 100/1 0.99
9. Wonderstruck 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. The Florida Project 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. Get Out 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Costume Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Phantom Thread 27 23 17/10 37.04
2. Beauty and the Beast 27 3 7/2 22.22
3. The Greatest Showman 24 0 13/2 13.33
4. Darkest Hour 21 0 17/2 10.53
5. The Shape of Water 17 1 9/1 10.00
6. Victoria and Abdul 8 0 28/1 3.45
7. Murder on the Orient Express 4 0 66/1 1.49
8. The Beguiled 3 0 80/1 1.23
9. Wonderstruck 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. Blade Runner 2049 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. Wonder Woman 1 0 100/1 0.99
12. The Post 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Film Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Dunkirk 27 25 8/5 38.46
2. The Shape of Water 26 1 9/2 18.18
3. Get Out 25 1 11/2 15.38
4. Blade Runner 2049 17 0 9/1 10.00
5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 13 0 14/1 6.67
6. Baby Driver 13 0 16/1 5.88
7. The Post 6 0 40/1 2.44
8. Lady Bird 2 0 80/1 1.23
9. Darkest Hour 2 0 100/1 0.99
10. Call Me By Your Name 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. I, Tonya 2 0 100/1 0.99
12. Mother! 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Darkest Hour 26 24 10/11 52.38
2. Wonder 18 1 5/1 16.67
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 17 1 5/1 16.67
4. I, Tonya 12 0 10/1 9.09
5. Victoria and Abdul 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Production Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. The Shape of Water 27 15 9/4 30.77
2. Blade Runner 2049 27 9 3/1 25.00
3. Dunkirk 23 2 11/2 15.38
4. Beauty and the Beast 17 0 12/1 7.69
5. Darkest Hour 16 0 12/1 7.69
6. Phantom Thread 13 0 16/1 5.88
7. The Greatest Showman 6 1 25/1 3.85
8. The Post 3 0 80/1 1.23
9. Downsizing 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. Wonder Woman 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. War for the Planet of the Apes 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Score

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. The Shape of Water 26 15 12/5 29.41
2. Dunkirk 26 10 14/5 26.32
3. Phantom Thread 24 2 5/1 16.67
4. The Post 15 0 12/1 7.69
5. Darkest Hour 16 0 14/1 6.67
6. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 7 0 33/1 2.94
7. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 7 0 33/1 2.94
8. Blade Runner 2049 5 0 40/1 2.44
9. Coco 5 0 40/1 2.44
10. Victoria and Abdul 2 0 100/1 0.99
11. Wonder Woman 1 0 100/1 0.99
12. War for the Planet of the Apes 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Song

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Coco (Remember Me) 26 23 7/4 36.36
2. The Greatest Showman (This Is Me) 26 3 4/1 20.00
3. Call Me By Your Name (The Mystery of Love) 23 1 11/2 15.38
4. Beauty and the Beast (Evermore) 24 0 13/2 13.33
5. Marshall (Stand Up for Something) 17 0 14/1 6.67
6. Mudbound (Mighty River) 14 0 16/1 5.88
7. The Promise (The Promise (song)) 2 0 80/1 1.23
8. Cries From Syria (Prayers for This World) 2 0 100/1 0.99
9. Fifty Shades Darker (I Don’t Wanna Live Forever) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Sound Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Dunkirk 27 27 3/2 40.00
2. Blade Runner 2049 27 0 4/1 20.00
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 21 0 7/1 12.50
4. Baby Driver 23 0 7/1 12.50
5. The Shape of Water 16 0 14/1 6.67
6. War for the Planet of the Apes 15 0 14/1 6.67
7. Wonder Woman 4 0 66/1 1.49
8. Beauty and the Beast 2 0 100/1 0.99

Best Sound Mixing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Dunkirk 27 22 9/5 35.71
2. Blade Runner 2049 25 4 4/1 20.00
3. The Shape of Water 24 0 11/2 15.38
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 22 0 17/2 10.53
5. Baby Driver 19 0 10/1 9.09
6. War for the Planet of the Apes 6 0 33/1 2.94
7. The Greatest Showman 5 0 40/1 2.44
8. Wonder Woman 3 1 40/1 2.44
9. Beauty and the Beast 4 0 66/1 1.49

Best Visual Effects

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. War for the Planet of the Apes 27 21 15/8 34.78
2. Blade Runner 2049 26 5 7/2 22.22
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 27 0 11/2 15.38
4. Dunkirk 26 1 13/2 13.33
5. The Shape of Water 23 0 8/1 11.11
6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 2 0 100/1 0.99
7. Okja 2 0 100/1 0.99

Nominated but not predicted: Kong: Skull Island.

Best Animated Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Coco 26 26 3/2 40.00
2. The Breadwinner 26 0 9/2 18.18
3. Loving Vincent 26 0 9/2 18.18
4. The Lego Batman Movie 23 0 15/2 11.76
5. Ferdinand 18 0 12/1 7.69
6. Mary and the Witch’s Flower 6 0 40/1 2.44
7. Captain Underpants 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Despicable Me 3 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Boss Baby 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. In This Corner of The World 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Documentary Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Jane 27 21 15/8 34.78
2. Faces Places 26 3 4/1 20.00
3. City of Ghosts 25 2 5/1 16.67
4. Last Men in Aleppo 22 0 17/2 10.53
5. Icarus 19 0 11/1 8.33
6. Strong Island 6 0 33/1 2.94
7. Human Flow 2 1 50/1 1.96
8. LA 92 2 0 66/1 1.49
9. Chasing Coral 3 0 80/1 1.23
10. Ex Libris: The New York Public Library 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. An Inconvenient Sequel 1 0 100/1 0.99
12. One of Us 1 0 100/1 0.99

Nominated but not predicted: Abacus: Small Enough to Jail.

Best Foreign Language Film

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. A Fantastic Woman 26 14 12/5 29.41
2. The Square 25 5 7/2 22.22
3. Foxtrot 25 3 9/2 18.18
4. In the Fade 23 4 11/2 15.38
5. Loveless 23 0 8/1 11.11
6. The Insult 5 0 40/1 2.44
7. The Wound 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Felicite 1 0 100/1 0.99

Nominated but not predicted: On Body and Soul.

Best Animated Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. In a Heartbeat 21 14 23/10 30.30
2. Dear Basketball 22 7 3/1 25.00
3. Cradle 19 1 6/1 14.29
4. Negative Space 22 0 15/2 11.76
5. Lou 18 0 9/1 10.00
6. Lost Property Office 4 1 22/1 4.35
7. Fox and the Whale 6 0 28/1 3.45
8. Life Smartphone 3 0 80/1 1.23

Nominated but not predicted: Garden Party, Revolting Rhymes.

Best Documentary Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Alone 21 15 11/5 31.25
2. Heroin(e) 22 3 7/2 22.22
3. Ten Meter Tower 21 2 9/2 18.18
4. 116 Cameras 19 0 8/1 11.11
5. Edith+Eddie 18 1 17/2 10.53
6. Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405 4 1 25/1 3.85
7. Ram Dass, Going Home 3 0 50/1 1.96
8. Kayayo: The Living Shopping Baskets 2 0 80/1 1.23

Nominated but not predicted: Knife Skills, Traffic Stop.

Best Live Action Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. DeKalb Elementary 18 15 2/1 33.33
2. The Silent Child 19 3 4/1 20.00
3. Watu Wote / All of Us 19 1 9/2 18.18
4. My Nephew Emmett 18 0 15/2 11.76
5. Rise of a Star 14 0 12/1 7.69
6. Facing Mecca 8 0 20/1 4.76
7. Witnesses 1 1 50/1 1.96
8. The Eleven O’Clock 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Lost Face 1 0 100/1 0.99
Read more ▸

Oscars checklist 2018: the contenders

A year ago, I made a list of every movie contending for an Oscar so I could watch as many as I could in theaters. And it worked! I watched lots of movies I might have otherwise skipped. And by Oscar night, I’d seen every nominated movie but one!1

I know the official nominees will be announced soon, but I find this stuff fascinating anyways. It’s always interesting to see how many of the actual nominees the experts predict correctly!

I again used odds data from Gold Derby’s experts to calculate “points” for each movie with a chance of earning a nomination. This time, I didn’t make the mistake of trying to actually calculate the data in Markdown tables this time. Who would’ve guessed that actual spreadsheet software would be better for doing lots of calculations? :-D

If you’re curious about the exact methodology I used, you can read my post from last year. Otherwise, let’s move on to the (hopeful) nominees!


Shortcuts


Sort by category

Here’s Gold Derby’s data for all 24 Oscar categories. I downloaded the data on 1/20 and calculated the “points” for each category using a simple implied probability conversion from fractional odds to decimal points.

Like last year, I omitted every movie with 0 experts predicting a nomination or win, so only movies that someone thinks might actually be nominated are included.

Columns:

  • NOM = The number of experts who believe a film will be nominated for that award.
  • WIN = The number of experts who believe a film will win for that award.
  • ODDS = GoldDerby’s calculated odds of a movie winning that award.
  • PTS = Implied probability, calculated correctly this year! It’s just (Denominator) / (Numerator + Denominator). For example, a title with 4/1 odds is calculated as (1) / (4 + 1) = (1 / 5) = 20%. In other words, it’s the percentage chance of a movie winning that category.

Best Picture

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 31 7 13/2 13.33
2. Lady Bird 31 5 13/2 13.33
3. The Shape of Water 30 6 7/1 12.50
4. Get Out 31 5 8/1 11.11
5. Dunkirk 31 3 8/1 11.11
6. The Post 31 4 8/1 11.11
7. Call Me By Your Name 30 1 10/1 9.09
8. The Florida Project 20 0 22/1 4.35
9. Darkest Hour 17 0 25/1 3.85
10. The Big Sick 19 0 28/1 3.45
11. I, Tonya 14 0 33/1 2.94
12. Mudbound 10 0 50/1 1.96
13. Phantom Thread 5 0 100/1 0.99
14. Wonder Woman 4 0 100/1 0.99
15. Molly’s Game 2 0 100/1 0.99

Best Director

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. The Shape of Water (Guillermo Del Toro) 31 20 21/10 32.26
2. Dunkirk (Christopher Nolan) 31 8 10/3 23.08
3. Lady Bird (Greta Gerwig) 30 2 5/1 16.67
4. Get Out (Jordan Peele) 25 0 17/2 10.53
5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Martin McDonagh) 20 0 11/1 8.33
6. The Post (Steven Spielberg) 12 0 14/1 6.67
7. Call Me By Your Name (Luca Guadagnino) 5 1 33/1 2.94
8. Darkest Hour (Joe Wright) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Frances McDormand) 31 23 15/8 34.78
2. Lady Bird (Saoirse Ronan) 30 5 7/2 22.22
3. The Shape of Water (Sally Hawkins) 31 3 4/1 20.00
4. The Post (Meryl Streep) 28 0 15/2 11.76
5. I, Tonya (Margot Robbie) 26 0 9/1 10.00
6. Molly’s Game (Jessica Chastain) 5 0 66/1 1.49
7. Battle of the Sexes (Emma Stone) 1 0 100/1 0.99
8. All the Money in the World (Michelle Williams) 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Wonder Wheel (Kate Winslet) 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool (Annette Bening) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Darkest Hour (Gary Oldman) 31 27 17/10 37.04
2. Call Me By Your Name (Timothee Chalamet) 31 4 7/2 22.22
3. Phantom Thread (Daniel Day-Lewis) 28 0 11/2 15.38
4. Get Out (Daniel Kaluuya) 25 0 17/2 10.53
5. The Disaster Artist (James Franco) 23 0 10/1 9.09
6. The Post (Tom Hanks) 13 0 18/1 5.26
7. Stronger (Jake Gyllenhaal) 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Split (James McAvoy) 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Roman J. Israel, Esq. (Denzel Washington) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Supporting Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. I, Tonya (Allison Janney) 30 17 12/5 29.41
2. Lady Bird (Laurie Metcalf) 31 13 5/2 28.57
3. The Big Sick (Holly Hunter) 27 0 13/2 13.33
4. Mudbound (Mary J. Blige) 25 1 8/1 11.11
5. The Shape of Water (Octavia Spencer) 19 0 12/1 7.69
6. Downsizing (Hong Chau) 8 0 28/1 3.45
7. Phantom Thread (Lesley Manville) 8 0 33/1 2.94
8. Girls Trip (Tiffany Haddish) 4 0 66/1 1.49
9. Darkest Hour (Kristin Scott Thomas) 2 0 100/1 0.99
10. Novitiate (Melissa Leo) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Supporting Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Sam Rockwell) 31 20 21/10 32.26
2. The Florida Project (Willem Dafoe) 31 10 14/5 26.32
3. The Shape of Water (Richard Jenkins) 26 0 7/1 12.50
4. Call Me By Your Name (Armie Hammer) 21 0 10/1 9.09
5. Call Me By Your Name (Michael Stuhlbarg) 14 1 12/1 7.69
6. All the Money in the World (Christopher Plummer) 18 0 14/1 6.67
7. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Woody Harrelson) 10 0 28/1 3.45
8. Mudbound (Jason Mitchell) 3 0 80/1 1.23
9. The Big Sick (Ray Romano) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Adapted Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Call Me By Your Name 30 28 3/2 40.00
2. Mudbound 29 1 9/2 18.18
3. Molly’s Game 28 0 5/1 16.67
4. The Disaster Artist 28 0 11/2 15.38
5. Wonder 12 0 22/1 4.35
6. Logan 7 0 40/1 2.44
7. The Beguiled 6 0 40/1 2.44
8. Victoria and Abdul 3 0 80/1 1.23
9. All the Money in the World 3 0 100/1 0.99
10. Blade Runner 2049 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. Wonderstruck 1 0 100/1 0.99
12. Wonder Woman 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Original Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Get Out 29 14 5/2 28.57
2. Lady Bird 29 9 3/1 25.00
3. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 28 6 7/2 22.22
4. The Shape of Water 25 0 8/1 11.11
5. The Big Sick 20 0 11/1 8.33
6. The Post 14 0 16/1 5.88
7. I, Tonya 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Darkest Hour 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Dunkirk 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. Phantom Thread 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Cinematography

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Blade Runner 2049 29 19 19/10 34.48
2. Dunkirk 29 8 11/4 26.67
3. The Shape of Water 29 1 9/2 18.18
4. Call Me By Your Name 22 0 10/1 9.09
5. Darkest Hour 15 0 14/1 6.67
6. Mudbound 14 0 18/1 5.26
7. Wonder Wheel 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 2 0 100/1 0.99
9. Wonderstruck 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. The Florida Project 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. Get Out 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Costume Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Phantom Thread 27 23 17/10 37.04
2. Beauty and the Beast 27 3 7/2 22.22
3. The Greatest Showman 24 0 13/2 13.33
4. Darkest Hour 21 0 17/2 10.53
5. The Shape of Water 17 1 9/1 10.00
6. Victoria and Abdul 8 0 28/1 3.45
7. Murder on the Orient Express 4 0 66/1 1.49
8. The Beguiled 3 0 80/1 1.23
9. Wonderstruck 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. Blade Runner 2049 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. Wonder Woman 1 0 100/1 0.99
12. The Post 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Film Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Dunkirk 27 25 8/5 38.46
2. The Shape of Water 26 1 9/2 18.18
3. Get Out 25 1 11/2 15.38
4. Blade Runner 2049 17 0 9/1 10.00
5. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 13 0 14/1 6.67
6. Baby Driver 13 0 16/1 5.88
7. The Post 6 0 40/1 2.44
8. Lady Bird 2 0 80/1 1.23
9. Darkest Hour 2 0 100/1 0.99
10. Call Me By Your Name 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. I, Tonya 2 0 100/1 0.99
12. Mother! 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Darkest Hour 26 24 10/11 52.38
2. Wonder 18 1 5/1 16.67
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 17 1 5/1 16.67
4. I, Tonya 12 0 10/1 9.09
5. Victoria and Abdul 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Production Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. The Shape of Water 27 15 9/4 30.77
2. Blade Runner 2049 27 9 3/1 25.00
3. Dunkirk 23 2 11/2 15.38
4. Beauty and the Beast 17 0 12/1 7.69
5. Darkest Hour 16 0 12/1 7.69
6. Phantom Thread 13 0 16/1 5.88
7. The Greatest Showman 6 1 25/1 3.85
8. The Post 3 0 80/1 1.23
9. Downsizing 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. Wonder Woman 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. War for the Planet of the Apes 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Score

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. The Shape of Water 26 15 12/5 29.41
2. Dunkirk 26 10 14/5 26.32
3. Phantom Thread 24 2 5/1 16.67
4. The Post 15 0 12/1 7.69
5. Darkest Hour 16 0 14/1 6.67
6. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 7 0 33/1 2.94
7. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 7 0 33/1 2.94
8. Blade Runner 2049 5 0 40/1 2.44
9. Coco 5 0 40/1 2.44
10. Victoria and Abdul 2 0 100/1 0.99
11. Wonder Woman 1 0 100/1 0.99
12. War for the Planet of the Apes 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Song

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Coco (Remember Me) 26 23 7/4 36.36
2. The Greatest Showman (This Is Me) 26 3 4/1 20.00
3. Call Me By Your Name (The Mystery of Love) 23 1 11/2 15.38
4. Beauty and the Beast (Evermore) 24 0 13/2 13.33
5. Marshall (Stand Up for Something) 17 0 14/1 6.67
6. Mudbound (Mighty River) 14 0 16/1 5.88
7. The Promise (The Promise (song)) 2 0 80/1 1.23
8. Cries From Syria (Prayers for This World) 2 0 100/1 0.99
9. Fifty Shades Darker (I Don’t Wanna Live Forever) 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Sound Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Dunkirk 27 27 3/2 40.00
2. Blade Runner 2049 27 0 4/1 20.00
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 21 0 7/1 12.50
4. Baby Driver 23 0 7/1 12.50
5. The Shape of Water 16 0 14/1 6.67
6. War for the Planet of the Apes 15 0 14/1 6.67
7. Wonder Woman 4 0 66/1 1.49
8. Beauty and the Beast 2 0 100/1 0.99

Best Sound Mixing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Dunkirk 27 22 9/5 35.71
2. Blade Runner 2049 25 4 4/1 20.00
3. The Shape of Water 24 0 11/2 15.38
4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 22 0 17/2 10.53
5. Baby Driver 19 0 10/1 9.09
6. War for the Planet of the Apes 6 0 33/1 2.94
7. The Greatest Showman 5 0 40/1 2.44
8. Wonder Woman 3 1 40/1 2.44
9. Beauty and the Beast 4 0 66/1 1.49

Best Visual Effects

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. War for the Planet of the Apes 27 21 15/8 34.78
2. Blade Runner 2049 26 5 7/2 22.22
3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 27 0 11/2 15.38
4. Dunkirk 26 1 13/2 13.33
5. The Shape of Water 23 0 8/1 11.11
6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 2 0 100/1 0.99
7. Okja 2 0 100/1 0.99

Best Animated Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Coco 26 26 3/2 40.00
2. The Breadwinner 26 0 9/2 18.18
3. Loving Vincent 26 0 9/2 18.18
4. The Lego Batman Movie 23 0 15/2 11.76
5. Ferdinand 18 0 12/1 7.69
6. Mary and the Witch’s Flower 6 0 40/1 2.44
7. Captain Underpants 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Despicable Me 3 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Boss Baby 1 0 100/1 0.99
10. In This Corner of The World 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Documentary Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Jane 27 21 15/8 34.78
2. Faces Places 26 3 4/1 20.00
3. City of Ghosts 25 2 5/1 16.67
4. Last Men in Aleppo 22 0 17/2 10.53
5. Icarus 19 0 11/1 8.33
6. Strong Island 6 0 33/1 2.94
7. Human Flow 2 1 50/1 1.96
8. LA 92 2 0 66/1 1.49
9. Chasing Coral 3 0 80/1 1.23
10. Ex Libris: The New York Public Library 1 0 100/1 0.99
11. An Inconvenient Sequel 1 0 100/1 0.99
12. One of Us 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Foreign Language Film

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. A Fantastic Woman 26 14 12/5 29.41
2. The Square 25 5 7/2 22.22
3. Foxtrot 25 3 9/2 18.18
4. In the Fade 23 4 11/2 15.38
5. Loveless 23 0 8/1 11.11
6. The Insult 5 0 40/1 2.44
7. The Wound 2 0 100/1 0.99
8. Felicite 1 0 100/1 0.99

Best Animated Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. In a Heartbeat 21 14 23/10 30.30
2. Dear Basketball 22 7 3/1 25.00
3. Cradle 19 1 6/1 14.29
4. Negative Space 22 0 15/2 11.76
5. Lou 18 0 9/1 10.00
6. Lost Property Office 4 1 22/1 4.35
7. Fox and the Whale 6 0 28/1 3.45
8. Life Smartphone 3 0 80/1 1.23

Best Documentary Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. Alone 21 15 11/5 31.25
2. Heroin(e) 22 3 7/2 22.22
3. Ten Meter Tower 21 2 9/2 18.18
4. 116 Cameras 19 0 8/1 11.11
5. Edith+Eddie 18 1 17/2 10.53
6. Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405 4 1 25/1 3.85
7. Ram Dass, Going Home 3 0 50/1 1.96
8. Kayayo: The Living Shopping Baskets 2 0 80/1 1.23

Best Live Action Short

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1. DeKalb Elementary 18 15 2/1 33.33
2. The Silent Child 19 3 4/1 20.00
3. Watu Wote / All of Us 19 1 9/2 18.18
4. My Nephew Emmett 18 0 15/2 11.76
5. Rise of a Star 14 0 12/1 7.69
6. Facing Mecca 8 0 20/1 4.76
7. Witnesses 1 1 50/1 1.96
8. The Eleven O’Clock 1 0 100/1 0.99
9. Lost Face 1 0 100/1 0.99

By Movie

Here’s the list of movies sorted alphabetically. If you want to skip this, you can just skip down to the final list.

  • All the Money in the World (8.65 total points)
    • 6.67 pts (6th) for Best Supporting Actor (Christopher Plummer) (14/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (8th) for Best Actress (Michelle Williams) (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Adapted Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • Baby Driver (27.47 total points)
    • 12.50 pts (4th) for Best Sound Editing (7/1 odds)
    • 9.09 pts (5th) for Best Sound Mixing (10/1 odds)
    • 5.88 pts (6th) for Best Film Editing (16/1 odds)
  • Battle of the Sexes (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (7th) for Best Actress (Emma Stone) (100/1 odds)
  • Beauty and the Beast (45.73 total points)
    • 22.22 pts (2nd) for Best Costume Design (7/2 odds)
    • 13.33 pts (4th) for Best Song (Evermore) (13/2 odds)
    • 7.69 pts (4th) for Best Production Design (12/1 odds)
    • 1.49 pts (9th) for Best Sound Mixing (66/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (8th) for Best Sound Editing (100/1 odds)
  • Blade Runner 2049 (136.12 total points)
    • 34.48 pts (1st) for Best Cinematography (19/10 odds)
    • 25.00 pts (2nd) for Best Production Design (3/1 odds)
    • 22.22 pts (2nd) for Best Visual Effects (7/2 odds)
    • 20.00 pts (2nd) for Best Sound Editing (4/1 odds)
    • 20.00 pts (2nd) for Best Sound Mixing (4/1 odds)
    • 10.00 pts (4th) for Best Film Editing (9/1 odds)
    • 2.44 pts (8th) for Best Score (40/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Adapted Screenplay (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Costume Design (100/1 odds)
  • Boss Baby (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Animated Feature (100/1 odds)
  • Call Me By Your Name (116.50 total points)
    • 40.00 pts (1st) for Best Adapted Screenplay (3/2 odds)
    • 22.22 pts (2nd) for Best Actor (Timothee Chalamet) (7/2 odds)
    • 15.38 pts (3rd) for Best Song (The Mystery of Love) (11/2 odds)
    • 9.09 pts (7th) for Best Picture (10/1 odds)
    • 9.09 pts (4th) for Best Supporting Actor (Armie Hammer) (10/1 odds)
    • 9.09 pts (4th) for Best Cinematography (10/1 odds)
    • 7.69 pts (5th) for Best Supporting Actor (Michael Stuhlbarg) (12/1 odds)
    • 2.94 pts (7th) for Best Director (Luca Guadagnino) (33/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Film Editing (100/1 odds)
  • Captain Underpants (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (7th) for Best Animated Feature (100/1 odds)
  • Coco (78.80 total points)
    • 40.00 pts (1st) for Best Animated Feature (3/2 odds)
    • 36.36 pts (1st) for Best Song (Remember Me) (7/4 odds)
    • 2.44 pts (9th) for Best Score (40/1 odds)
  • Cries From Syria (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (8th) for Best Song (Prayers for This World) (100/1 odds)
  • Darkest Hour (128.78 total points)
    • 52.38 pts (1st) for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (10/11 odds)
    • 37.04 pts (1st) for Best Actor (Gary Oldman) (17/10 odds)
    • 10.53 pts (4th) for Best Costume Design (17/2 odds)
    • 7.69 pts (5th) for Best Production Design (12/1 odds)
    • 6.67 pts (5th) for Best Cinematography (14/1 odds)
    • 6.67 pts (5th) for Best Score (14/1 odds)
    • 3.85 pts (9th) for Best Picture (25/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (8th) for Best Director (Joe Wright) (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Supporting Actress (Kristin Scott Thomas) (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (8th) for Best Original Screenplay (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Film Editing (100/1 odds)
  • Despicable Me 3 (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (8th) for Best Animated Feature (100/1 odds)
  • Downsizing (4.44 total points)
    • 3.45 pts (6th) for Best Supporting Actress (Hong Chau) (28/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Production Design (100/1 odds)
  • Dunkirk (231.05 total points)
    • 40.00 pts (1st) for Best Sound Editing (3/2 odds)
    • 38.46 pts (1st) for Best Film Editing (8/5 odds)
    • 35.71 pts (1st) for Best Sound Mixing (9/5 odds)
    • 26.67 pts (2nd) for Best Cinematography (11/4 odds)
    • 26.32 pts (2nd) for Best Score (14/5 odds)
    • 23.08 pts (2nd) for Best Director (Christopher Nolan) (10/3 odds)
    • 15.38 pts (3rd) for Best Production Design (11/2 odds)
    • 13.33 pts (4th) for Best Visual Effects (13/2 odds)
    • 11.11 pts (5th) for Best Picture (8/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Original Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • Ferdinand (7.69 total points)
    • 7.69 pts (5th) for Best Animated Feature (12/1 odds)
  • Fifty Shades Darker (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Song (I Don’t Wanna Live Forever) (100/1 odds)
  • Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Actress (Annette Bening) (100/1 odds)
  • Get Out (77.11 total points)
    • 28.57 pts (1st) for Best Original Screenplay (5/2 odds)
    • 15.38 pts (3rd) for Best Film Editing (11/2 odds)
    • 11.11 pts (4th) for Best Picture (8/1 odds)
    • 10.53 pts (4th) for Best Director (Jordan Peele) (17/2 odds)
    • 10.53 pts (4th) for Best Actor (Daniel Kaluuya) (17/2 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (11th) for Best Cinematography (100/1 odds)
  • Girls Trip (1.49 total points)
    • 1.49 pts (8th) for Best Supporting Actress (Tiffany Haddish) (66/1 odds)
  • Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (17.66 total points)
    • 16.67 pts (3rd) for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (5/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (6th) for Best Visual Effects (100/1 odds)
  • I, Tonya (53.42 total points)
    • 29.41 pts (1st) for Best Supporting Actress (Allison Janney) (12/5 odds)
    • 10.00 pts (5th) for Best Actress (Margot Robbie) (9/1 odds)
    • 9.09 pts (4th) for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (10/1 odds)
    • 2.94 pts (11th) for Best Picture (33/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (7th) for Best Original Screenplay (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (11th) for Best Film Editing (100/1 odds)
  • In This Corner of The World (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Animated Feature (100/1 odds)
  • Lady Bird (107.03 total points)
    • 28.57 pts (2nd) for Best Supporting Actress (Laurie Metcalf) (5/2 odds)
    • 25.00 pts (2nd) for Best Original Screenplay (3/1 odds)
    • 22.22 pts (2nd) for Best Actress (Saoirse Ronan) (7/2 odds)
    • 16.67 pts (3rd) for Best Director (Greta Gerwig) (5/1 odds)
    • 13.33 pts (2nd) for Best Picture (13/2 odds)
    • 1.23 pts (8th) for Best Film Editing (80/1 odds)
  • Logan (2.44 total points)
    • 2.44 pts (6th) for Best Adapted Screenplay (40/1 odds)
  • Loving Vincent (18.18 total points)
    • 18.18 pts (3rd) for Best Animated Feature (9/2 odds)
  • Marshall (6.67 total points)
    • 6.67 pts (5th) for Best Song (Stand Up for Something) (14/1 odds)
  • Mary and the Witch’s Flower (2.44 total points)
    • 2.44 pts (6th) for Best Animated Feature (40/1 odds)
  • Molly’s Game (19.15 total points)
    • 16.67 pts (3rd) for Best Adapted Screenplay (5/1 odds)
    • 1.49 pts (6th) for Best Actress (Jessica Chastain) (66/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (15th) for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
  • Mother! (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (12nd) for Best Film Editing (100/1 odds)
  • Mudbound (43.63 total points)
    • 18.18 pts (2nd) for Best Adapted Screenplay (9/2 odds)
    • 11.11 pts (4th) for Best Supporting Actress (Mary J. Blige) (8/1 odds)
    • 5.88 pts (6th) for Best Song (Mighty River) (16/1 odds)
    • 5.26 pts (6th) for Best Cinematography (18/1 odds)
    • 1.96 pts (12nd) for Best Picture (50/1 odds)
    • 1.23 pts (8th) for Best Supporting Actor (Jason Mitchell) (80/1 odds)
  • Murder on the Orient Express (1.49 total points)
    • 1.49 pts (7th) for Best Costume Design (66/1 odds)
  • Novitiate (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Supporting Actress (Melissa Leo) (100/1 odds)
  • Okja (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (7th) for Best Visual Effects (100/1 odds)
  • Phantom Thread (79.89 total points)
    • 37.04 pts (1st) for Best Costume Design (17/10 odds)
    • 16.67 pts (3rd) for Best Score (5/1 odds)
    • 15.38 pts (3rd) for Best Actor (Daniel Day-Lewis) (11/2 odds)
    • 5.88 pts (6th) for Best Production Design (16/1 odds)
    • 2.94 pts (7th) for Best Supporting Actress (Lesley Manville) (33/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (13th) for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Original Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • Roman J. Israel, Esq. (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Actor (Denzel Washington) (100/1 odds)
  • Split (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (8th) for Best Actor (James McAvoy) (100/1 odds)
  • Star Wars: The Last Jedi (41.35 total points)
    • 15.38 pts (3rd) for Best Visual Effects (11/2 odds)
    • 12.50 pts (3rd) for Best Sound Editing (7/1 odds)
    • 10.53 pts (4th) for Best Sound Mixing (17/2 odds)
    • 2.94 pts (7th) for Best Score (33/1 odds)
  • Stronger (0.99 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (7th) for Best Actor (Jake Gyllenhaal) (100/1 odds)
  • The Beguiled (3.67 total points)
    • 2.44 pts (7th) for Best Adapted Screenplay (40/1 odds)
    • 1.23 pts (8th) for Best Costume Design (80/1 odds)
  • The Big Sick (26.11 total points)
    • 13.33 pts (3rd) for Best Supporting Actress (Holly Hunter) (13/2 odds)
    • 8.33 pts (5th) for Best Original Screenplay (11/1 odds)
    • 3.45 pts (10th) for Best Picture (28/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Supporting Actor (Ray Romano) (100/1 odds)
  • The Breadwinner (18.18 total points)
    • 18.18 pts (2nd) for Best Animated Feature (9/2 odds)
  • The Disaster Artist (24.48 total points)
    • 15.38 pts (4th) for Best Adapted Screenplay (11/2 odds)
    • 9.09 pts (5th) for Best Actor (James Franco) (10/1 odds)
  • The Florida Project (31.65 total points)
    • 26.32 pts (2nd) for Best Supporting Actor (Willem Dafoe) (14/5 odds)
    • 4.35 pts (8th) for Best Picture (22/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Cinematography (100/1 odds)
  • The Greatest Showman (39.62 total points)
    • 20.00 pts (2nd) for Best Song (This Is Me) (4/1 odds)
    • 13.33 pts (3rd) for Best Costume Design (13/2 odds)
    • 3.85 pts (7th) for Best Production Design (25/1 odds)
    • 2.44 pts (7th) for Best Sound Mixing (40/1 odds)
  • The Lego Batman Movie (11.76 total points)
    • 11.76 pts (4th) for Best Animated Feature (15/2 odds)
  • The Post (53.04 total points)
    • 11.76 pts (4th) for Best Actress (Meryl Streep) (15/2 odds)
    • 11.11 pts (6th) for Best Picture (8/1 odds)
    • 7.69 pts (4th) for Best Score (12/1 odds)
    • 6.67 pts (6th) for Best Director (Steven Spielberg) (14/1 odds)
    • 5.88 pts (6th) for Best Original Screenplay (16/1 odds)
    • 5.26 pts (6th) for Best Actor (Tom Hanks) (18/1 odds)
    • 2.44 pts (7th) for Best Film Editing (40/1 odds)
    • 1.23 pts (8th) for Best Production Design (80/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (12nd) for Best Costume Design (100/1 odds)
  • The Promise (1.23 total points)
    • 1.23 pts (7th) for Best Song (The Promise (song)) (80/1 odds)
  • The Shape of Water (235.77 total points)
    • 32.26 pts (1st) for Best Director (Guillermo Del Toro) (21/10 odds)
    • 30.77 pts (1st) for Best Production Design (9/4 odds)
    • 29.41 pts (1st) for Best Score (12/5 odds)
    • 20.00 pts (3rd) for Best Actress (Sally Hawkins) (4/1 odds)
    • 18.18 pts (3rd) for Best Cinematography (9/2 odds)
    • 18.18 pts (2nd) for Best Film Editing (9/2 odds)
    • 15.38 pts (3rd) for Best Sound Mixing (11/2 odds)
    • 12.50 pts (3rd) for Best Picture (7/1 odds)
    • 12.50 pts (3rd) for Best Supporting Actor (Richard Jenkins) (7/1 odds)
    • 11.11 pts (4th) for Best Original Screenplay (8/1 odds)
    • 11.11 pts (5th) for Best Visual Effects (8/1 odds)
    • 10.00 pts (5th) for Best Costume Design (9/1 odds)
    • 7.69 pts (5th) for Best Supporting Actress (Octavia Spencer) (12/1 odds)
    • 6.67 pts (5th) for Best Sound Editing (14/1 odds)
  • Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (124.98 total points)
    • 34.78 pts (1st) for Best Actress (Frances McDormand) (15/8 odds)
    • 32.26 pts (1st) for Best Supporting Actor (Sam Rockwell) (21/10 odds)
    • 22.22 pts (3rd) for Best Original Screenplay (7/2 odds)
    • 13.33 pts (1st) for Best Picture (13/2 odds)
    • 8.33 pts (5th) for Best Director (Martin McDonagh) (11/1 odds)
    • 6.67 pts (5th) for Best Film Editing (14/1 odds)
    • 3.45 pts (7th) for Best Supporting Actor (Woody Harrelson) (28/1 odds)
    • 2.94 pts (6th) for Best Score (33/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (8th) for Best Cinematography (100/1 odds)
  • Victoria and Abdul (6.66 total points)
    • 3.45 pts (6th) for Best Costume Design (28/1 odds)
    • 1.23 pts (8th) for Best Adapted Screenplay (80/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (5th) for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Score (100/1 odds)
  • War for the Planet of the Apes (46.37 total points)
    • 34.78 pts (1st) for Best Visual Effects (15/8 odds)
    • 6.67 pts (6th) for Best Sound Editing (14/1 odds)
    • 2.94 pts (6th) for Best Sound Mixing (33/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (11th) for Best Production Design (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (12nd) for Best Score (100/1 odds)
  • Wonder (21.01 total points)
    • 16.67 pts (2nd) for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (5/1 odds)
    • 4.35 pts (5th) for Best Adapted Screenplay (22/1 odds)
  • Wonder Wheel (1.98 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Actress (Kate Winslet) (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (7th) for Best Cinematography (100/1 odds)
  • Wonder Woman (8.88 total points)
    • 2.44 pts (8th) for Best Sound Mixing (40/1 odds)
    • 1.49 pts (7th) for Best Sound Editing (66/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (14th) for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (12nd) for Best Adapted Screenplay (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (11th) for Best Costume Design (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (10th) for Best Production Design (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (11th) for Best Score (100/1 odds)
  • Wonderstruck (2.97 total points)
    • 0.99 pts (11th) for Best Adapted Screenplay (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Cinematography (100/1 odds)
    • 0.99 pts (9th) for Best Costume Design (100/1 odds)

Final List

And now, the final list! Interestingly enough, some of the movies with the most aggregate points are not strong contenders for Best Picture this year. So much like Jackie last year, they are “punching above their weight” due to strong contention for technical awards.

Notably, this is a list of English feature-length films (i.e. movies generally available in US theaters). So it does not include documentaries, foreign films, or any of the short films.

Num Points Movie Categories (Pts/Cat)
1. 235.77 pts The Shape of Water 14 (16.84)
2. 231.05 pts Dunkirk 10 (23.11)
3. 136.12 pts Blade Runner 2049 9 (15.12)
4. 128.78 pts Darkest Hour 11 (11.71)
5. 124.98 pts Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 9 (13.89)
6. 116.50 pts Call Me By Your Name 9 (12.94)
7. 107.03 pts Lady Bird 6 (17.84)
8. 79.89 pts Phantom Thread 7 (11.41)
9. 78.80 pts Coco 3 (26.27)
10. 77.11 pts Get Out 6 (12.85)
11. 53.42 pts I, Tonya 6 (8.90)
12. 53.04 pts The Post 9 (5.89)
13. 46.37 pts War for the Planet of the Apes 5 (9.27)
14. 45.73 pts Beauty and the Beast 5 (9.15)
15. 43.63 pts Mudbound 6 (7.27)
16. 41.35 pts Star Wars: The Last Jedi 4 (10.34)
17. 39.62 pts The Greatest Showman 4 (9.90)
18. 31.65 pts The Florida Project 3 (10.55)
19. 27.47 pts Baby Driver 3 (9.16)
20. 26.11 pts The Big Sick 4 (6.53)
21. 24.48 pts The Disaster Artist 2 (12.24)
22. 21.01 pts Wonder 2 (10.51)
23. 19.15 pts Molly’s Game 3 (6.38)
24. 18.18 pts The Breadwinner 1 (18.18)
25. 18.18 pts Loving Vincent 1 (18.18)
26. 17.66 pts Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 2 (8.83)
27. 11.76 pts The Lego Batman Movie 1 (11.76)
28. 8.88 pts Wonder Woman 7 (1.27)
29. 8.65 pts All the Money in the World 3 (2.88)
30. 7.69 pts Ferdinand 1 (7.69)
31. 6.67 pts Marshall 1 (6.67)
32. 6.66 pts Victoria and Abdul 4 (1.67)
33. 4.44 pts Downsizing 2 (2.22)
34. 3.67 pts The Beguiled 2 (1.84)
35. 2.97 pts Wonderstruck 3 (0.99)
36. 2.44 pts Logan 1 (2.44)
37. 2.44 pts Mary and the Witch’s Flower 1 (2.44)
38. 1.98 pts Wonder Wheel 2 (0.99)
39. 1.49 pts Murder on the Orient Express 1 (1.49)
40. 1.49 pts Girls Trip 1 (1.49)
41. 1.23 pts The Promise 1 (1.23)
42. 0.99 pts Battle of the Sexes 1 (0.99)
43. 0.99 pts Mother! 1 (0.99)
44. 0.99 pts Roman J. Israel, Esq. 1 (0.99)
45. 0.99 pts Okja 1 (0.99)
46. 0.99 pts Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool 1 (0.99)
47. 0.99 pts Stronger 1 (0.99)
48. 0.99 pts Novitiate 1 (0.99)
49. 0.99 pts Captain Underpants 1 (0.99)
50. 0.99 pts Despicable Me 3 1 (0.99)
51. 0.99 pts Split 1 (0.99)
52. 0.99 pts Cries From Syria 1 (0.99)
53. 0.99 pts Fifty Shades Darker 1 (0.99)
54. 0.99 pts Boss Baby 1 (0.99)
55. 0.99 pts In This Corner of The World 1 (0.99)
  1. The only movie I missed: the 8-hour OJ Simpson documentary. But you better believe I’m going to complete the Oscars Death Race this year! ↩︎

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What I want in iOS 11: Wish list & grievances

This year is different. For the first time in all the years I’ve been making these wish lists, I don’t feel compelled to note many new features that I want in iOS.

Instead, I have grievances. It feels like Apple has taken its eye off the ball and is falling further and further behind its competitors. Google’s machine learning has rapidly evolved and is becoming a serious competitive advantage. Amazon is killing it with its Echo speakers and voice recognition in general. And Microsoft – Microsoft! – is becoming a paragon of software and hardware design.

Why has thou strayed so, Apple?

In fact, about 6 months ago, I bought my first Android device. It’s a budget 6” behemoth, it’s kinda slow, and the default fonts are weird – but I still really like it (if nothing else, it’s convinced me that my next phone is going to have the biggest screen possible!).

The only reason I could even think about doing that is because I’ve been straying further and further from Apple’s native apps. (Don’t get me started on all the bugs the Photos app has given me!) It turns out Google’s apps are really, really good. I’ll have more to write about that soon, but suffice it to say that Apple really needs to knock it out of the park at WWDC this year for folks like me to even think about trusting Apple’s apps and services again.

Now, with all that said, let’s move on to what I’m hoping to see in iOS 11 this year…


Picture-in-Picture on iPhone

It was my first wish list item last year, and it’s my first wish list item again this year. If you’re going to abandon the iPad Mini (*weeps*), then at least let us watch videos while multitasking on our large-screen iPhones.

iPads have PIP. The newly-unveiled Android O has PIP. Time to add it to phones too, Apple!

Reset native apps

One feature I’ve really grown to like in using Google’s iPhone apps is that if anything goes wrong – bug in my data, aggressive caching by mistake, etc – I can just delete the app, install it again, and it’ll download my data from the cloud.

Compare to Apple’s native apps. I pay for 200GB of iCloud storage so I can use iCloud Photo Library. But it was taking up too much space on my 16GB iPad, so I turned off the feature a while back. But today, even though my iPad has 0 photos on it, the Photos app is still using 1.8GB of my 12GB of usable space. I’ve tried EVERYTHING short of resetting the device to free up that space. Nothing works. When Google Photos started taking up too much space on my phone, I just deleted the app for a couple weeks. When I reinstalled it a few weeks later, I was right back to where I was.

It would be SO nice if I could “refresh” all of the app data for Apple’s native apps without resetting my entire device. They started letting you delete 1st-party apps with iOS 10, I’m hoping they go a step further with iOS 11 and make the native apps truly modular.

Cross-platform app purchases

I can buy an iOS app from iTunes on a computer. But why can’t I buy a MacOS app from the App Store on an iOS device? Heck, why can’t I even view the Mac App Store listing for any app from an iOS device? (It was only once I dipped my toe into the Android ecosystem that I realized just how backwards a lot of Apple services are.)

iPad: Don’t let incoming calls take over screen when playing live video!

Seriously, this is insane. I was watching the NBA finals tonight and someone called me. Because of Apple’s Continuity features, it also rang on my iPad. Except, just like how an incoming call on an iPhone takes over the whole screen, it also took over my iPad screen, interrupting my live stream of the game. I use my iPad as a portable TV of sorts, especially for watching sports, and it is maddening if I forget to turn on Do Not Disturb on my iPad. WHY, Apple, WHY?

Incoming calls shouldn’t take over the entire screen on your phone, and they certainly shouldn’t take over your whole iPad screen. ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU’RE STREAMING A LIVE VIDEO.

Record voice and FaceTime calls

I’m not a podcaster, but I’ve read plenty about how frustrating it is for them to have to juggle using Skype just to have the ability to record a conversation. But the fact of the matter is that it would be great for everyone if we could record calls, especially FaceTime calls.

Video calls with family and friends are more than calls - they’re often memories. I use FaceTime to have meaningful conversations with distant relatives and I often wish I could do more than take a low-resolution screenshot to remember the moment.

In fact, my Mom has a 10+ minute video she recorded using the camera on her phone…of my sister FaceTiming us from another country while on vacation. Seriously, my mom used her phone’s camera just to record everything my sister was showing us on my phone, all because Apple can’t be bothered to add proper screen recording.

PS. How about group calling, while you’re at it?

3rd-party keyboards working properly

I tried a bunch of 3rd-party keyboards when they debuted in iOS 8, but I never stuck with any of them. Mostly because I thought they weren’t programmed well and would crash often, defaulting back the native keyboard. Well, 3 years later, and I’m still seeing the same crashes. So maybe it wasn’t the apps…

Lately, I’ve beeen using GBoard, which has an excellent swipe keyboard and integrated GIF features. It crashes a lot less than any other 3rd-party keyboard I’ve used (I’m looking at you, SwiftKey!), but still too much to be entirely comfortable with it.

Just fix it, Apple. FIX IT.

Open in 3rd-party apps properly

Why, when I come across a Twitter link in another app, do I have to long-press on the link and click on ‘Open in Safari’ to get it to open in the Twitter app? It’s the same for YouTube videos too.

In fact, it’s downright aggravating trying to get links to open properly in native apps. It’s great that apps can tell the operating system to open links in their app natively, not in the browser. But as a user, I want the CHOICE. Sometimes I just want to quickly preview a tweet in the browser, without opening the Twitter app and losing my place in the timeline from a few minutes ago. Or sometimes I was already watching a YouTube video, switched to another app for a moment and clicked on a link, and now I’ve lost the original video I was watching.

At a minimum, fix the ‘Open in Safari’ button to properly reflect the app that is going to open instead. Seriously, this is amateur hour, Apple.

Improved default video player

It boggles my mind that after 10 years, the default video player is little-changed…and STILL doesn’t have a ‘skip back 10 seconds’ button! Seriously, this is table stakes for any 3rd-party app that plays videos.

Netflix has a button in the bottom left. Amazon’s video app lets you swipe left anywhere on the screen. But I think I like YouTube’s implementation most of all, just a simple double-tap on the left side of the screen.

Pick one. Any one. Just add this to the video player, Apple. And while you’re at it, how about fixing that awful volume changing HUD you implemented in iOS 7?

macOS and tvOS updates

These still exist, right? Has someone told Apple?

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Oscars checklist, take 3: a list of all 62 movies actually nominated, grouped by highest category

The Oscar nominees were announced last week and…my checklist actually worked! I was able to watch almost every major movie nominated while still in theaters, which was my main goal. And even the couple I missed, I was able to watch at home before the nominations were announced.1

Now, I’m going to try to see just how many of the foreign films and documentaries and short films I can watch before the awards ceremony. If it helps anyone else, I made a list of all the movies and grouped them by their highest-nominated category.

(I was also curious about how closely the experts’ predictions matched up with the actual nominees, so I’ve compared them in the last section below!)


“Major” categories

9 movies nominated in Best Picture (with 59 total nominations between them!):

  • [14] La La Land
  • [8] Arrival
  • [8] Moonlight
  • [6] Hacksaw Ridge
  • [6] Lion
  • [6] Manchester by the Sea
  • [4] Fences
  • [4] Hell or High Water
  • [3] Hidden Figures

6 more movies nominated in Best Actor/Actress:

  • [3] Jackie (Best Actress / Natalie Portman)
  • [2] Florence Foster Jenkins (Best Actress / Meryl Streep)
  • [1] Captain Fantastic (Best Actor / Viggo Mortensen)
  • [1] Elle (Best Actress / Isabelle Huppert)
  • [1] Loving (Best Actress / Ruth Negga)
  • [1] Nocturnal Animals (Best Supporting Actor / Michael Shannon)

2 more movies nominated in Best Original Screenplay:

  • [1] 20th Century Women
  • [1] The Lobster

1 more movie nominated in Best Cinematography:

  • [1] Silence

“Minor” categories

5 more movies nominated in Best Animated Film:

  • [2] Kubo and the Two Strings
  • [2] Moana
  • [1] My Life As a Zucchini
  • [1] The Red Turtle
  • [1] Zootopia

5 more movies nominated in Best Foreign Film:

  • [2] A Man Called Ove
  • [1] Land of Mine
  • [1] Tanna
  • [1] The Salesman
  • [1] Toni Erdmann

5 more movies nominated in Best Documentary:

  • [1] 13th
  • [1] Fire at Sea
  • [1] I Am Not Your Negro
  • [1] Life Animated
  • [1] O.J.: Made in America

Technical categories

14 more movies nominated in technical categories (Best Score / Song / Sound Editing / Sound Mixing / Production Design / Makeup & Hairstyling / Costume Design / Film Editing / Visual Effects):

  • [2] Deepwater Horizon
  • [2] Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • [2] Passengers
  • [2] Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
  • [1] 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi
  • [1] Allied
  • [1] Doctor Strange
  • [1] Hail, Caesar!
  • [1] Jim: The James Foley Story
  • [1] Star Trek Beyond
  • [1] Suicide Squad
  • [1] Sully
  • [1] The Jungle Book
  • [1] Trolls

Short film categories

5 more movies nominated in Best Live Action Short Film:

  • [1] Ennemis Interieurs (28m)
  • [1] La Femme et le TGV (30m)
  • [1] Silent Nights (30m)
  • [1] Sing (25m)
  • [1] Timecode (15m)

5 more movies nominated in Best Animated Short Film:

  • [1] Blind Vaysha (8m)
  • [1] Borrowed Time (7m)
  • [1] Pear Cider and Cigarettes (35m)
  • [1] Pearl (6m)
  • [1] Piper (6m)

5 more movies nominated in Best Documentary - Short Subject:

  • [1] 4.1 Miles (26m)
  • [1] Extremis (24m)
  • [1] Joe’s Violin (24m)
  • [1] The White Helmets (41m)
  • [1] Watani: My Homeland (39m)

By the numbers

There are 24 Oscar categories, with 5 nominees in almost every category (Best Picture has 9 nominees, Makeup & Hairstyling has 3 nominees). That means 122 total nominations. Altogether, there are 47 feature-length films and 15 short films nominated.

Of the 47 feature-length films, if you group them by their highest-nominated category, you’re looking at…

  • 18 “major” category nominees
  • 15 “minor” category nominees
  • 14 technical category nominees
  • 15 short category nominees

So if you want to watch…

  • All the Best Picture nominees: 9 movies.
  • All the BP + major nominees: 18 movies.
  • All the BP + major + minor nominees: 33 movies.
  • All the BP + major + minor + technical nominees (AKA no shorts): 47 movies.

And if you wanted to watch everything…62 movies! Folks like Joe Reid and Todd VanDerWerff try to do this.


How accurate were the experts?

While I was making this list, I started comparing it to the experts’ predictions I compiled in my last 2 posts. How many categories did they get exactly right? (Just one!) Did they miss any nominations entirely? (Yes!) Did they miss every nomination in any category entirely? (Yep!)

Anyways, I thought it was just kinda fun to look back at the predictions, so I’ve copied the original lists by category below and bolded the actual nominees. Remember, these predictions are from late November, before some of the movies were even released.

(Quick reminder about the columns: NOM is how many experts thought that movie would be nominated, WIN is how many experts thought it would win the category, ODDS are Gold Derby’s odds, and PTS is a simple inversion of the odds.)

Best Picture

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 26 22 9/2 22.22
2 Manchester by the Sea 26 4 13/2 15.38
3 Moonlight 26 0 9/1 11.11
4 Fences 25 0 9/1 11.11
5 Loving 22 1 12/1 8.33
6 Silence 21 0 14/1 7.14
7 Lion 20 0 14/1 7.14
8 Jackie 18 0 16/1 6.25
9 Arrival 15 0 20/1 5.00
10 Sully 14 0 28/1 3.57
11 Hidden Figures 10 0 33/1 3.03
12 Hell or High Water 6 0 50/1 2.00
13 Hacksaw Ridge 7 0 66/1 1.52
14 A Monster Calls 2 0 100/1 1.00
15 Nocturnal Animals 4 0 100/1 1.00
16 Patriot’s Day 1 0 100/1 1.00
17 The Birth of a Nation 4 0 100/1 1.00
18 20th Century Women 1 0 100/1 1.00
19 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 2 0 100/1 1.00
20 Passengers 1 0 100/1 1.00
21 Live By Night 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Director

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land (Damien Chazelle) 26 22 17/10 58.82
2 Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan) 26 4 4/1 25.00
3 Moonlight (Barry Jenkins) 23 0 6/1 16.67
4 Silence (Martin Scorsese) 14 0 12/1 8.33
5 Fences (Denzel Washington) 14 1 12/1 8.33
6 Jackie (Pablo Larrain) 7 0 33/1 3.03
7 Loving (Jeff Nichols) 5 0 40/1 2.50
8 Arrival (Denis Villeneuve) 4 0 66/1 1.52
9 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (Ang Lee) 2 0 80/1 1.25
10 Lion (Garth Davis) 2 0 80/1 1.25
11 Hidden Figures (Theodore Melfi) 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Passengers (Morten Tyldum) 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Sully (Clint Eastwood) 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Hacksaw Ridge (Mel Gibson) 1 0 100/1 1.00
36 Nocturnal Animals (Tom Ford) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Manchester by the Sea (Casey Affleck) 26 17 2/1 50.00
2 Fences (Denzel Washington) 24 10 14/5 35.71
3 La La Land (Ryan Gosling) 22 0 13/2 15.38
4 Loving (Joel Edgerton) 17 0 9/1 11.11
5 Sully (Tom Hanks) 14 0 14/1 7.14
6 Captain Fantastic (Viggo Mortensen) 5 0 40/1 2.50
7 Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Garfield) 6 0 40/1 2.50
8 The Founder (Michael Keaton) 3 0 66/1 1.52
9 Silence (Andrew Garfield) 3 0 80/1 1.25
10 Rules Don’t Apply (Warren Beatty) 2 0 100/1 1.00
11 Nocturnal Animals (Jake Gyllenhaal) 2 0 100/1 1.00
12 The Birth of a Nation (Nate Parker) 2 0 100/1 1.00
13 Gold (Matthew McConaughey) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land (Emma Stone) 26 17 21/10 47.62
2 Jackie (Natalie Portman) 25 6 7/2 28.57
3 Loving (Ruth Negga) 23 2 6/1 16.67
4 20th Century Women (Annette Bening) 20 1 7/1 14.29
5 Arrival (Amy Adams) 15 0 14/1 7.14
6 Hidden Figures (Taraji P. Henson) 4 1 25/1 4.00
7 Miss Sloane (Jessica Chastain) 5 0 40/1 2.50
8 Florence Foster Jenkins (Meryl Streep) 4 0 50/1 2.00
9 Elle (Isabelle Huppert) 4 0 66/1 1.52
10 Fences (Viola Davis) 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Passengers (Jennifer Lawrence) 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Nocturnal Animals (Amy Adams) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Supporting Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Moonlight (Mahershala Ali) 24 13 12/5 41.67
2 Manchester by the Sea (Lucas Hedges) 22 4 9/2 22.22
3 Hell or High Water (Jeff Bridges) 18 2 13/2 15.38
4 Lion (Dev Patel) 14 3 9/1 11.11
5 Nocturnal Animals (Michael Shannon) 14 3 9/1 11.11
6 Silence (Liam Neeson) 10 2 12/1 8.33
7 Fences (Stephen Henderson) 5 0 50/1 2.00
8 Florence Foster Jenkins (Hugh Grant) 6 0 50/1 2.00
9 Fences (Jovan Adepo) 4 0 50/1 2.00
10 Denial (Timothy Spall) 2 0 66/1 1.52
11 Bleed for This (Aaron Eckhart) 2 0 100/1 1.00
12 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (Steve Martin) 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Hell or High Water (Ben Foster) 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Hidden Figures (Kevin Costner) 1 0 100/1 1.00
15 Manchester by the Sea (Kyle Chandler) 1 0 100/1 1.00
25 Fences (Mykelti Williamson) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Supporting Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Fences (Viola Davis) 25 19 2/1 50.00
2 Manchester by the Sea (Michelle Williams) 23 8 10/3 30.00
3 Moonlight (Naomie Harris) 24 0 5/1 20.00
4 Lion (Nicole Kidman) 20 0 9/1 11.11
5 20th Century Women (Greta Gerwig) 10 0 20/1 5.00
6 Hidden Figures (Janelle Monae) 8 0 22/1 4.55
7 A Monster Calls (Felicity Jones) 7 0 33/1 3.03
8 The Hollars (Margo Martindale) 2 0 100/1 1.00
9 The Birth of a Nation (Aja Naomi King) 3 0 100/1 1.00
10 20th Century Women (Elle Fanning) 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Queen of Katwe (Lupita Nyong’o) 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (Kristen Stewart) 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 The Founder (Laura Dern) 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Nocturnal Animals (Amy Adams) 1 0 100/1 1.00
23 Hidden Figures (Octavia Spencer) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Original Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Manchester by the Sea 24 18 2/1 50.00
2 Moonlight 23 5 7/2 28.57
3 La La Land 23 2 9/2 22.22
4 Loving 13 1 11/1 9.09
5 Jackie 15 0 12/1 8.33
6 Hell or High Water 8 0 20/1 5.00
7 20th Century Women 10 0 20/1 5.00
8 Captain Fantastic 2 0 100/1 1.00
9 Zootopia 1 0 100/1 1.00
22 The Lobster 1 0 100/1 1.00

NOTE: Moonlight got switched into Best Adapted Screenplay, but it was indeed nominated, so I’ve bolded it here anyways.

Best Adapted Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Fences 21 19 19/10 52.63
2 Arrival 21 2 5/1 20.00
3 Silence 20 2 11/2 18.18
4 Lion 17 1 15/2 13.33
5 Nocturnal Animals 12 1 12/1 8.33
6 Hidden Figures 11 0 16/1 6.25
7 A Monster Calls 6 1 25/1 4.00
8 Hacksaw Ridge 2 0 66/1 1.52
9 Love and Friendship 2 0 80/1 1.25
10 Elle 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Sully 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Finding Dory 1 0 100/1 1.00
21 Snowden 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Cinematography

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 18 14 19/10 52.63
2 Silence 15 2 6/1 16.67
3 Arrival 13 2 6/1 16.67
4 Jackie 13 0 9/1 11.11
5 Moonlight 12 0 9/1 11.11
6 Live By Night 4 0 28/1 3.57
7 Nocturnal Animals 2 1 33/1 3.03
8 Lion 3 0 50/1 2.00
9 The Jungle Book 3 0 50/1 2.00
10 Hail, Caesar! 2 0 66/1 1.52
11 A Monster Calls 2 0 80/1 1.25
12 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Cafe Society 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Doctor Strange 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Animated Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Zootopia 21 16 15/8 53.33
2 Kubo and the Two Strings 18 2 5/1 20.00
3 Moana 15 2 13/2 15.38
4 Finding Dory 14 0 8/1 12.50
5 The Red Turtle 13 0 11/1 9.09
6 Sing 9 1 14/1 7.14
7 Sausage Party 6 0 28/1 3.57
8 The Little Prince 4 0 40/1 2.50
9 Trolls 2 0 80/1 1.25
10 My Life as a Zucchini 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Miss Hokusai 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Visual Effects

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Doctor Strange 8 4 3/1 33.33
2 The Jungle Book 6 5 10/3 30.00
3 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 7 1 11/2 18.18
4 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 6 0 9/1 11.11
5 Arrival 4 1 10/1 10.00
6 Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children 5 0 20/1 5.00
7 Captain America: Civil War 3 0 25/1 4.00
8 Sully 1 0 50/1 2.00
9 Star Trek Beyond 1 0 66/1 1.52
10 The BFG 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 A Monster Calls 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Warcraft 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Deadpool 1 0 100/1 1.00

Nominated, but not in this list: Deepwater Horizon, Kubo and the Two Strings.

Best Film Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 12 10 2/1 50.00
2 Silence 9 1 11/2 18.18
3 Jackie 9 1 13/2 15.38
4 Hacksaw Ridge 8 0 10/1 10.00
5 Moonlight 6 0 11/1 9.09
6 Sully 1 1 25/1 4.00
7 The Jungle Book 2 1 28/1 3.57
8 Hidden Figures 2 0 28/1 3.57
9 Nocturnal Animals 3 0 28/1 3.57
10 Arrival 3 0 33/1 3.03
11 Deepwater Horizon 2 0 66/1 1.52
12 Lion 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Manchester by the Sea 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 1 0 100/1 1.00

Nominated, but not in this list: Hell or High Water.

Best Score

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 12 11 9/5 55.56
2 Jackie 10 2 4/1 25.00
3 Silence 9 1 7/1 14.29
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 6 0 14/1 7.14
5 Arrival 3 0 14/1 7.14
6 Lion 4 0 22/1 4.55
7 The Jungle Book 5 0 25/1 4.00
8 Nocturnal Animals 3 0 33/1 3.03
9 Hidden Figures 2 0 50/1 2.00
10 Moonlight 1 0 66/1 1.52
11 Florence Foster Jenkins 1 0 66/1 1.52
12 Hacksaw Ridge 1 0 80/1 1.25
13 Live By Night 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Zootopia 1 0 100/1 1.00
15 Fences 1 0 100/1 1.00

Nominated, but not in this list: Passengers.

Best Sound Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Hacksaw Ridge 9 9 7/4 57.14
2 La La Land 8 2 4/1 25.00
3 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 7 0 13/2 15.38
4 Deepwater Horizon 6 0 12/1 8.33
5 Silence 4 0 14/1 7.14
6 The Jungle Book 4 0 14/1 7.14
7 Arrival 2 0 25/1 4.00
8 Live By Night 1 0 50/1 2.00
9 Doctor Strange 1 0 100/1 1.00
10 Passengers 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Sully 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Sound Mixing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 9 11 3/2 66.67
2 Hacksaw Ridge 9 0 4/1 25.00
3 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 8 0 11/2 18.18
4 Silence 5 0 10/1 10.00
5 The Jungle Book 4 0 16/1 6.25
6 Deepwater Horizon 4 0 25/1 4.00
7 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2 0 50/1 2.00
8 Passengers 1 0 100/1 1.00
9 Arrival 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Star Trek Beyond 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Sully 1 0 100/1 1.00

Nominated, but not in this list: 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi.

Best Production Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 11 11 19/10 52.63
2 Jackie 11 0 6/1 16.67
3 Silence 9 0 13/2 15.38
4 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 9 1 15/2 13.33
5 Rules Don’t Apply 5 1 14/1 7.14
6 The Jungle Book 3 1 22/1 4.55
7 Live By Night 2 0 22/1 4.55
8 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 3 0 28/1 3.57
9 Hidden Figures 3 0 33/1 3.03
10 Hail, Caesar! 1 0 66/1 1.52
11 Hacksaw Ridge 1 0 80/1 1.25
12 Florence Foster Jenkins 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Fences 1 0 100/1 1.00

Nominated, but not in this list: Arrival, Passengers.

Best Costume Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Jackie 11 5 11/4 36.36
2 La La Land 10 6 14/5 35.71
3 Silence 7 1 6/1 16.67
4 Florence Foster Jenkins 7 1 8/1 12.50
5 Live By Night 3 0 16/1 6.25
6 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 5 0 18/1 5.56
7 Allied 4 0 28/1 3.57
8 Rules Don’t Apply 3 0 33/1 3.03
9 Captain Fantastic 2 0 50/1 2.00
10 Love and Friendship 2 0 66/1 1.52
11 Hidden Figures 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Jackie 11 10 5/4 80.00
2 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 6 1 7/1 14.29
3 Silence 5 0 9/1 11.11
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 3 1 11/1 9.09
5 Florence Foster Jenkins 3 1 11/1 9.09
6 Doctor Strange 1 1 25/1 4.00
7 Deadpool 2 0 28/1 3.57
8 Loving 2 0 33/1 3.03
9 A Monster Calls 1 0 50/1 2.00
10 Hacksaw Ridge 1 0 50/1 2.00
11 Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children 1 0 50/1 2.00

Nominated, but not in this list: A Man Called Ove, Suicide Squad, Star Trek Beyond. (That’s right, the experts missed all 3 nominees entirely!)

  1. Of the 37 feature length films nominated (AKA everything but the docs/shorts/foreign categories), I’ve managed to watch all but 4: The Red Turtle (foreign animated movie which was just released in theaters this week, after nominations were announced), My Life As a Zucchini (foreign animated movie that is still not out in theaters or on home video, as far as I can find), Hail Caesar! (a February movie nominated for Best Production Design), and Jim: The James Foley Story (a documentary with one nomination for Best Song). ↩︎

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Oscars checklist, take two: ratings, trailers, and more for every movie

In my last post, I made a list of the movies most likely to be nominated for Oscars, assigning them points based on Gold Derby’s odds in each category. But I didn’t know much about many of the films themselves, other than their title. So I went through and compiled Rotten Tomatoes & Metacritic scores, trailers, ratings, runtimes, actors, and more. Hope this helps some of you too!

(You can click on the movie names in the table below to jump down to more info about each one.)

Num Points Title RT MC Genre Rating
1. 504.46pts La La Land 95% 92 Comedy PG-13
2. 230.70pts Jackie 88% 80 Biography R
3. 194.60pts Manchester by the Sea 97% 96 Drama R
4. 165.78pts Fences 92% 77 Drama PG-13
5. 152.67pts Silence 96% 83 Drama R
6. 139.74pts Moonlight 98% 99 Drama R
7. 103.18pts Hacksaw Ridge 87% 71 Drama R
8. 75.50pts Arrival 94% 81 Drama PG-13
9. 71.54pts Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 84% 65 Action PG-13
10. 57.51pts The Jungle Book 94% 77 Adventure PG
11. 55.33pts Zootopia 98% 78 Animation PG
12. 51.49pts Lion 83% 66 Drama PG-13
13. 50.73pts Loving 89% 79 Biography PG-13
14. 49.29pts Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 75% 66 Adventure PG-13
15. 39.33pts Doctor Strange 90% 72 Action PG-13
16. 34.07pts Nocturnal Animals 72% 67 Drama R
17. 30.43pts Hidden Figures 95% 66 Drama PG
18. 28.11pts Florence Foster Jenkins 87% 71 Biography PG-13
19. 26.29pts 20th Century Women 91% 77 Comedy R
20. 23.38pts Hell or High Water 98% 88 Crime R
21. 20.71pts Sully 86% 74 Biography PG-13
22. 20.00pts Kubo and the Two Strings 97% 84 Animation PG
23. 18.37pts Live By Night TBD n/a Crime R
24. 15.38pts Moana 95% 81 Animation PG
25. 13.85pts Deepwater Horizon 84% 68 Action PG-13
26. 13.50pts Finding Dory 94% 77 Animation PG
27. 12.28pts A Monster Calls 85% 77 Drama PG-13
28. 11.17pts Rules Don’t Apply 56% 59 Comedy PG-13
29. 9.09pts The Red Turtle (La tortue rouge) 90% 92 Animation PG
30. 7.14pts Sing 70% 57 Animation PG
31. 7.00pts Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children 63% 57 Adventure PG-13
32. 5.50pts Captain Fantastic 82% 72 Comedy R
33. 5.00pts Passengers 31% 40 Adventure PG-13
34. 4.57pts Deadpool 84% 65 Action R
35. 4.25pts Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 45% 53 Drama R
36. 4.00pts Captain America: Civil War 90% 75 Action PG-13
37. 3.57pts Sausage Party 83% 66 Animation R
38. 3.57pts Allied 60% 60 Action R
39. 3.04pts Hail, Caesar! 85% 72 Comedy PG-13
40. 3.00pts The Birth of a Nation 72% 68 Biography R
41. 2.77pts Love & Friendship 98% 87 Comedy PG
42. 2.52pts The Founder 78% 64 Biography PG-13
43. 2.52pts Star Trek Beyond 84% 68 Action PG-13
44. 2.52pts Elle 89% 89 Drama R
45. 2.50pts The Little Prince 93% 69 Animation PG
46. 2.50pts Miss Sloane 69% 64 Drama R
47. 1.52pts Denial 81% 64 Biography PG-13
48. 1.25pts Trolls 76% 56 Animation PG
49. 1.00pts Warcraft 28% 32 Action PG-13
50. 1.00pts The Lobster 90% 82 Comedy R
51. 1.00pts The Hollars 43% 53 Comedy PG-13
52. 1.00pts The BFG 75% 66 Adventure PG
53. 1.00pts Snowden 62% 58 Biography R
54. 1.00pts Queen of Katwe 92% 73 Biography PG
55. 1.00pts Patriots Day 93% 72 Drama TBD
56. 1.00pts My Life as a Zucchini (Ma vie de Courgette) 100% 85 Animation TBD
57. 1.00pts Miss Hokusai (Sarusuberi: Miss Hokusai) 93% 74 Animation PG-13
58. 1.00pts Gold TBD n/a Adventure R
59. 1.00pts Café Society 70% 64 Comedy PG-13
60. 1.00pts Bleed for This 70% 62 Biography R

(Note: I updated all movies to the latest Rotten Tomatoes/Metacritic scores, so they are slightly different from my previous post.)


Legend

  • = No longer playing in theaters.
  • = Currently in theaters.
  • = Not yet released in theaters.

Most of the information in the tables below is from IMDB.1 I’ve updated the release dates to when the movie goes out in wide release, if I knew it (this is surprisingly hard-to-find data!).2 The plot synopses for each movie are from IMDB, because I noticed their synopses don’t spoil major details revealed an hour into movies (why do other sites do this? It’s maddening!). And finally, the critics consensuses are from Rotten Tomatoes and do a pretty good job of whetting your appetite without spoiling the films either.


1. La La Land (504.46pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 95%
METASCORE 92/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 08min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-16
GENRE Comedy / Drama / Musical
WRITTEN BY Damien Chazelle
DIRECTED BY Damien Chazelle
STARRING Ryan Gosling, Emma Stone, Rosemarie DeWitt
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A jazz pianist falls for an aspiring actress in Los Angeles.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: La La Land breathes new life into a bygone genre with thrillingly assured direction, powerful performances, and an irresistible excess of heart.

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2. Jackie (230.70pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 88%
METASCORE 80/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 39min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-02
GENRE Biography / Drama
WRITTEN BY Noah Oppenheim
DIRECTED BY Pablo Larraín
STARRING Natalie Portman, Peter Sarsgaard, Greta Gerwig
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: Following the assassination of President John F. Kennedy, First Lady Jacqueline Kennedy fights through grief and trauma to regain her faith, console her children, and define her husband’s historic legacy.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Jackie offers an alluring peek into a beloved American public figure’s private world – and an enthralling starring performance from Natalie Portman in the bargain.

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3. Manchester by the Sea (194.60pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 97%
METASCORE 96/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 17min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-18
GENRE Drama
WRITTEN BY Kenneth Lonergan
DIRECTED BY Kenneth Lonergan
STARRING Casey Affleck, Michelle Williams, Kyle Chandler
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: An uncle is forced to take care of his teenage nephew after the boy’s father dies.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Manchester by the Sea delivers affecting drama populated by full-bodied characters, marking another strong step forward for writer-director Kenneth Lonergan.

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4. Fences (165.78pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 92%
METASCORE 77/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 18min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-25
GENRE Drama
WRITTEN BY August Wilson (screenplay), August Wilson (play)
DIRECTED BY Denzel Washington
STARRING Denzel Washington, Viola Davis, Mykelti Williamson
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: An African-American father struggles with race relations in the United States while trying to raise his family in the 1950s and coming to terms with the events of his life.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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5. Silence (152.67pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 96%
METASCORE 83/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 39min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-23
GENRE Drama / History
WRITTEN BY Jay Cocks (screenplay), Martin Scorsese (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Martin Scorsese
STARRING Adam Driver, Andrew Garfield, Liam Neeson
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: In the seventeenth century, two Jesuit priests face violence and persecution when they travel to Japan to locate their mentor and propagate Christianity.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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6. Moonlight (139.74pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 98%
METASCORE 99/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 51min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-18
GENRE Drama
WRITTEN BY Barry Jenkins (screenplay), Tarell Alvin McCraney (story by)
DIRECTED BY Barry Jenkins
STARRING Mahershala Ali, Shariff Earp, Duan Sanderson
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A timeless story of human connection and self-discovery, Moonlight chronicles the life of a young black man from childhood to adulthood as he struggles to find his place in the world while growing up in a rough neighborhood of Miami.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Moonlight uses one man’s story to offer a remarkable and brilliantly crafted look at lives too rarely seen in cinema.

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7. Hacksaw Ridge (103.18pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 87%
METASCORE 71/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 19min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-04
GENRE Drama / History / War
WRITTEN BY Robert Schenkkan (screenplay), Andrew Knight (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Mel Gibson
STARRING Andrew Garfield, Sam Worthington, Luke Bracey
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: WWII American Army Medic Desmond T. Doss, who served during the Battle of Okinawa, refuses to kill people, and becomes the first man in American history to receive the Medal of Honor without firing a shot.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Hacksaw Ridge uses a real-life pacifist’s legacy to lay the groundwork for a gripping wartime tribute to faith, valor, and the courage of remaining true to one’s convictions.

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8. Arrival (75.50pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 94%
METASCORE 81/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 56min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-11
GENRE Drama / Mystery / Sci-Fi
WRITTEN BY Eric Heisserer (screenplay), Ted Chiang (based on the story “Story of Your Life” written by)
DIRECTED BY Denis Villeneuve
STARRING Amy Adams, Jeremy Renner, Forest Whitaker
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A linguist is recruited by the military to assist in translating alien communications.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Arrival delivers a must-see experience for fans of thinking person’s sci-fi that anchors its heady themes with genuinely affecting emotion and a terrific performance from Amy Adams.

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9. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (71.54pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 84%
METASCORE 65/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 13min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-16
GENRE Action / Adventure / Sci-Fi
WRITTEN BY Chris Weitz (screenplay), Tony Gilroy (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Gareth Edwards
STARRING Felicity Jones, Mads Mikkelsen, Alan Tudyk
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The Rebellion makes a risky move to steal the plans to the Death Star, setting up the epic saga to follow.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Rogue One draws deep on Star Wars mythology while breaking new narrative and aesthetic ground – and suggesting a bright blockbuster future for the franchise.

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10. The Jungle Book (57.51pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 94%
METASCORE 77/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 46min
RELEASE DATE 2016-04-15
GENRE Adventure / Drama / Family
WRITTEN BY Justin Marks (screenplay), Rudyard Kipling (based on the books by)
DIRECTED BY Jon Favreau
STARRING Neel Sethi, Bill Murray, Ben Kingsley
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: After a threat from the tiger Shere Khan forces him to flee the jungle, a man-cub named Mowgli embarks on a journey of self discovery with the help of panther, Bagheera, and free spirited bear, Baloo.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: As lovely to behold as it is engrossing to watch, The Jungle Book is the rare remake that actually improves upon its predecessors – all while setting a new standard for CGI.

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11. Zootopia (55.33pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 98%
METASCORE 78/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 48min
RELEASE DATE 2016-03-04
GENRE Animation / Adventure / Comedy
WRITTEN BY Byron Howard (story by), Rich Moore (story by)
DIRECTED BY Byron Howard, Rich Moore
STARRING Ginnifer Goodwin, Jason Bateman, Idris Elba
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: In a city of anthropomorphic animals, a rookie bunny cop and a cynical con artist fox must work together to uncover a conspiracy.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: The brilliantly well-rounded Zootopia offers a thoughtful, inclusive message that’s as rich and timely as its sumptuously state-of-the-art animation – all while remaining fast and funny enough to keep younger viewers entertained.

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12. Lion (51.49pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 83%
METASCORE 66/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 58min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-25
GENRE Drama
WRITTEN BY Saroo Brierley (adapted from the book “A Long Way Home” by), Luke Davies (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Garth Davis
STARRING Dev Patel, Nicole Kidman, Rooney Mara
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A five-year-old Indian boy gets lost on the streets of Calcutta, thousands of kilometers from home. He survives many challenges before being adopted by a couple in Australia; 25 years later, he sets out to find his lost family.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Lion’s undeniably uplifting story and talented cast are more than enough to make up for a fact-based story whose traditional Hollywood formula skims over a number of interesting real-life details.

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13. Loving (50.73pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 89%
METASCORE 79/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 03min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-04
GENRE Biography / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY Jeff Nichols
DIRECTED BY Jeff Nichols
STARRING Ruth Negga, Joel Edgerton, Will Dalton
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The story of Richard and Mildred Loving, an interracial couple, whose challenge of their anti-miscegenation arrest for their marriage in Virginia led to a legal battle that would end at the US Supreme Court.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Loving takes an understated approach to telling a painful – and still relevant – real-life tale, with sensitive performances breathing additional life into a superlative historical drama.

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14. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (49.29pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 75%
METASCORE 66/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 13min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-18
GENRE Adventure / Family / Fantasy
WRITTEN BY J.K. Rowling
DIRECTED BY David Yates
STARRING Eddie Redmayne, Katherine Waterston, Alison Sudol
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The adventures of writer Newt Scamander in New York’s secret community of witches and wizards seventy years before Harry Potter reads his book in school.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them draws on Harry Potter’s rich mythology to deliver a spinoff that dazzles with franchise-building magic all its own.

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15. Doctor Strange (39.33pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 90%
METASCORE 72/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 55min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-04
GENRE Action / Adventure / Fantasy
WRITTEN BY Jon Spaihts, Scott Derrickson
DIRECTED BY Scott Derrickson
STARRING Benedict Cumberbatch, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Rachel McAdams
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A former neurosurgeon embarks on a journey of healing only to be drawn into the world of the mystic arts.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Doctor Strange artfully balances its outré source material against the blockbuster constraints of the MCU, delivering a thoroughly entertaining superhero origin story in the bargain.

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16. Nocturnal Animals (34.07pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 72%
METASCORE 67/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 56min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-09
GENRE Drama / Thriller
WRITTEN BY Tom Ford (screenplay), Austin Wright (novel)
DIRECTED BY Tom Ford
STARRING Amy Adams, Jake Gyllenhaal, Michael Shannon
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: An art gallery owner is haunted by her ex-husband’s novel, a violent thriller she interprets as a veiled threat and a symbolic revenge tale.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Well-acted and lovely to look at, Nocturnal Animals further underscores writer-director Tom Ford’s distinctive visual and narrative skill.

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17. Hidden Figures (30.43pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 95%
METASCORE 66/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME TBD
RELEASE DATE 2017-01-06
GENRE Drama
WRITTEN BY Allison Schroeder (screenplay), Theodore Melfi (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Theodore Melfi
STARRING Taraji P. Henson, Octavia Spencer, Janelle Monáe
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A team of African-American women provide NASA with important mathematical data needed to launch the program’s first successful space missions.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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18. Florence Foster Jenkins (28.11pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 87%
METASCORE 71/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 51min
RELEASE DATE 2016-08-12
GENRE Biography / Comedy / Drama
WRITTEN BY Nicholas Martin
DIRECTED BY Stephen Frears
STARRING Meryl Streep, Hugh Grant, Simon Helberg
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The story of Florence Foster Jenkins, a New York heiress who dreamed of becoming an opera singer, despite having a terrible singing voice.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Florence Foster Jenkins makes poignant, crowd-pleasing dramedy out of its stranger-than-fiction tale – and does its subject justice with a reliably terrific turn from star Meryl Streep.

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19. 20th Century Women (26.29pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 91%
METASCORE 77/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 58min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-25
GENRE Comedy / Drama
WRITTEN BY Mike Mills
DIRECTED BY Mike Mills
STARRING Annette Bening, Elle Fanning, Greta Gerwig
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The story of three women who explore love and freedom in Southern California during the late 1970s.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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20. Hell or High Water (23.38pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 98%
METASCORE 88/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 42min
RELEASE DATE 2016-08-26
GENRE Crime / Drama / Western
WRITTEN BY Taylor Sheridan (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY David Mackenzie
STARRING Dale Dickey, Ben Foster, Chris Pine
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A divorced father and his ex-con older brother resort to a desperate scheme in order to save their family’s ranch in West Texas.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Hell or High Water offers a solidly crafted, well-acted Western heist thriller that eschews mindless gunplay in favor of confident pacing and full-bodied characters.

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21. Sully (20.71pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 86%
METASCORE 74/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 36min
RELEASE DATE 2016-09-09
GENRE Biography / Drama
WRITTEN BY Todd Komarnicki (screenplay), Chesley Sullenberger (based on the book “Highest Duty” by) (as Chesley ‘Sully’ Sullenberger)
DIRECTED BY Clint Eastwood
STARRING Tom Hanks, Aaron Eckhart, Laura Linney
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The story of Chesley Sullenberger, an American pilot who became a hero after landing his damaged plane on the Hudson River in order to save the flight’s passengers and crew.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: As comfortingly workmanlike as its protagonist, Sully makes solid use of typically superlative work from its star and director to deliver a quietly stirring tribute to an everyday hero.

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22. Kubo and the Two Strings (20.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 97%
METASCORE 84/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 41min
RELEASE DATE 2016-08-19
GENRE Animation / Adventure / Family
WRITTEN BY Marc Haimes (screenplay), Chris Butler (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Travis Knight
STARRING Charlize Theron, Art Parkinson, Matthew McConaughey
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A young boy named Kubo must locate a magical suit of armor worn by his late father in order to defeat a vengeful spirit from the past.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Kubo and the Two Strings matches its incredible animation with an absorbing – and bravely melancholy – story that has something to offer audiences of all ages.

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23. Live By Night (18.37pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES TBD
METASCORE n/a
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 08min
RELEASE DATE 2017-01-13
GENRE Crime / Drama
WRITTEN BY Ben Affleck (screenplay), Dennis Lehane (novel)
DIRECTED BY Ben Affleck
STARRING Ben Affleck, Zoe Saldana, Elle Fanning
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A story set in the Prohibition Era and centered around a group of individuals and their dealings in the world of organized crime.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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24. Moana (15.38pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 95%
METASCORE 81/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 43min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-23
GENRE Animation / Adventure / Comedy
WRITTEN BY Jared Bush (screenplay), Ron Clements (story by)
DIRECTED BY Ron Clements, Don Hall
STARRING Auli’i Cravalho, Dwayne Johnson, Rachel House
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: In Ancient Polynesia, when a terrible curse incurred by Maui reaches an impetuous Chieftain’s daughter’s island, she answers the Ocean’s call to seek out the demigod to set things right.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: With a title character as three-dimensional as its lush animation and a story that adds fresh depth to Disney’s time-tested formula, Moana is truly a family-friendly adventure for the ages.

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25. Deepwater Horizon (13.85pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 84%
METASCORE 68/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 47min
RELEASE DATE 2016-09-30
GENRE Action / Drama / Thriller
WRITTEN BY Matthew Michael Carnahan (screenplay), Matthew Sand (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Peter Berg
STARRING Mark Wahlberg, Kurt Russell, Douglas M. Griffin
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A dramatization of the April 2010 disaster when the offshore drilling rig, Deepwater Horizon, exploded and created the worst oil spill in U.S. history.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Deepwater Horizon makes effective use of its titular man-made disaster to deliver an uncommonly serious – yet still suitably gripping – action thriller.

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26. Finding Dory (13.50pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 94%
METASCORE 77/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 37min
RELEASE DATE 2016-06-17
GENRE Animation / Adventure / Comedy
WRITTEN BY Andrew Stanton (original story by), Andrew Stanton (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Andrew Stanton, Angus MacLane
STARRING Ellen DeGeneres, Albert Brooks, Ed O’Neill
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The friendly but forgetful blue tang fish begins a search for her long-lost parents, and everyone learns a few things about the real meaning of family along the way.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Funny, poignant, and thought-provoking, Finding Dory delivers a beautifully animated adventure that adds another entertaining chapter to its predecessor’s classic story.

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27. A Monster Calls (12.28pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 85%
METASCORE 77/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 48min
RELEASE DATE 2017-01-06
GENRE Drama / Fantasy
WRITTEN BY Patrick Ness (screenplay), Patrick Ness (based upon the novel written by)
DIRECTED BY J.A. Bayona
STARRING Sigourney Weaver, Felicity Jones, Lewis MacDougall
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A boy seeks the help of a tree monster to cope with his single mom’s terminal illness.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: A Monster Calls deftly balances dark themes and fantastical elements to deliver an engrossing and uncommonly moving entry in the crowded coming-of-age genre.

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28. Rules Don’t Apply (11.17pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 56%
METASCORE 59/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 06min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-23
GENRE Comedy / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY Warren Beatty (screenplay), Warren Beatty (story by)
DIRECTED BY Warren Beatty
STARRING Lily Collins, Haley Bennett, Taissa Farmiga
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: An unconventional love story of an aspiring actress, her determined driver, and the eccentric billionaire who they work for.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: With Rules Don’t Apply, Warren Beatty takes an overall affable – but undeniably slight – look at a corner of old Hollywood under Howard Hughes’ distinctive shadow.

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29. The Red Turtle (La tortue rouge) (9.09pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 90%
METASCORE 92/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 20min
RELEASE DATE 2017-01-20
GENRE Animation / Fantasy
WRITTEN BY Michael Dudok de Wit (story), Pascale Ferran (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Michael Dudok de Wit
STARRING n/a
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The dialogue-less film follows the major life stages of a castaway on a deserted tropical island populated by turtles, crabs and birds.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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30. Sing (7.14pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 70%
METASCORE 57/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 48min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-21
GENRE Animation / Comedy / Drama
WRITTEN BY Garth Jennings
DIRECTED BY Garth Jennings, Christophe Lourdelet
STARRING Matthew McConaughey, Reese Witherspoon, Seth MacFarlane
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A koala named Buster Moon has one final chance to restore his theater to its former glory by producing the world’s greatest singing competition.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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31. Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children (7.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 63%
METASCORE 57/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 07min
RELEASE DATE 2016-09-30
GENRE Adventure / Drama / Family
WRITTEN BY Ransom Riggs (based upon the novel written by), Jane Goldman (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Tim Burton
STARRING Eva Green, Asa Butterfield, Samuel L. Jackson
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: When Jacob discovers clues to a mystery that stretches across time, he finds Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children. But the danger deepens after he gets to know the residents and learns about their special powers.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children proves a suitable match for Tim Burton’s distinctive style, even if it’s on stronger footing as a visual experience than a narrative one.

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32. Captain Fantastic (5.50pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 82%
METASCORE 72/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 58min
RELEASE DATE 2016-07-29
GENRE Comedy / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY Matt Ross
DIRECTED BY Matt Ross
STARRING Viggo Mortensen, George MacKay, Samantha Isler
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: In the forests of the Pacific Northwest, a father devoted to raising his six kids with a rigorous physical and intellectual education is forced to leave his paradise and enter the world, challenging his idea of what it means to be a parent.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Captain Fantastic’s thought-provoking themes – and an absorbing starring turn from Viggo Mortensen – add up to an above-average family drama with unexpected twists.

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33. Passengers (5.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 31%
METASCORE 40/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 56min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-21
GENRE Adventure / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY Jon Spaihts
DIRECTED BY Morten Tyldum
STARRING Jennifer Lawrence, Chris Pratt, Michael Sheen
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A spacecraft traveling to a distant colony planet and transporting thousands of people has a malfunction in its sleep chambers. As a result, two passengers are awakened 90 years early.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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34. Deadpool (4.57pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 84%
METASCORE 65/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 48min
RELEASE DATE 2016-02-12
GENRE Action / Adventure / Comedy
WRITTEN BY Rhett Reese, Paul Wernick
DIRECTED BY Tim Miller
STARRING Ryan Reynolds, Morena Baccarin, T.J. Miller
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A fast-talking mercenary with a morbid sense of humor is subjected to a rogue experiment that leaves him with accelerated healing powers and a quest for revenge.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Fast, funny, and gleefully profane, the fourth-wall-busting Deadpool subverts superhero film formula with wildly entertaining – and decidedly non-family-friendly – results.

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35. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (4.25pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 45%
METASCORE 53/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 53min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-18
GENRE Drama / War
WRITTEN BY Ben Fountain (based on the novel by), Jean-Christophe Castelli (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Ang Lee
STARRING Joe Alwyn, Garrett Hedlund, Arturo Castro
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: 19-year-old Billy Lynn is brought home for a victory tour after a harrowing Iraq battle. Through flashbacks the film shows what really happened to his squad contrasting the realities of war with America’s perceptions.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk has noble goals, but lacks a strong enough screenplay to achieve them – and its visual innovations are often merely distracting.

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36. Captain America: Civil War (4.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 90%
METASCORE 75/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 27min
RELEASE DATE 2016-05-06
GENRE Action / Adventure / Sci-Fi
WRITTEN BY Christopher Markus (screenplay), Stephen McFeely (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Anthony Russo, Joe Russo
STARRING Chris Evans, Robert Downey Jr., Scarlett Johansson
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: Political interference in the Avengers’ activities causes a rift between former allies Captain America and Iron Man.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Captain America: Civil War begins the next wave of Marvel movies with an action-packed superhero blockbuster boasting a decidedly non-cartoonish plot and the courage to explore thought-provoking themes.

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37. Sausage Party (3.57pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 83%
METASCORE 66/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 29min
RELEASE DATE 2016-08-12
GENRE Animation / Adventure / Comedy
WRITTEN BY Kyle Hunter (screenplay), Ariel Shaffir (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Greg Tiernan, Conrad Vernon
STARRING Seth Rogen, Kristen Wiig, Jonah Hill
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A sausage strives to discover the truth about his existence.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Sausage Party is definitely offensive, but backs up its enthusiastic profanity with an impressively high laugh-to-gag ratio – and a surprisingly thought-provoking storyline.

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38. Allied (3.57pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 60%
METASCORE 60/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 04min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-23
GENRE Action / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY Steven Knight
DIRECTED BY Robert Zemeckis
STARRING Brad Pitt, Marion Cotillard, Jared Harris
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: In 1942, an intelligence officer in North Africa encounters a female French Resistance fighter on a deadly mission behind enemy lines. When they reunite in London, their relationship is tested by the pressures of war.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Allied has its moments, but doesn’t quite achieve epic wartime romance status – a disappointment made more profound by the dazzling talent assembled on either side of the camera.

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39. Hail, Caesar! (3.04pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 85%
METASCORE 72/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 46min
RELEASE DATE 2016-02-05
GENRE Comedy / Mystery
WRITTEN BY Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
DIRECTED BY Ethan Coen, Joel Coen
STARRING Josh Brolin, George Clooney, Alden Ehrenreich
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A Hollywood fixer in the 1950s works to keep the studio’s stars in line.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Packed with period detail and perfectly cast, Hail, Caesar! finds the Coen brothers delivering an agreeably lightweight love letter to post-war Hollywood.

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40. The Birth of a Nation (3.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 72%
METASCORE 68/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 00min
RELEASE DATE 2016-10-07
GENRE Biography / Drama / History
WRITTEN BY Nate Parker (screenplay), Nate Parker (story by)
DIRECTED BY Nate Parker
STARRING Nate Parker, Armie Hammer, Penelope Ann Miller
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: Nat Turner, a literate slave and preacher in the antebellum South, orchestrates an uprising.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: The Birth of a Nation overpowers its narrative flaws and uneven execution through sheer conviction, rising on Nate Parker’s assured direction and the strength of its vital message.

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41. Love & Friendship (2.77pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 98%
METASCORE 87/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 32min
RELEASE DATE 2016-06-03
GENRE Comedy / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY Jane Austen (based on her novella “Lady Susan”), Whit Stillman
DIRECTED BY Whit Stillman
STARRING Kate Beckinsale, Chloë Sevigny, Xavier Samuel
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: Lady Susan Vernon takes up temporary residence at her in-laws’ estate and, while there, is determined to be a matchmaker for her daughter Frederica – and herself too, naturally.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Love & Friendship finds director Whit Stillman bringing his talents to bear on a Jane Austen adaptation – with a thoroughly delightful period drama as the result.

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42. The Founder (2.52pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 78%
METASCORE 64/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 55min
RELEASE DATE 2017-01-20
GENRE Biography / Drama / History
WRITTEN BY Robert D. Siegel
DIRECTED BY John Lee Hancock
STARRING Linda Cardellini, Patrick Wilson, Michael Keaton
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The story of McDonald’s founder Ray Kroc.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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43. Star Trek Beyond (2.52pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 84%
METASCORE 68/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 02min
RELEASE DATE 2016-07-22
GENRE Action / Adventure / Sci-Fi
WRITTEN BY Simon Pegg, Doug Jung
DIRECTED BY Justin Lin
STARRING Chris Pine, Zachary Quinto, Karl Urban
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The USS Enterprise crew explores the furthest reaches of uncharted space, where they encounter a new ruthless enemy who puts them and everything the Federation stands for to the test.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Star Trek Beyond continues the franchise’s post-reboot hot streak with an epic sci-fi adventure that honors the series’ sci-fi roots without skimping on the blockbuster action.

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44. Elle (2.52pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 89%
METASCORE 89/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 10min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-11
GENRE Drama / Thriller
WRITTEN BY Philippe Djian (based on the novel by), David Birke (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Paul Verhoeven
STARRING Isabelle Huppert, Laurent Lafitte, Anne Consigny
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A successful businesswoman gets caught up in a game of cat and mouse as she tracks down the unknown man who raped her.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Elle finds director Paul Verhoeven operating at peak power – and benefiting from a typically outstanding performance from Isabelle Huppert in the central role.

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45. The Little Prince (2.50pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 93%
METASCORE 69/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 48min
RELEASE DATE 2016-08-05
GENRE Animation / Adventure / Drama
WRITTEN BY Irena Brignull (screenplay), Bob Persichetti (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Mark Osborne
STARRING Jeff Bridges, Mackenzie Foy, Rachel McAdams
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A little girl lives in a very grown-up world with her mother, who tries to prepare her for it. Her neighbor, the Aviator, introduces the girl to an extraordinary world where anything is possible, the world of the Little Prince.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Beautifully animated and faithful to the spirit of its classic source material, The Little Prince is a family-friendly treat that anchors thrilling visuals with a satisfying story.

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46. Miss Sloane (2.50pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 69%
METASCORE 64/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 12min
RELEASE DATE 2016-12-09
GENRE Drama / Thriller
WRITTEN BY Jonathan Perera
DIRECTED BY John Madden
STARRING Jessica Chastain, Gugu Mbatha-Raw, John Lithgow
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: In the world of political power-brokers, Sloane takes on the most powerful opponent of her career and will do whatever is required to win.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Miss Sloane sits squarely on the shoulder’s of Jessica Chastain’s performance – and she responds with awards-worthy work that single-handedly elevates the film.

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47. Denial (1.52pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 81%
METASCORE 64/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 49min
RELEASE DATE 2016-10-21
GENRE Biography / Drama / History
WRITTEN BY David Hare (screenplay), Deborah Lipstadt (book)
DIRECTED BY Mick Jackson
STARRING Rachel Weisz, Tom Wilkinson, Timothy Spall
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: Acclaimed writer and historian Deborah E. Lipstadt must battle for historical truth to prove the Holocaust actually occurred when David Irving, a renowned denier, sues her for libel.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: If Denial doesn’t quite do its incredible story complete justice, it comes close enough to offer a satisfying, impactful drama – and another powerful performance from Rachel Weisz.

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48. Trolls (1.25pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 76%
METASCORE 56/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 32min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-04
GENRE Animation / Adventure / Comedy
WRITTEN BY Jonathan Aibel (screenplay), Glenn Berger (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Walt Dohrn, Mike Mitchell
STARRING Anna Kendrick, Justin Timberlake, Zooey Deschanel
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: After the Bergens invade Troll Village, Poppy, the happiest Troll ever born, and the curmudgeonly Branch set off on a journey to rescue her friends.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Trolls brings its instantly recognizable characters to the big screen in a colorful adventure that, while geared toward the younger set, isn’t without rewards for parents.

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49. Warcraft (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 28%
METASCORE 32/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 2h 03min
RELEASE DATE 2016-06-10
GENRE Action / Adventure / Fantasy
WRITTEN BY Charles Leavitt (screenplay), Duncan Jones (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Duncan Jones
STARRING Travis Fimmel, Paula Patton, Ben Foster
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: As an Orc horde invades the planet Azeroth using a magic portal, a few human heroes and dissenting Orcs must attempt to stop the true evil behind this war.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Warcraft has visual thrills to spare, but they – and director Duncan Jones’ distinctive gifts – are wasted on a sluggish and derivative adaptation of a bestselling game with little evident cinematic value.

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50. The Lobster (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 90%
METASCORE 82/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 59min
RELEASE DATE 2016-05-13
GENRE Comedy / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthymis Filippou (as Efthimis Filippou)
DIRECTED BY Yorgos Lanthimos
STARRING Colin Farrell, Rachel Weisz, Jessica Barden
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: In a dystopian near future, single people, according to the laws of The City, are taken to The Hotel, where they are obliged to find a romantic partner in forty-five days or are transformed into beasts and sent off into The Woods.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: As strange as it is thrillingly ambitious, The Lobster is definitely an acquired taste – but for viewers with the fortitude to crack through Yorgos Lanthimos’ offbeat sensibilities, it should prove a savory cinematic treat.

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51. The Hollars (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 43%
METASCORE 53/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 28min
RELEASE DATE 2016-08-26
GENRE Comedy / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY James C. Strouse (as Jim Strouse)
DIRECTED BY John Krasinski
STARRING Sharlto Copley, Charlie Day, Richard Jenkins
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A man returns to his small hometown after learning that his mother has fallen ill and is about to undergo surgery.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: The Hollars gathers an impressive assortment of talented stars; unfortunately, it’s all in service of a story that’s been played out more effectively in countless other indie dramedies.

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52. The BFG (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 75%
METASCORE 66/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 1h 57min
RELEASE DATE 2016-07-01
GENRE Adventure / Family / Fantasy
WRITTEN BY Melissa Mathison (screenplay), Roald Dahl (book)
DIRECTED BY Steven Spielberg
STARRING Mark Rylance, Ruby Barnhill, Penelope Wilton
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A girl named Sophie encounters the Big Friendly Giant who, despite his intimidating appearance, turns out to be a kind-hearted soul who is considered an outcast by the other giants because, unlike them, he refuses to eat children.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: The BFG minimizes the darker elements of Roald Dahl’s classic in favor of a resolutely good-natured, visually stunning, and largely successful family-friendly adventure.

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53. Snowden (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 62%
METASCORE 58/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 2h 14min
RELEASE DATE 2016-09-16
GENRE Biography / Drama / Thriller
WRITTEN BY Kieran Fitzgerald (screenplay), Oliver Stone (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Oliver Stone
STARRING Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Shailene Woodley, Melissa Leo
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The NSA’s illegal surveillance techniques are leaked to the public by one of the agency’s employees, Edward Snowden, in the form of thousands of classified documents distributed to the press.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Snowden boasts a thrilling fact-based tale and a solid lead performance from Joseph Gordon-Levitt, even if director Oliver Stone saps the story of some of its impact by playing it safe.

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54. Queen of Katwe (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 92%
METASCORE 73/100
RATING PG
RUNTIME 2h 04min
RELEASE DATE 2016-09-30
GENRE Biography / Drama / Sport
WRITTEN BY William Wheeler (screenplay), Tim Crothers (based on the ESPN Magazine article and book by)
DIRECTED BY Mira Nair
STARRING Madina Nalwanga, David Oyelowo, Lupita Nyong’o
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: A Ugandan girl sees her world rapidly change after being introduced to the game of chess.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Queen of Katwe is a feel-good movie of uncommon smarts and passion, and outstanding performances by Lupita Nyong’o and David Oyelowo help to elevate the film past its cliches.

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55. Patriots Day (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 93%
METASCORE 72/100
RATING TBD
RUNTIME 2h 10min
RELEASE DATE 2017-01-13
GENRE Drama / History / Thriller
WRITTEN BY Peter Berg (screenplay), Matt Cook (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Peter Berg
STARRING Melissa Benoist, Mark Wahlberg, Michelle Monaghan
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: An account of Boston Police Commissioner Ed Davis’s actions in the events leading up to the 2013 Boston Marathon bombing and the aftermath, which includes the city-wide manhunt to find the terrorists behind it.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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56. My Life as a Zucchini (Ma vie de Courgette) (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 100%
METASCORE 85/100
RATING TBD
RUNTIME 1h 10min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-11
GENRE Animation / Family
WRITTEN BY Gilles Paris (novel), Céline Sciamma (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Claude Barras
STARRING Gaspard Schlatter, Sixtine Murat, Paulin Jaccoud
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: Courgette is an intriguing nickname for a 9-year-old boy. Although his unique story is surprisingly universal. After his mother’s sudden death, Courgette is befriended by a police officer … See full summary »

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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57. Miss Hokusai (Sarusuberi: Miss Hokusai) (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 93%
METASCORE 74/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 33min
RELEASE DATE 2015-10-14
GENRE Animation / Biography / Drama
WRITTEN BY Hinako Sugiura (comic “Sarusuberi”), Miho Maruo (screenplay)
DIRECTED BY Keiichi Hara
STARRING Yutaka Matsushige, Anne Watanabe, Erica Lindbeck
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The life and works of Japanese artist and ukiyo-e painter Katsushika Hokusai, as seen from the eyes of his daughter, Katsushika O-Ei.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Miss Hokusai illuminates the life and creative legacy of its brilliant subject with a beautifully animated biopic whose absorbing visuals are matched by its narrative grace.

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58. Gold (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES TBD
METASCORE n/a
RATING R
RUNTIME TBD
RELEASE DATE 2017-01-27
GENRE Adventure / Drama / Thriller
WRITTEN BY Patrick Massett, John Zinman
DIRECTED BY Stephen Gaghan
STARRING Bryce Dallas Howard, Matthew McConaughey, Toby Kebbell
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: An unlikely pair venture to the Indonesian jungle in search of gold.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: No consensus yet.

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59. Café Society (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 70%
METASCORE 64/100
RATING PG-13
RUNTIME 1h 36min
RELEASE DATE 2016-08-05
GENRE Comedy / Drama / Romance
WRITTEN BY Woody Allen
DIRECTED BY Woody Allen
STARRING Jesse Eisenberg, Kristen Stewart, Steve Carell
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: In the 1930s, a Bronx native moves to Hollywood and falls in love with a young woman who is seeing a married man.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Café Society’s lovely visuals and charming performances round out a lightweight late-period Allen comedy whose genuine pleasures offset its amiable predictability.

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60. Bleed for This (1.00pts)

ROTTEN TOMATOES 70%
METASCORE 62/100
RATING R
RUNTIME 1h 57min
RELEASE DATE 2016-11-18
GENRE Biography / Drama / Sport
WRITTEN BY Ben Younger (screenplay), Ben Younger (story)
DIRECTED BY Ben Younger
STARRING Miles Teller, Aaron Eckhart, Katey Sagal
LINKS Showtimes - Wikipedia - IMDB - Metacritic - Rotten Tomatoes

SYNOPSIS: The inspirational story of World Champion Boxer Vinny Pazienza who, after a near fatal car crash which left him not knowing if he’d ever walk again, made one of sport’s most incredible comebacks.

CRITICS CONSENSUS: Bleed for This rises on the strength of Miles Teller’s starring performance to deliver a solid fact-based boxing drama that takes a few genre clichés on the chin but keeps on coming.

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  1. At first, I was getting runtimes from Rotten Tomatoes. But weirdly enough, IMDB and Rotten Tomatoes have slightly different runtimes for a bunch of movies! I wonder why that is? For consistency’s sake, I’ve used IMDB’s runtimes for everything. ↩︎

  2. One major annoyance now that I’ve been getting into more serious/”Oscar-bait” movies lately: they don’t always have firm release dates, so you never know when they’ll show up at your local theater! Unlike major blockbusters, which open everywhere on the same date, these small films often open in only about 100 theaters (for comparison’s sake, Rogue One opened in 4,157, and then gradually expand if they do well. But some theaters drop these movies quickly, even as they expand to others! For example, I really wanted to see Moonlight when it debuted, but it was only playing at two theaters way out of the way for me. I had family in the hospital at the time, so by the time I had time to watch the movie, it was out of those theaters. I thought I was out of luck until it surprisingly showed up at my local theater weeks later. And even now, I’ve been driving to theaters all over the place to be able to watch films like The Edge of Seventeen or Nocturnal Animals (both so great!) because they’re not at my local theater and I don’t know if they ever will be. ↩︎

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Oscars checklist: Figuring out which movies are most likely to be nominated for awards so I can watch them while they're still in theaters

Last year, I tried to watch every movie nominated for an Oscar. But I missed a couple because by the time nominations were announced, those movies were out of theaters but not yet out on DVD/Blu-Ray/iTunes.

This year, I decided to try to figure out the Oscar-nominated movies ahead of time. I used data from GoldDerby.com, a Hollywood awards-prediction site. They have ongoing odds calculations for 18 major categories, which I used to allocate points to each movie.

(Yes, this is all pretty stupid, since the biggest awards contenders are already pretty well-known. But I was curious about the movies that might have flown more under-the-radar, and anyways, it was a fun exercise for me in using Markdown tables!)


Shortcuts


Sort by category

Here’s the original set of data, sorted by Oscar category. It is all sourced from Gold Derby’s experts predictions for the 2017 Oscars ceremony. I downloaded the data sometime in the last week of November, so my numbers may be a little different than the latest odds. The only thing I’ve added is the points column, which I explain below.

An explanation of the columns:

  • NOM = The number of experts who believe a film will be nominated for that award.
  • WIN = The number of experts who believe a film will win for that award.
  • ODDS = GoldDerby’s odds of a movie winning that award.
  • PTS = My very simple formula for allocating points. It’s just 100 divided by the odds. For example, a title with 20/1 odds is calculated as 100/ODDS = 100/(20/1) = 100/20 = 5 points. You can think of it as roughly the percentage chance of the movie winning that award.1

One other thing of note: if you look at the original charts on Gold Derby, every category has numerous movies with 100/1 odds and zero experts predicting a nomination or win. I think Gold Derby keeps them around because they were thought at one time to be contenders, but they serve no real purpose for my needs, so I have omitted them from my charts below. Also, I don’t understand how Gold Derby sorts movies with the same odds ranking because there were a few categories with a movie with 100/1 odds and 1 nomination prediction ranked well below a bunch of movies with 100/1 odds and 0 nomination predictions. This is why the last entry in some of the charts has a very different NUM rank than the preceding entry.

Best Picture

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 26 22 9/2 22.22
2 Manchester by the Sea 26 4 13/2 15.38
3 Moonlight 26 0 9/1 11.11
4 Fences 25 0 9/1 11.11
5 Loving 22 1 12/1 8.33
6 Silence 21 0 14/1 7.14
7 Lion 20 0 14/1 7.14
8 Jackie 18 0 16/1 6.25
9 Arrival 15 0 20/1 5.00
10 Sully 14 0 28/1 3.57
11 Hidden Figures 10 0 33/1 3.03
12 Hell or High Water 6 0 50/1 2.00
13 Hacksaw Ridge 7 0 66/1 1.52
14 A Monster Calls 2 0 100/1 1.00
15 Nocturnal Animals 4 0 100/1 1.00
16 Patriot’s Day 1 0 100/1 1.00
17 The Birth of a Nation 4 0 100/1 1.00
18 20th Century Women 1 0 100/1 1.00
19 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 2 0 100/1 1.00
20 Passengers 1 0 100/1 1.00
21 Live By Night 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Director

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land (Damien Chazelle) 26 22 17/10 58.82
2 Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan) 26 4 4/1 25.00
3 Moonlight (Barry Jenkins) 23 0 6/1 16.67
4 Silence (Martin Scorsese) 14 0 12/1 8.33
5 Fences (Denzel Washington) 14 1 12/1 8.33
6 Jackie (Pablo Larrain) 7 0 33/1 3.03
7 Loving (Jeff Nichols) 5 0 40/1 2.50
8 Arrival (Denis Villeneuve) 4 0 66/1 1.52
9 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (Ang Lee) 2 0 80/1 1.25
10 Lion (Garth Davis) 2 0 80/1 1.25
11 Hidden Figures (Theodore Melfi) 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Passengers (Morten Tyldum) 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Sully (Clint Eastwood) 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Hacksaw Ridge (Mel Gibson) 1 0 100/1 1.00
36 Nocturnal Animals (Tom Ford) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Manchester by the Sea (Casey Affleck) 26 17 2/1 50.00
2 Fences (Denzel Washington) 24 10 14/5 35.71
3 La La Land (Ryan Gosling) 22 0 13/2 15.38
4 Loving (Joel Edgerton) 17 0 9/1 11.11
5 Sully (Tom Hanks) 14 0 14/1 7.14
6 Captain Fantastic (Viggo Mortensen) 5 0 40/1 2.50
7 Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Garfield) 6 0 40/1 2.50
8 The Founder (Michael Keaton) 3 0 66/1 1.52
9 Silence (Andrew Garfield) 3 0 80/1 1.25
10 Rules Don’t Apply (Warren Beatty) 2 0 100/1 1.00
11 Nocturnal Animals (Jake Gyllenhaal) 2 0 100/1 1.00
12 The Birth of a Nation (Nate Parker) 2 0 100/1 1.00
13 Gold (Matthew McConaughey) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land (Emma Stone) 26 17 21/10 47.62
2 Jackie (Natalie Portman) 25 6 7/2 28.57
3 Loving (Ruth Negga) 23 2 6/1 16.67
4 20th Century Women (Annette Bening) 20 1 7/1 14.29
5 Arrival (Amy Adams) 15 0 14/1 7.14
6 Hidden Figures (Taraji P. Henson) 4 1 25/1 4.00
7 Miss Sloane (Jessica Chastain) 5 0 40/1 2.50
8 Florence Foster Jenkins (Meryl Streep) 4 0 50/1 2.00
9 Elle (Isabelle Huppert) 4 0 66/1 1.52
10 Fences (Viola Davis) 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Passengers (Jennifer Lawrence) 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Nocturnal Animals (Amy Adams) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Supporting Actor

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Moonlight (Mahershala Ali) 24 13 12/5 41.67
2 Manchester by the Sea (Lucas Hedges) 22 4 9/2 22.22
3 Hell or High Water (Jeff Bridges) 18 2 13/2 15.38
4 Lion (Dev Patel) 14 3 9/1 11.11
5 Nocturnal Animals (Michael Shannon) 14 3 9/1 11.11
6 Silence (Liam Neeson) 10 2 12/1 8.33
7 Fences (Stephen Henderson) 5 0 50/1 2.00
8 Florence Foster Jenkins (Hugh Grant) 6 0 50/1 2.00
9 Fences (Jovan Adepo) 4 0 50/1 2.00
10 Denial (Timothy Spall) 2 0 66/1 1.52
11 Bleed for This (Aaron Eckhart) 2 0 100/1 1.00
12 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (Steve Martin) 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Hell or High Water (Ben Foster) 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Hidden Figures (Kevin Costner) 1 0 100/1 1.00
15 Manchester by the Sea (Kyle Chandler) 1 0 100/1 1.00
25 Fences (Mykelti Williamson) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Supporting Actress

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Fences (Viola Davis) 25 19 2/1 50.00
2 Manchester by the Sea (Michelle Williams) 23 8 10/3 30.00
3 Moonlight (Naomie Harris) 24 0 5/1 20.00
4 Lion (Nicole Kidman) 20 0 9/1 11.11
5 20th Century Women (Greta Gerwig) 10 0 20/1 5.00
6 Hidden Figures (Janelle Monae) 8 0 22/1 4.55
7 A Monster Calls (Felicity Jones) 7 0 33/1 3.03
8 The Hollars (Margo Martindale) 2 0 100/1 1.00
9 The Birth of a Nation (Aja Naomi King) 3 0 100/1 1.00
10 20th Century Women (Elle Fanning) 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Queen of Katwe (Lupita Nyong’o) 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (Kristen Stewart) 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 The Founder (Laura Dern) 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Nocturnal Animals (Amy Adams) 1 0 100/1 1.00
23 Hidden Figures (Octavia Spencer) 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Original Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Manchester by the Sea 24 18 2/1 50.00
2 Moonlight 23 5 7/2 28.57
3 La La Land 23 2 9/2 22.22
4 Loving 13 1 11/1 9.09
5 Jackie 15 0 12/1 8.33
6 Hell or High Water 8 0 20/1 5.00
7 20th Century Women 10 0 20/1 5.00
8 Captain Fantastic 2 0 100/1 1.00
9 Zootopia 1 0 100/1 1.00
22 The Lobster 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Adapted Screenplay

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Fences 21 19 19/10 52.63
2 Arrival 21 2 5/1 20.00
3 Silence 20 2 11/2 18.18
4 Lion 17 1 15/2 13.33
5 Nocturnal Animals 12 1 12/1 8.33
6 Hidden Figures 11 0 16/1 6.25
7 A Monster Calls 6 1 25/1 4.00
8 Hacksaw Ridge 2 0 66/1 1.52
9 Love and Friendship 2 0 80/1 1.25
10 Elle 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Sully 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Finding Dory 1 0 100/1 1.00
21 Snowden 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Animated Feature

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Zootopia 21 16 15/8 53.33
2 Kubo and the Two Strings 18 2 5/1 20.00
3 Moana 15 2 13/2 15.38
4 Finding Dory 14 0 8/1 12.50
5 The Red Turtle 13 0 11/1 9.09
6 Sing 9 1 14/1 7.14
7 Sausage Party 6 0 28/1 3.57
8 The Little Prince 4 0 40/1 2.50
9 Trolls 2 0 80/1 1.25
10 My Life as a Zucchini 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Miss Hokusai 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Visual Effects

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Doctor Strange 8 4 3/1 33.33
2 The Jungle Book 6 5 10/3 30.00
3 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 7 1 11/2 18.18
4 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 6 0 9/1 11.11
5 Arrival 4 1 10/1 10.00
6 Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children 5 0 20/1 5.00
7 Captain America: Civil War 3 0 25/1 4.00
8 Sully 1 0 50/1 2.00
9 Star Trek Beyond 1 0 66/1 1.52
10 The BFG 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 A Monster Calls 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Warcraft 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Deadpool 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Cinematography

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 18 14 19/10 52.63
2 Silence 15 2 6/1 16.67
3 Arrival 13 2 6/1 16.67
4 Jackie 13 0 9/1 11.11
5 Moonlight 12 0 9/1 11.11
6 Live By Night 4 0 28/1 3.57
7 Nocturnal Animals 2 1 33/1 3.03
8 Lion 3 0 50/1 2.00
9 The Jungle Book 3 0 50/1 2.00
10 Hail, Caesar! 2 0 66/1 1.52
11 A Monster Calls 2 0 80/1 1.25
12 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Cafe Society 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Doctor Strange 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Film Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 12 10 2/1 50.00
2 Silence 9 1 11/2 18.18
3 Jackie 9 1 13/2 15.38
4 Hacksaw Ridge 8 0 10/1 10.00
5 Moonlight 6 0 11/1 9.09
6 Sully 1 1 25/1 4.00
7 The Jungle Book 2 1 28/1 3.57
8 Hidden Figures 2 0 28/1 3.57
9 Nocturnal Animals 3 0 28/1 3.57
10 Arrival 3 0 33/1 3.03
11 Deepwater Horizon 2 0 66/1 1.52
12 Lion 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Manchester by the Sea 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Score

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 12 11 9/5 55.56
2 Jackie 10 2 4/1 25.00
3 Silence 9 1 7/1 14.29
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 6 0 14/1 7.14
5 Arrival 3 0 14/1 7.14
6 Lion 4 0 22/1 4.55
7 The Jungle Book 5 0 25/1 4.00
8 Nocturnal Animals 3 0 33/1 3.03
9 Hidden Figures 2 0 50/1 2.00
10 Moonlight 1 0 66/1 1.52
11 Florence Foster Jenkins 1 0 66/1 1.52
12 Hacksaw Ridge 1 0 80/1 1.25
13 Live By Night 1 0 100/1 1.00
14 Zootopia 1 0 100/1 1.00
15 Fences 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Sound Editing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Hacksaw Ridge 9 9 7/4 57.14
2 La La Land 8 2 4/1 25.00
3 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 7 0 13/2 15.38
4 Deepwater Horizon 6 0 12/1 8.33
5 Silence 4 0 14/1 7.14
6 The Jungle Book 4 0 14/1 7.14
7 Arrival 2 0 25/1 4.00
8 Live By Night 1 0 50/1 2.00
9 Doctor Strange 1 0 100/1 1.00
10 Passengers 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Sully 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Sound Mixing

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 9 11 3/2 66.67
2 Hacksaw Ridge 9 0 4/1 25.00
3 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 8 0 11/2 18.18
4 Silence 5 0 10/1 10.00
5 The Jungle Book 4 0 16/1 6.25
6 Deepwater Horizon 4 0 25/1 4.00
7 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2 0 50/1 2.00
8 Passengers 1 0 100/1 1.00
9 Arrival 1 0 100/1 1.00
11 Star Trek Beyond 1 0 100/1 1.00
12 Sully 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Production Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 La La Land 11 11 19/10 52.63
2 Jackie 11 0 6/1 16.67
3 Silence 9 0 13/2 15.38
4 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 9 1 15/2 13.33
5 Rules Don’t Apply 5 1 14/1 7.14
6 The Jungle Book 3 1 22/1 4.55
7 Live By Night 2 0 22/1 4.55
8 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 3 0 28/1 3.57
9 Hidden Figures 3 0 33/1 3.03
10 Hail, Caesar! 1 0 66/1 1.52
11 Hacksaw Ridge 1 0 80/1 1.25
12 Florence Foster Jenkins 1 0 100/1 1.00
13 Fences 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Costume Design

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Jackie 11 5 11/4 36.36
2 La La Land 10 6 14/5 35.71
3 Silence 7 1 6/1 16.67
4 Florence Foster Jenkins 7 1 8/1 12.50
5 Live By Night 3 0 16/1 6.25
6 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 5 0 18/1 5.56
7 Allied 4 0 28/1 3.57
8 Rules Don’t Apply 3 0 33/1 3.03
9 Captain Fantastic 2 0 50/1 2.00
10 Love and Friendship 2 0 66/1 1.52
11 Hidden Figures 1 0 100/1 1.00

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

NUM NAME NOM WIN ODDS PTS
1 Jackie 11 10 5/4 80.00
2 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 6 1 7/1 14.29
3 Silence 5 0 9/1 11.11
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 3 1 11/1 9.09
5 Florence Foster Jenkins 3 1 11/1 9.09
6 Doctor Strange 1 1 25/1 4.00
7 Deadpool 2 0 28/1 3.57
8 Loving 2 0 33/1 3.03
9 A Monster Calls 1 0 50/1 2.00
10 Hacksaw Ridge 1 0 50/1 2.00
11 Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children 1 0 50/1 2.00

Sort by movie

If you want to browse through all the different movies, here you go.

(As I mentioned earlier, I started this whole post as a way of experimenting with Markdown tables. But it turns out multi-line cells in Markdown tables are not supported by most Markdown converters, including the one in my blog software, Jekyll. Rather than try to painstakingly convert it manually, I’m just embedding my big ol’ plain text chart here instead.)

If you don’t want to skim through this, feel free to jump down to the list sorted by score instead.

|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
| TOTAL  |                       TITLE                       |           CATEGORY          |          NOM           |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  26.29 | 20th Century Women (Annette Bening)               | Best Actress                | 14.29 pts (7/1 odds)   |
|        | 20th Century Women (Greta Gerwig)                 | Best Supporting Actress     | 05.00 pts (20/1 odds)  |
|        | 20th Century Women                                | Best Original Screenplay    | 05.00 pts (20/1 odds)  |
|        | 20th Century Women (Elle Fanning)                 | Best Supporting Actress     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | 20th Century Women                                | Best Picture                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  12.28 | A Monster Calls                                   | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 04.00 pts (25/1 odds)  |
|        | A Monster Calls (Felicity Jones)                  | Best Supporting Actress     | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|        | A Monster Calls                                   | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | A Monster Calls                                   | Best Cinematography         | 01.25 pts (80/1 odds)  |
|        | A Monster Calls                                   | Best Visual Effects         | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | A Monster Calls                                   | Best Picture                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   3.57 | Allied                                            | Best Costume Design         | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   75.5 | Arrival                                           | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 20.00 pts (5/1 odds)   |
|        | Arrival                                           | Best Cinematography         | 16.67 pts (6/1 odds)   |
|        | Arrival                                           | Best Visual Effects         | 10.00 pts (10/1 odds)  |
|        | Arrival (Amy Adams)                               | Best Actress                | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | Arrival                                           | Best Score                  | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | Arrival                                           | Best Picture                | 05.00 pts (20/1 odds)  |
|        | Arrival                                           | Best Sound Editing          | 04.00 pts (25/1 odds)  |
|        | Arrival                                           | Best Film Editing           | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|        | Arrival (Denis Villeneuve)                        | Best Director               | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | Arrival                                           | Best Sound Mixing           | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   4.25 | Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk                   | Best Picture                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (Ang Lee)         | Best Director               | 01.25 pts (80/1 odds)  |
|        | Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (Kristen Stewart) | Best Supporting Actress     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk (Steve Martin)    | Best Supporting Actor       | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | Bleed for This (Aaron Eckhart)                    | Best Supporting Actor       | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | Cafe Society                                      | Best Cinematography         | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      4 | Captain America: Civil War                        | Best Visual Effects         | 04.00 pts (25/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|    5.5 | Captain Fantastic (Viggo Mortensen)               | Best Actor                  | 02.50 pts (40/1 odds)  |
|        | Captain Fantastic                                 | Best Costume Design         | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Captain Fantastic                                 | Best Original Screenplay    | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   4.57 | Deadpool                                          | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|        | Deadpool                                          | Best Visual Effects         | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  13.85 | Deepwater Horizon                                 | Best Sound Editing          | 08.33 pts (12/1 odds)  |
|        | Deepwater Horizon                                 | Best Sound Mixing           | 04.00 pts (25/1 odds)  |
|        | Deepwater Horizon                                 | Best Film Editing           | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   1.52 | Denial (Timothy Spall)                            | Best Supporting Actor       | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  39.33 | Doctor Strange                                    | Best Visual Effects         | 33.33 pts (3/1 odds)   |
|        | Doctor Strange                                    | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 04.00 pts (25/1 odds)  |
|        | Doctor Strange                                    | Best Sound Editing          | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Doctor Strange                                    | Best Cinematography         | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   2.52 | Elle (Isabelle Huppert)                           | Best Actress                | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | Elle                                              | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  49.29 | Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them           | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 14.29 pts (7/1 odds)   |
|        | Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them           | Best Production Design      | 13.33 pts (15/2 odds)  |
|        | Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them           | Best Visual Effects         | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them           | Best Costume Design         | 05.56 pts (18/1 odds)  |
|        | Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them           | Best Sound Mixing           | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them           | Best Sound Editing          | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them           | Best Film Editing           | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them           | Best Cinematography         | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
| 165.78 | Fences                                            | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 52.63 pts (19/10 odds) |
|        | Fences (Viola Davis)                              | Best Supporting Actress     | 50.00 pts (2/1 odds)   |
|        | Fences (Denzel Washington)                        | Best Actor                  | 35.71 pts (14/5 odds)  |
|        | Fences                                            | Best Picture                | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Fences (Denzel Washington)                        | Best Director               | 08.33 pts (12/1 odds)  |
|        | Fences (Stephen Henderson)                        | Best Supporting Actor       | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Fences (Jovan Adepo)                              | Best Supporting Actor       | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Fences (Viola Davis)                              | Best Actress                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Fences (Mykelti Williamson)                       | Best Supporting Actor       | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Fences                                            | Best Score                  | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Fences                                            | Best Production Design      | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   13.5 | Finding Dory                                      | Best Animated Feature       | 12.50 pts (8/1 odds)   |
|        | Finding Dory                                      | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  28.11 | Florence Foster Jenkins                           | Best Costume Design         | 12.50 pts (8/1 odds)   |
|        | Florence Foster Jenkins                           | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 09.09 pts (11/1 odds)  |
|        | Florence Foster Jenkins (Meryl Streep)            | Best Actress                | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Florence Foster Jenkins (Hugh Grant)              | Best Supporting Actor       | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Florence Foster Jenkins                           | Best Score                  | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | Florence Foster Jenkins                           | Best Production Design      | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | Gold (Matthew McConaughey)                        | Best Actor                  | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
| 103.18 | Hacksaw Ridge                                     | Best Sound Editing          | 57.14 pts (7/4 odds)   |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge                                     | Best Sound Mixing           | 25.00 pts (4/1 odds)   |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge                                     | Best Film Editing           | 10.00 pts (10/1 odds)  |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge (Andrew Garfield)                   | Best Actor                  | 02.50 pts (40/1 odds)  |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge                                     | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge                                     | Best Picture                | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge                                     | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge                                     | Best Score                  | 01.25 pts (80/1 odds)  |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge                                     | Best Production Design      | 01.25 pts (80/1 odds)  |
|        | Hacksaw Ridge (Mel Gibson)                        | Best Director               | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   3.04 | Hail, Caesar!                                     | Best Production Design      | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | Hail, Caesar!                                     | Best Cinematography         | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  23.38 | Hell or High Water (Jeff Bridges)                 | Best Supporting Actor       | 15.38 pts (13/2 odds)  |
|        | Hell or High Water                                | Best Original Screenplay    | 05.00 pts (20/1 odds)  |
|        | Hell or High Water                                | Best Picture                | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Hell or High Water (Ben Foster)                   | Best Supporting Actor       | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  30.43 | Hidden Figures                                    | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 06.25 pts (16/1 odds)  |
|        | Hidden Figures (Janelle Monae)                    | Best Supporting Actress     | 04.55 pts (22/1 odds)  |
|        | Hidden Figures (Taraji P. Henson)                 | Best Actress                | 04.00 pts (25/1 odds)  |
|        | Hidden Figures                                    | Best Film Editing           | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|        | Hidden Figures                                    | Best Production Design      | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|        | Hidden Figures                                    | Best Picture                | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|        | Hidden Figures                                    | Best Score                  | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Hidden Figures (Theodore Melfi)                   | Best Director               | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Hidden Figures (Octavia Spencer)                  | Best Supporting Actress     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Hidden Figures (Kevin Costner)                    | Best Supporting Actor       | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Hidden Figures                                    | Best Costume Design         | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  230.7 | Jackie                                            | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 80.00 pts (5/4 odds)   |
|        | Jackie                                            | Best Costume Design         | 36.36 pts (11/4 odds)  |
|        | Jackie (Natalie Portman)                          | Best Actress                | 28.57 pts (7/2 odds)   |
|        | Jackie                                            | Best Score                  | 25.00 pts (4/1 odds)   |
|        | Jackie                                            | Best Production Design      | 16.67 pts (6/1 odds)   |
|        | Jackie                                            | Best Film Editing           | 15.38 pts (13/2 odds)  |
|        | Jackie                                            | Best Cinematography         | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Jackie                                            | Best Original Screenplay    | 08.33 pts (12/1 odds)  |
|        | Jackie                                            | Best Picture                | 06.25 pts (16/1 odds)  |
|        | Jackie (Pablo Larrain)                            | Best Director               | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|     20 | Kubo and the Two Strings                          | Best Animated Feature       | 20.00 pts (5/1 odds)   |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
| 504.46 | La La Land                                        | Best Sound Mixing           | 66.67 pts (3/2 odds)   |
|        | La La Land (Damien Chazelle)                      | Best Director               | 58.82 pts (17/10 odds) |
|        | La La Land                                        | Best Score                  | 55.56 pts (9/5 odds)   |
|        | La La Land                                        | Best Production Design      | 52.63 pts (19/10 odds) |
|        | La La Land                                        | Best Cinematography         | 52.63 pts (19/10 odds) |
|        | La La Land                                        | Best Film Editing           | 50.00 pts (2/1 odds)   |
|        | La La Land (Emma Stone)                           | Best Actress                | 47.62 pts (21/10 odds) |
|        | La La Land                                        | Best Costume Design         | 35.71 pts (14/5 odds)  |
|        | La La Land                                        | Best Sound Editing          | 25.00 pts (4/1 odds)   |
|        | La La Land                                        | Best Picture                | 22.22 pts (9/2 odds)   |
|        | La La Land                                        | Best Original Screenplay    | 22.22 pts (9/2 odds)   |
|        | La La Land (Ryan Gosling)                         | Best Actor                  | 15.38 pts (13/2 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  51.49 | Lion                                              | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 13.33 pts (15/2 odds)  |
|        | Lion (Nicole Kidman)                              | Best Supporting Actress     | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Lion (Dev Patel)                                  | Best Supporting Actor       | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Lion                                              | Best Picture                | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | Lion                                              | Best Score                  | 04.55 pts (22/1 odds)  |
|        | Lion                                              | Best Cinematography         | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Lion (Garth Davis)                                | Best Director               | 01.25 pts (80/1 odds)  |
|        | Lion                                              | Best Film Editing           | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  18.37 | Live By Night                                     | Best Costume Design         | 06.25 pts (16/1 odds)  |
|        | Live By Night                                     | Best Production Design      | 04.55 pts (22/1 odds)  |
|        | Live By Night                                     | Best Cinematography         | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|        | Live By Night                                     | Best Sound Editing          | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Live By Night                                     | Best Score                  | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Live By Night                                     | Best Picture                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   2.77 | Love and Friendship                               | Best Costume Design         | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | Love and Friendship                               | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 01.25 pts (80/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  50.73 | Loving (Ruth Negga)                               | Best Actress                | 16.67 pts (6/1 odds)   |
|        | Loving (Joel Edgerton)                            | Best Actor                  | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Loving                                            | Best Original Screenplay    | 09.09 pts (11/1 odds)  |
|        | Loving                                            | Best Picture                | 08.33 pts (12/1 odds)  |
|        | Loving                                            | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|        | Loving (Jeff Nichols)                             | Best Director               | 02.50 pts (40/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  194.6 | Manchester by the Sea (Casey Affleck)             | Best Actor                  | 50.00 pts (2/1 odds)   |
|        | Manchester by the Sea                             | Best Original Screenplay    | 50.00 pts (2/1 odds)   |
|        | Manchester by the Sea (Michelle Williams)         | Best Supporting Actress     | 30.00 pts (10/3 odds)  |
|        | Manchester by the Sea (Kenneth Lonergan)          | Best Director               | 25.00 pts (4/1 odds)   |
|        | Manchester by the Sea (Lucas Hedges)              | Best Supporting Actor       | 22.22 pts (9/2 odds)   |
|        | Manchester by the Sea                             | Best Picture                | 15.38 pts (13/2 odds)  |
|        | Manchester by the Sea (Kyle Chandler)             | Best Supporting Actor       | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Manchester by the Sea                             | Best Film Editing           | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | Miss Hokusai                                      | Best Animated Feature       | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      7 | Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children       | Best Visual Effects         | 05.00 pts (20/1 odds)  |
|        | Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children       | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|    2.5 | Miss Sloane (Jessica Chastain)                    | Best Actress                | 02.50 pts (40/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  15.38 | Moana                                             | Best Animated Feature       | 15.38 pts (13/2 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
| 139.74 | Moonlight (Mahershala Ali)                        | Best Supporting Actor       | 41.67 pts (12/5 odds)  |
|        | Moonlight                                         | Best Original Screenplay    | 28.57 pts (7/2 odds)   |
|        | Moonlight (Naomie Harris)                         | Best Supporting Actress     | 20.00 pts (5/1 odds)   |
|        | Moonlight (Barry Jenkins)                         | Best Director               | 16.67 pts (6/1 odds)   |
|        | Moonlight                                         | Best Picture                | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Moonlight                                         | Best Cinematography         | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Moonlight                                         | Best Film Editing           | 09.09 pts (11/1 odds)  |
|        | Moonlight                                         | Best Score                  | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | My Life as a Zucchini                             | Best Animated Feature       | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  34.07 | Nocturnal Animals (Michael Shannon)               | Best Supporting Actor       | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Nocturnal Animals                                 | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 08.33 pts (12/1 odds)  |
|        | Nocturnal Animals                                 | Best Film Editing           | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|        | Nocturnal Animals                                 | Best Score                  | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|        | Nocturnal Animals                                 | Best Cinematography         | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|        | Nocturnal Animals (Tom Ford)                      | Best Director               | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Nocturnal Animals (Jake Gyllenhaal)               | Best Actor                  | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Nocturnal Animals (Amy Adams)                     | Best Supporting Actress     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Nocturnal Animals (Amy Adams)                     | Best Actress                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Nocturnal Animals                                 | Best Picture                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      5 | Passengers (Morten Tyldum)                        | Best Director               | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Passengers (Jennifer Lawrence)                    | Best Actress                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Passengers                                        | Best Sound Mixing           | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Passengers                                        | Best Sound Editing          | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Passengers                                        | Best Picture                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | Patriot's Day                                     | Best Picture                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | Queen of Katwe (Lupita Nyong'o)                   | Best Supporting Actress     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  71.54 | Rogue One: A Star Wars Story                      | Best Visual Effects         | 18.18 pts (11/2 odds)  |
|        | Rogue One: A Star Wars Story                      | Best Sound Mixing           | 18.18 pts (11/2 odds)  |
|        | Rogue One: A Star Wars Story                      | Best Sound Editing          | 15.38 pts (13/2 odds)  |
|        | Rogue One: A Star Wars Story                      | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 09.09 pts (11/1 odds)  |
|        | Rogue One: A Star Wars Story                      | Best Score                  | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | Rogue One: A Star Wars Story                      | Best Production Design      | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  11.17 | Rules Don't Apply                                 | Best Production Design      | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | Rules Don't Apply                                 | Best Costume Design         | 03.03 pts (33/1 odds)  |
|        | Rules Don't Apply (Warren Beatty)                 | Best Actor                  | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   3.57 | Sausage Party                                     | Best Animated Feature       | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
| 152.67 | Silence                                           | Best Film Editing           | 18.18 pts (11/2 odds)  |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 18.18 pts (11/2 odds)  |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Costume Design         | 16.67 pts (6/1 odds)   |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Cinematography         | 16.67 pts (6/1 odds)   |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Production Design      | 15.38 pts (13/2 odds)  |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Score                  | 14.29 pts (7/1 odds)   |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Makeup and Hairstyling | 11.11 pts (9/1 odds)   |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Sound Mixing           | 10.00 pts (10/1 odds)  |
|        | Silence (Martin Scorsese)                         | Best Director               | 08.33 pts (12/1 odds)  |
|        | Silence (Liam Neeson)                             | Best Supporting Actor       | 08.33 pts (12/1 odds)  |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Sound Editing          | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | Silence                                           | Best Picture                | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | Silence (Andrew Garfield)                         | Best Actor                  | 01.25 pts (80/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   7.14 | Sing                                              | Best Animated Feature       | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | Snowden                                           | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   2.52 | Star Trek Beyond                                  | Best Visual Effects         | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | Star Trek Beyond                                  | Best Sound Mixing           | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  20.71 | Sully (Tom Hanks)                                 | Best Actor                  | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | Sully                                             | Best Film Editing           | 04.00 pts (25/1 odds)  |
|        | Sully                                             | Best Picture                | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|        | Sully                                             | Best Visual Effects         | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|        | Sully (Clint Eastwood)                            | Best Director               | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Sully                                             | Best Sound Mixing           | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Sully                                             | Best Sound Editing          | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Sully                                             | Best Adapted Screenplay     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | The BFG                                           | Best Visual Effects         | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      3 | The Birth of a Nation (Nate Parker)               | Best Actor                  | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | The Birth of a Nation (Aja Naomi King)            | Best Supporting Actress     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | The Birth of a Nation                             | Best Picture                | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   2.52 | The Founder (Michael Keaton)                      | Best Actor                  | 01.52 pts (66/1 odds)  |
|        | The Founder (Laura Dern)                          | Best Supporting Actress     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | The Hollars (Margo Martindale)                    | Best Supporting Actress     | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  57.51 | The Jungle Book                                   | Best Visual Effects         | 30.00 pts (10/3 odds)  |
|        | The Jungle Book                                   | Best Sound Editing          | 07.14 pts (14/1 odds)  |
|        | The Jungle Book                                   | Best Sound Mixing           | 06.25 pts (16/1 odds)  |
|        | The Jungle Book                                   | Best Production Design      | 04.55 pts (22/1 odds)  |
|        | The Jungle Book                                   | Best Score                  | 04.00 pts (25/1 odds)  |
|        | The Jungle Book                                   | Best Film Editing           | 03.57 pts (28/1 odds)  |
|        | The Jungle Book                                   | Best Cinematography         | 02.00 pts (50/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|    2.5 | The Little Prince                                 | Best Animated Feature       | 02.50 pts (40/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | The Lobster                                       | Best Original Screenplay    | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   9.09 | The Red Turtle                                    | Best Animated Feature       | 09.09 pts (11/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|   1.25 | Trolls                                            | Best Animated Feature       | 01.25 pts (80/1 odds)  |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|      1 | Warcraft                                          | Best Visual Effects         | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|
|  55.33 | Zootopia                                          | Best Animated Feature       | 53.33 pts (15/8 odds)  |
|        | Zootopia                                          | Best Original Screenplay    | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|        | Zootopia                                          | Best Score                  | 01.00 pts (100/1 odds) |
|--------|---------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------|

Sort by score

Here’s the list of movies sorted by score and properly formatted as a bulleted list, to make it easier to read.

If this is all too long and verbose, feel free to jump down to the final list.

  • La La Land (504.46 pts)
    • 66.67 pts for Best Sound Mixing (3/2 odds)
    • 58.82 pts for Best Director (Damien Chazelle) (17/10 odds)
    • 55.56 pts for Best Score (9/5 odds)
    • 52.63 pts for Best Production Design (19/10 odds)
    • 52.63 pts for Best Cinematography (19/10 odds)
    • 50.00 pts for Best Film Editing (2/1 odds)
    • 47.62 pts for Best Actress (Emma Stone) (21/10 odds)
    • 35.71 pts for Best Costume Design (14/5 odds)
    • 25.00 pts for Best Sound Editing (4/1 odds)
    • 22.22 pts for Best Picture (9/2 odds)
    • 22.22 pts for Best Original Screenplay (9/2 odds)
    • 15.38 pts for Best Actor (Ryan Gosling) (13/2 odds)
  • Jackie (230.70 pts)
    • 80.00 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (5/4 odds)
    • 36.36 pts for Best Costume Design (11/4 odds)
    • 28.57 pts for Best Actress (Natalie Portman) (7/2 odds)
    • 25.00 pts for Best Score (4/1 odds)
    • 16.67 pts for Best Production Design (6/1 odds)
    • 15.38 pts for Best Film Editing (13/2 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Cinematography (9/1 odds)
    • 08.33 pts for Best Original Screenplay (12/1 odds)
    • 06.25 pts for Best Picture (16/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Director (Pablo Larrain) (33/1 odds)
  • Manchester by the Sea (194.60 pts)
    • 50.00 pts for Best Actor (Casey Affleck) (2/1 odds)
    • 50.00 pts for Best Original Screenplay (2/1 odds)
    • 30.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Michelle Williams) (10/3 odds)
    • 25.00 pts for Best Director (Kenneth Lonergan) (4/1 odds)
    • 22.22 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Lucas Hedges) (9/2 odds)
    • 15.38 pts for Best Picture (13/2 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Kyle Chandler) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Film Editing (100/1 odds)
  • Fences (165.78 pts)
    • 52.63 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (19/10 odds)
    • 50.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Viola Davis) (2/1 odds)
    • 35.71 pts for Best Actor (Denzel Washington) (14/5 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Picture (9/1 odds)
    • 08.33 pts for Best Director (Denzel Washington) (12/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Stephen Henderson) (50/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Jovan Adepo) (50/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Actress (Viola Davis) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Mykelti Williamson) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Score (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Production Design (100/1 odds)
  • Silence (152.67 pts)
    • 18.18 pts for Best Film Editing (11/2 odds)
    • 18.18 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (11/2 odds)
    • 16.67 pts for Best Costume Design (6/1 odds)
    • 16.67 pts for Best Cinematography (6/1 odds)
    • 15.38 pts for Best Production Design (13/2 odds)
    • 14.29 pts for Best Score (7/1 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (9/1 odds)
    • 10.00 pts for Best Sound Mixing (10/1 odds)
    • 08.33 pts for Best Director (Martin Scorsese) (12/1 odds)
    • 08.33 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Liam Neeson) (12/1 odds)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Sound Editing (14/1 odds)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Picture (14/1 odds)
    • 01.25 pts for Best Actor (Andrew Garfield) (80/1 odds)
  • Moonlight (139.74 pts)
    • 41.67 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Mahershala Ali) (12/5 odds)
    • 28.57 pts for Best Original Screenplay (7/2 odds)
    • 20.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Naomie Harris) (5/1 odds)
    • 16.67 pts for Best Director (Barry Jenkins) (6/1 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Picture (9/1 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Cinematography (9/1 odds)
    • 09.09 pts for Best Film Editing (11/1 odds)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Score (66/1 odds)
  • Hacksaw Ridge (103.18 pts)
    • 57.14 pts for Best Sound Editing (7/4 odds)
    • 25.00 pts for Best Sound Mixing (4/1 odds)
    • 10.00 pts for Best Film Editing (10/1 odds)
    • 02.50 pts for Best Actor (Andrew Garfield) (40/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (50/1 odds)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Picture (66/1 odds)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (66/1 odds)
    • 01.25 pts for Best Score (80/1 odds)
    • 01.25 pts for Best Production Design (80/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Director (Mel Gibson) (100/1 odds)
  • Arrival (75.50 pts)
    • 20.00 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (5/1 odds)
    • 16.67 pts for Best Cinematography (6/1 odds)
    • 10.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (10/1 odds)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Actress (Amy Adams) (14/1 odds)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Score (14/1 odds)
    • 05.00 pts for Best Picture (20/1 odds)
    • 04.00 pts for Best Sound Editing (25/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Film Editing (33/1 odds)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Director (Denis Villeneuve) (66/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Sound Mixing (100/1 odds)
  • Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (71.54 pts)
    • 18.18 pts for Best Visual Effects (11/2 odds)
    • 18.18 pts for Best Sound Mixing (11/2 odds)
    • 15.38 pts for Best Sound Editing (13/2 odds)
    • 09.09 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (11/1 odds)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Score (14/1 odds)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Production Design (28/1 odds)
  • The Jungle Book (57.51 pts)
    • 30.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (10/3 odds)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Sound Editing (14/1 odds)
    • 06.25 pts for Best Sound Mixing (16/1 odds)
    • 04.55 pts for Best Production Design (22/1 odds)
    • 04.00 pts for Best Score (25/1 odds)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Film Editing (28/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Cinematography (50/1 odds)
  • Zootopia (55.33 pts)
    • 53.33 pts for Best Animated Feature (15/8 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Original Screenplay (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Score (100/1 odds)
  • Lion (51.49 pts)
    • 13.33 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (15/2 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Nicole Kidman) (9/1 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Dev Patel) (9/1 odds)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Picture (14/1 odds)
    • 04.55 pts for Best Score (22/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Cinematography (50/1 odds)
    • 01.25 pts for Best Director (Garth Davis) (80/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Film Editing (100/1 odds)
  • Loving (50.73 pts)
    • 16.67 pts for Best Actress (Ruth Negga) (6/1 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Actor (Joel Edgerton) (9/1 odds)
    • 09.09 pts for Best Original Screenplay (11/1 odds)
    • 08.33 pts for Best Picture (12/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (33/1 odds)
    • 02.50 pts for Best Director (Jeff Nichols) (40/1 odds)
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (49.29 pts)
    • 14.29 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (7/1 odds)
    • 13.33 pts for Best Production Design (15/2 odds)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Visual Effects (9/1 odds)
    • 05.56 pts for Best Costume Design (18/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Sound Mixing (50/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Sound Editing (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Film Editing (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Cinematography (100/1 odds)
  • Doctor Strange (39.33 pts)
    • 33.33 pts for Best Visual Effects (3/1 odds)
    • 04.00 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (25/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Sound Editing (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Cinematography (100/1 odds)
  • Nocturnal Animals (34.07 pts)
    • 11.11 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Michael Shannon) (9/1 odds)
    • 08.33 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (12/1 odds)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Film Editing (28/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Score (33/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Cinematography (33/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Director (Tom Ford) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Actor (Jake Gyllenhaal) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Amy Adams) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Actress (Amy Adams) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
  • Hidden Figures (30.43 pts)
    • 06.25 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (16/1 odds)
    • 04.55 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Janelle Monae) (22/1 odds)
    • 04.00 pts for Best Actress (Taraji P. Henson) (25/1 odds)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Film Editing (28/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Production Design (33/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Picture (33/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Score (50/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Director (Theodore Melfi) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Octavia Spencer) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Kevin Costner) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Costume Design (100/1 odds)
  • Florence Foster Jenkins (28.11 pts)
    • 12.50 pts for Best Costume Design (8/1 odds)
    • 09.09 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (11/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Actress (Meryl Streep) (50/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Hugh Grant) (50/1 odds)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Score (66/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Production Design (100/1 odds)
  • 20th Century Women (26.29 pts)
    • 14.29 pts for Best Actress (Annette Bening) (7/1 odds)
    • 05.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Greta Gerwig) (20/1 odds)
    • 05.00 pts for Best Original Screenplay (20/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Elle Fanning) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
  • Hell or High Water (23.38 pts)
    • 15.38 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Jeff Bridges) (13/2 odds)
    • 05.00 pts for Best Original Screenplay (20/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Picture (50/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Ben Foster) (100/1 odds)
  • Sully (20.71 pts)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Actor (Tom Hanks) (14/1 odds)
    • 04.00 pts for Best Film Editing (25/1 odds)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Picture (28/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (50/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Director (Clint Eastwood) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Sound Mixing (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Sound Editing (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • Kubo and the Two Strings (20.00 pts)
    • 20.00 pts for Best Animated Feature (5/1 odds)
  • Live By Night (18.37 pts)
    • 06.25 pts for Best Costume Design (16/1 odds)
    • 04.55 pts for Best Production Design (22/1 odds)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Cinematography (28/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Sound Editing (50/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Score (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
  • Moana (15.38 pts)
    • 15.38 pts for Best Animated Feature (13/2 odds)
  • Deepwater Horizon (13.85 pts)
    • 08.33 pts for Best Sound Editing (12/1 odds)
    • 04.00 pts for Best Sound Mixing (25/1 odds)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Film Editing (66/1 odds)
  • Finding Dory (13.50 pts)
    • 12.50 pts for Best Animated Feature (8/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • A Monster Calls (12.28 pts)
    • 04.00 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (25/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Felicity Jones) (33/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (50/1 odds)
    • 01.25 pts for Best Cinematography (80/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
  • Rules Don’t Apply (11.17 pts)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Production Design (14/1 odds)
    • 03.03 pts for Best Costume Design (33/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Actor (Warren Beatty) (100/1 odds)
  • The Red Turtle (9.09 pts)
    • 09.09 pts for Best Animated Feature (11/1 odds)
  • Sing (7.14 pts)
    • 07.14 pts for Best Animated Feature (14/1 odds)
  • Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children (7.00 pts)
    • 05.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (20/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (50/1 odds)
  • Captain Fantastic (5.50 pts)
    • 02.50 pts for Best Actor (Viggo Mortensen) (40/1 odds)
    • 02.00 pts for Best Costume Design (50/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Original Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • Passengers (5.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Director (Morten Tyldum) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Actress (Jennifer Lawrence) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Sound Mixing (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Sound Editing (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
  • Deadpool (4.57 pts)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Makeup and Hairstyling (28/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (100/1 odds)
  • Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk (4.25 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
    • 01.25 pts for Best Director (Ang Lee) (80/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Kristen Stewart) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Steve Martin) (100/1 odds)
  • Captain America: Civil War (4.00 pts)
    • 04.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (25/1 odds)
  • Allied (3.57 pts)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Costume Design (28/1 odds)
  • Sausage Party (3.57 pts)
    • 03.57 pts for Best Animated Feature (28/1 odds)
  • Hail, Caesar! (3.04 pts)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Production Design (66/1 odds)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Cinematography (66/1 odds)
  • The Birth of a Nation (3.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Actor (Nate Parker) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Aja Naomi King) (100/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
  • Love and Friendship (2.77 pts)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Costume Design (66/1 odds)
    • 01.25 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (80/1 odds)
  • Elle (2.52 pts)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Actress (Isabelle Huppert) (66/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • Star Trek Beyond (2.52 pts)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Visual Effects (66/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Sound Mixing (100/1 odds)
  • The Founder (2.52 pts)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Actor (Michael Keaton) (66/1 odds)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Laura Dern) (100/1 odds)
  • Miss Sloane (2.50 pts)
    • 02.50 pts for Best Actress (Jessica Chastain) (40/1 odds)
  • The Little Prince (2.50 pts)
    • 02.50 pts for Best Animated Feature (40/1 odds)
  • Denial (1.52 pts)
    • 01.52 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Timothy Spall) (66/1 odds)
  • Trolls (1.25 pts)
    • 01.25 pts for Best Animated Feature (80/1 odds)
  • Bleed for This (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actor (Aaron Eckhart) (100/1 odds)
  • Cafe Society (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Cinematography (100/1 odds)
  • Gold (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Actor (Matthew McConaughey) (100/1 odds)
  • Miss Hokusai (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Animated Feature (100/1 odds)
  • My Life as a Zucchini (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Animated Feature (100/1 odds)
  • Patriot’s Day (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Picture (100/1 odds)
  • Queen of Katwe (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Lupita Nyong’o) (100/1 odds)
  • Snowden (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Adapted Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • The BFG (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (100/1 odds)
  • The Hollars (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Supporting Actress (Margo Martindale) (100/1 odds)
  • The Lobster (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Original Screenplay (100/1 odds)
  • Warcraft (1.00 pts)
    • 01.00 pts for Best Visual Effects (100/1 odds)

Final list

And finally, here’s our overall list of movies!

Remember, this isn’t the movies most likely to win Best Picture, but rather an aggregated list of movies most likely to score Oscar nominations/wins in ANY category. So some of these movies are “punching above their weight” because they are likely to win more of the technical awards.

All in all, it’s a pretty interesting list. The 1st-ranked movie has more than twice the score of the 2nd-ranked movie. There are 7 movies with 100+ points, 13 movies with 50+ points, and 28 movies with 10+ points. And at the end of the list, 12 lonely movies with just 1 point each.

(The dates are color-coded based on whether the movie was playing in my local theaters. Green means the movie is not out yet, yellow means it’s currently playing, red means it’s out of theatres already. It doesn’t always correspond exactly to the dates listed because those are often when the movie debuted in limited release, not wide release.)

Looks like I have a lot of catching up to do before February!

Num Points Title Release
1. 504.46 pts La La Land 2016-12-16
2. 230.70 pts Jackie 2016-12-09
3. 194.60 pts Manchester by the Sea 2016-12-02
4. 165.78 pts Fences 2016-12-25
5. 152.67 pts Silence 2016-12-23
6. 139.74 pts Moonlight 2016-10-21
7. 103.18 pts Hacksaw Ridge 2016-11-04
8. 75.50 pts Arrival 2016-11-11
9. 71.54 pts Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 2016-12-16
10. 57.51 pts The Jungle Book 2016-04-15
11. 55.33 pts Zootopia 2016-03-04
12. 51.49 pts Lion 2016-11-25
13. 50.73 pts Loving 2016-11-04
14. 49.29 pts Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2016-11-18
15. 39.33 pts Doctor Strange 2016-11-04
16. 34.07 pts Nocturnal Animals 2016-11-18
17. 30.43 pts Hidden Figures 2017-01-06
18. 28.11 pts Florence Foster Jenkins 2016-08-12
19. 26.29 pts 20th Century Women 2016-12-25
20. 23.38 pts Hell or High Water 2016-08-12
21. 20.71 pts Sully 2016-11-09
22. 20.00 pts Kubo and the Two Strings 2016-08-19
23. 18.37 pts Live By Night 2017-01-13
24. 15.38 pts Moana 2016-11-23
25. 13.85 pts Deepwater Horizon 2016-09-30
26. 13.50 pts Finding Dory 2016-06-17
27. 12.28 pts A Monster Calls 2016-12-23
28. 11.17 pts Rules Don’t Apply 2016-11-23
29. 9.09 pts The Red Turtle 2017-01-20
30. 7.14 pts Sing 2016-12-21
31. 7.00 pts Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children 2016-09-30
32. 5.50 pts Captain Fantastic 2016-07-08
33. 5.00 pts Passengers 2016-12-21
34. 4.57 pts Deadpool 2016-02-12
35. 4.25 pts Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk 2016-11-18
36. 4.00 pts Captain America: Civil War 2016-05-06
37. 3.57 pts Sausage Party 2016-08-12
38. 3.57 pts Allied 2016-11-23
39. 3.04 pts Hail, Caesar! 2016-02-05
40. 3.00 pts The Birth of a Nation 2016-10-07
41. 2.77 pts Love and Friendship 2016-05-13
42. 2.52 pts The Founder 2016-12-16
43. 2.52 pts Star Trek Beyond 2016-07-22
44. 2.52 pts Elle 2016-11-11
45. 2.50 pts The Little Prince 2016-08-05
46. 2.50 pts Miss Sloane 2016-12-09
47. 1.52 pts Denial 2016-09-30
48. 1.25 pts Trolls 2016-11-04
49. 1.00 pts Warcraft 2016-06-10
50. 1.00 pts The Lobster 2016-05-13
51. 1.00 pts The Hollars 2016-08-26
52. 1.00 pts The BFG 2016-07-01
53. 1.00 pts Snowden 2016-09-16
54. 1.00 pts Queen of Katwe 2016-09-23
55. 1.00 pts Patriot’s Day 2016-12-21
56. 1.00 pts My Life as a Zucchini 2016-11-11
57. 1.00 pts Miss Hokusai 2016-10-14
58. 1.00 pts Gold 2017-01-27
59. 1.00 pts Cafe Society 2016-07-15
60. 1.00 pts Bleed for This 2016-11-18
  1. It was only after I ran all the numbers that I discovered implied probability. Unfortunately, I used Markdown tables to organize this data and it’s devilishly difficult to re-calculate numbers in that format. And the implied probability calculations would’ve only slighted changed the numbers and almost never the order of rankings. If I was doing this all over again, I would’ve kept all the data in an Excel spreadsheet and only converted it to Markdown tables when I was ready to publish this post, but c’est la vie! ↩︎

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